In terms of Presidential politics, the only thing California is good for as regards the Republican Party is fundraising. Simply, there is no way Romney is winning this state in 2012. The Senate race will feature well-funded Democratic incumbent Dianne Feinstein against Republican new-comer Elizabeth Emken. Feinstein has raised over $7 million compared to Emken’s $189,000 and she started with a $3 million head start. | Read More »
On Tuesday, besides the Wisconsin recall effort, six other states held primary elections not only for President, but to determine Congressional and Senate match ups come November. Considering that Obama will face off against Romney because he has the nomination for the GOP, turn out was not particularly high in any state except Wisconsin, but other offices than Governor were not being decided. Wisconsin’s primary | Read More »
Besides the granddaddy of them all- the Wisconsin Governor recall election (discussed below)- six states will be holding primaries to determine candidates for Senate and Congressional seats. The following is a listing of interesting races in these states and the stakes for November. Lets start in California. There is no doubt that whoever emerges from the very crowded GOP field for Senate, they will lose | Read More »
Redistricting in California is simply a mess. As some left leaning publications have reported, the Democratic Party gamed the allegedly non-partisan redistricting commission while the inept California GOP fell asleep at the wheel and got taken to the cleaners. Perhaps this is a hard lesson learned for California Republicans, but one that may very well undercut the gains made in 2010 and hurt the GOP | Read More »
For anyone interested in understanding how demographics affect election outcomes, I suggest The Big Sort by Bill Bishop. For nowhere is this tendency more obvious than in California. For example, of its 53 Congressional districts, 33 are rated Democratic with an average rating of 17.6 per district. Of the 20 Republican rated districts, they are an average of 8.1 per district. In only one | Read More »
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