In the Midwest races, five in number, the five current seats are held by Republicans with one- Dave Heineman in Nebraska- being term-limited. Other than perhaps Iowa, all are fairly reliable red states: Kansas, Oklahoma, Nebraska and South Dakota. The dynamics in South Dakota are dictated by the open senatorial race due to the retirement of Tim Johnson there. The Democrats have to defend this | Read More »
Statistics are a wonderful thing because they can be interpreted a variety of ways and spun for political advantage. For example, the unemployment rate is pretty straightforward and always has been. Yet, in 2008 the Democratic Party and Barack Obama have “analyzed” the fact that a rate above 8% is improvement. They also have analyzed straightforward economic data to the conclusion that the stimulus, which | Read More »
Besides the granddaddy of them all- the Wisconsin Governor recall election (discussed below)- six states will be holding primaries to determine candidates for Senate and Congressional seats. The following is a listing of interesting races in these states and the stakes for November. Lets start in California. There is no doubt that whoever emerges from the very crowded GOP field for Senate, they will lose | Read More »
Iowa is one of those smaller states that Obama needs to retain in 2012. Due to the census, they lost a House seat (and electoral vote) dropping to four seats. With approval ratings largely reflective of his national average and moving as it does, the state is considered a toss up, swing state at this point. However, given the Obama machine now in place in | Read More »
There is really no suspense in the Idaho race as Butch Otter, the Republican incumbent Governor is up by 18 points, and incumbent Senator Mike Crapo has a huge lead in the polls. Both are expected to be easily re-elected. That leaves the only suspense in the First District race between incumbent Democrat Walt Minnick and challenger Raul Labrador. Minnick had been trailing by as | Read More »
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