With all but a handful of states having completed their primaries to determine Senate and House races in November, it would be a good time to look at how Tea Party endorsed candidates are doing. There are still a few high profile primary elections yet to go- Massachusetts, Arizona, Wisconsin, and Minnesota. Additionally, there is run off election in Georgia to determine three Republican nominees | Read More »
In a previous article, I described the methodology used for the Presidential election. Unfortunately, applying that system to Senate and House races is futile. For the Senate, since there are two per state, it is difficult to get an accurate view of long and short term electoral trends even when one looks at the actual seat in play. Obviously, with House elections, redistricting every ten | Read More »
Generally speaking, every time I write one of these entries, I get comments to the effect that polls at this time mean little, or that this state or that state is in play, or complaints about the accuracy of polls. Let me state right up front, as I do every time, that with a little over 4 months to the election, anything can change. We | Read More »
Following the health care decision this morning on the Internet as it unfolded with CNN blaring in the background, I was, like most readers here, surprised. Incidentally, while CNN’s Wolf Blitzer was announcing the mandate was struck down and lining up liberal talking heads to comment, the Internet was reporting, correctly, the opposite. Jeffrey Toobin apologies aside for the initial confusion, it is quite evident | Read More »
First let me state up front that I am a resident of New Jersey. I proudly voted for Christie because the alternative- another four years of Jon Corzine- was unacceptable. Christie is a 100% improvement for New Jersey over any Democrat in the state. But, making Christie a standard bearer for the Republican Party on the national stage would be rife with controversy. Simply put, | Read More »
Naturally, a lot can be happen between now and November when we vote for President. Making early predictions are ripe with pitfalls where an incumbent President holds advantages that a challenger does not possess. There is always the possibility of an October surprise of some kind, we haven’t even had the conventions yet and the inevitable bump in the polls the nominees receive, we have | Read More »
To hear Nancy Pelosi talk, she will again be Speaker of the House in 2013 after the 2012 election results are in. Rep. Steven Israel (D-NY) notes that gaining leadership of the House is certainly within range and there is a grain of truth to that statement, although somewhat unrealistic. Pelosi and Israel constantly note that the Democrats merely need to win a net total | Read More »
Erick Erickson’s article regarding the study conducted by the Club for Growth and the Tea Party needs a little more explanation than can be handled in a response in the “comments” section of that article. In a way, it is a little misleading to a certain degree. But first, we have to go back to 2010 and look at the strength of the Tea Party | Read More »
There is a tremendous battle looming in Indiana for the Senate seat currently held by Richard Lugar. No- it is not some right-of-center Democratic insurgent making his reelection a problem but the challenge comes from within the Republican Party in the name of State Treasurer Mourdock. In many posts, I have stated that, based upon the most recent polls, Lugar would have an easier task | Read More »
Frank Luntz recently had an article in the Washington Post about five myths regarding conservative voters. This may very well be a starting point for a winning strategy for Romney in this year’s general election campaign if he can accurately and forcefully articulate the message. In short, he has to delineate a vision, based on pragmatic conservative ideology, that separates him and the Republican Party | Read More »
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