I do not feel comfortable stating the names of either my boss or the person she was speaking with.

There are of course no “e-mail trails”, recorded conversations, or video of this event. This was a business lunch that resulted in an amazingly frank assessment of the current state of the race.

I realize that I’m asking people to take my word on this, but I can tell you that:

• This conversation occured.
• It took place earlier this week.
• This person is an official internal pollster for the Obama campaign.
• That what was discussed is how I detailed above.
• I purposefully kept it to the facts as described to me. I did not fluff to make it sound more favorable than it really was.

I suspect that Obama supporters will disregard it and McCain supporters will cheer it. One can either discount or embrace it. I’m simply relaying the information.

It’s I think a valuable insight into what’s really going on behind the curtain and is a more sober reality of the real state of the race. Something we will not get from the MSM.

And, oh, if someone does have information on McCain’s internal polls (Jim G. from NRO referred to some this morning I believe), please do share!

First, just a quick friendly correction. Sarah puts us over the top, not the brink. It’s the accomodating conservo crazies (Noonan, et al) that are nearly at/over the brink. It’s just that brink usually has a negative connotation… (I need to get off the word parsing kick here – lol).

To your secondary point, I think you have something here. BHO just yesterday began warning his peeps (and the media ran with it) to not get too confident. Now, we know that his campaign is brimming in overconfidence and I dont think they’re willing to cede any of their arrogant ground. What are we seeing instead is an attempt to keep the college crowd and other less reliable voters in the game.

This is also another reason you’ll see the polls tighten all of the sudden in some of the more liberal polls. BHO and media can’t risk encouraging people staying home if they think it’s already won.

Now, the downside for Obama and his media allies is that shrinking leads in polls for Obama also risks further encouraging of the part of the republican base that pays way too much attention to election polls.

Keep in mind that polls always tighten anyway the closer we are to election day, for all of the reasons restated ad naseum on Redstate and elsewhere for the past few days – I won’t rehash again.

However, in this election year where the media bias is probably worse as I can ever remember (and I’m only 33 – others I’m sure can make the point for going back much farther in time) it just seems to me that the media would probably not like to risk motivating the republican base and more than it is already because of Sarah.

To go off slightly in a different direction for a moment, this is why we saw such an amazingly concerted effort by the media (and still do) to completely destroy Sarah. The media cannot afford our base to get energized.

In the end, we’ll see the polls tighten and the media tune to turn repoting focus quickly to “the overconfidence in the Obama camp.” This won’t be because they think Obama will lose, they’re just going to be worried that Obama-cons will stay home since the brainless on their side are such mindless robots and think (based on watch the media has been trumpeting for months) that the election is basically over.

The media thinks that these messages are discouraging our base from showing up (while this may apply to a few nervous ninnies), largely they wrong> It’s just someone forgot to point out it’s the sheep on the left that are more likely to stay home and think victory while smoking their doobies (okay, the doobie part was negative generalizing on my part… but why not).

I’m afraid I don’t have an Obama campaign official to confirm these thoughts of mine, just my own observations…