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Let’s Not Repeat the Vicious Cycle of ’94-’06 Again

OK.  Let’s say we wake up the morning of November third and discover that Dick Morris was correct in his bold predictions.  The Republicans take back the Senate and not only win the House, but garner a historic mandate of 260-270 seats.  The electoral battlefield is riddled with the dead carcasses of socialist giants like Barbara Boxer, Dingy Reid, Patty Murray, Russ Feingold, Lisa Murkowski, Charlie Crist, and scores of others. In addition, we pick up a dozen governorships and state legislature chambers in key battleground states that provides us with an unprecedented opportunity to control the redistricting process.  This places the Republican Party in a strong position to maintain their control over key house seats and have the upper hand over the battleground states during the Presidential election of 2012.

However, after the dust settles from the election,the million dollar question will be, then what?  How do we turn a Republican victory into a conservative triumph?  How do we ensure that it will be the DeMints, Millers, Bucks, and other tea party members in the House who will control the legislative process and the ensuing political narrative, and not the antiquated RINO dinosaurs of the land of Mitch McConnell?  How do we ensure that we don’t repeat the same disastrous cycle of ’94-’06, when the Republican brand tarnished the value of conservatism and set us up for the socialist takeover of the radical left?

One of the few tangible benefits of taking control of the Senate without obtaining 60 seats is the right to control the confirmation process of Supreme Court nominees.  It is very likely that Justice Ruth Bader Ginsberg will retire before Obama gets canned in 2012 and many would argue that Republican control of the Senate would ensure that we won’t get another Elana Kagen.  The problem with that optimistic prediction is that we won’t have anywhere near 51 votes against any nominee whom Obama picks.  In fact, aside for the plethora of RINOs in the Senate who will vote to confirm anyone, even a conservative like Pat Toomey expressed his principled support for any qualified nominee, irrespective of their perverted jurisprudence.  Also, we can’t count on blocking a nominee in the Judiciary Committee (even one that is run by Jeff Sessions) because of Lindsey Graham.  So again, if nothing is done to hold their feet to the fire, how would a Republican-held Senate benefit us once we already have control of the House?

This is something that conservative activists need to begin contemplating as we near the end of the election season.  We have harnessed the greatest grassroots energy of freedom-loving Americans through the tea party since the American Revolution to achieve a great electoral victory.  But we must continue to apply this energy to hold their feet to the fire after the election; otherwise the whole revolution would be wasted.  Here are several things that we must look into immediately.

1. Congressional Leadership

As it stands know, we are benefiting from the fact that there is no particular leader of our movement whom the media can use to taint our conservative image.  If we were to capture both houses of congress, then all of that changes immediately.  The question that we all need to contemplate is this; do we really need to work so hard to win back the Senate only to have it led by the likes of Mitch McConnell and Lamar Alexander?  We need to pull a Harriet Myers on him and demand that we have a conservative represent us.  A McConnell leadership will simply perpetuate the cycle of frustration and disappointment that was the hallmark of our last tenure as majority in the Senate.  Unfortunately, it appears that nobody will challenge Boehner and Cantor in the House, but we need to fight for a better leadership in the Senate.  Keep in mind that right now we are defined by the constitutional and principled stances of the tea party.  If we don’t focus on the post election Senate leadership then we will be defined by Mitch McConnell.

We also need to shed light on the backroom decisions that are made in the Senate Republican Conference.  We must make sure that the right people are chosen to sit on the right committees.  The new tea party folks cannot be relegated only to such committees like Veterans Affairs and Agriculture.

2. Committee Chairmen

Many establishment Republicans lecture us about the need to support RINO blue state Republicans so that red state conservatives can become committee chairman.  The problem is that many of the committees will be chaired by both red and blue state liberals and moderates.  In 2004, we were baffled at how Arlen Specter was able to become Judiciary Committee Chairman in an era when grassroots conservatives hold such power and influence.  Again, we must ask ourselves, do we really want to fight for a Senate majority if it will be run by RINOs?  Here is a list of committees which we need to fight to ensure that the following members don’t become Chairmen:

Senate

Appropriations- Thad Cochran

Armed Services- John McCain

Banking- Richard Shelby

Budget- Judd Gregg is currently Ranking member but is retiring.  It’s a very mixed committee and we must make sure one of the good guys becomes chairman.

Commerce- Kay Bailey Hutchison

Finance- We can do better than Chuck Grassley

Foreign Relations- Dick Lugar- enough said

Homeland Security- Susan Collins- the chair should go to Coburn

Rules- Bennett- He will be gone.  This committee is full of squishes.  There is no current solid member.

Small Business- Olympia Snowe- Vitter should get the chair

House

Appropriations- Jerry Lewis

3.  2012 Senate Elections

There are three types of Senate races in every cycle that provide conservatives with opportunities to increase our ranks; Incumbent Democrats, Open seats (R and D) and Incumbent RINOs who need to be challenged in a primary.  We achieved an unprecedented degree of success this year in all three categories.  However, we didn’t have a perfect record.  In most of the examples where we were unsuccessful it was due to a lack of mobilization behind the right candidate while we still had a chance to make a difference (Indiana and Illinois Senate races come to mind).

2012 will be an amazing year in which there are no Republican vulnerable seats to defend, while the Democrats will be forced to defend all of their red state seats that they acquired in 2006.  Democrats will have to defend 23 seats (including the two “independents”), while the Republicans will have to defend only 10.  It’s important to note that unlike 2010, next election cycle will be fought mainly on red state territory.  That means that we shouldn’t have to contend with complaints of “well, the conservative can’t win”.  We need to stay ahead of the curve and work on these seats immediately.  Again, even if we win the Senate, we will be far short of a conservative majority and will need major pickups in 2012 to accompany a (hopefully) Republican president.  Here are the States in which we must recruit strong tea party candidates:

Sitting Republicans that need Primary challengers

  • IN-Richard Lugar
  • ME-Olympia Snowe
  • TN- Bob Corker
  • TX-Kay Baily Hutchison
  • UT-Orin Hatch

Incumbent Democrats

FL- Bill Nelson

MI- Debbie Stabenow

Minn- Amy Klobuchar

MO- Claire McCaskill

MT- Jon Tester

NE- Ben Nelson

ND- Kent Conrad

OH-Sherrod Brown

PA- Bob Casey

VA- Jim Webb

WA- Maria Cantwell

WI- Herb Kohl

There are definitely others that we could possibly unseat, but those listed will be the most obvious targets.  Webb, Conrad, Nelson, Tester, and McCaskill will have to run in states where Obama will be toxic on the top of the ballot.  Kohl, Bill Nelson, Brown, and Casey won’t have it much better.

4.  We need to hold their feet to the fire.  Many good conservatives will be elected this November, but inevitably there will be those who don’t deliver.  We need to track their voting records consistently and make sure they know that we are watching.  A new website that focuses on the voting record of the “2010 Freshmen” would be indispensable.  We should especially monitor who signs onto the bills that would repeal the Obama agenda.

5. Presidential Nominee

After November, the 800 pound gorilla (or Elephant, hopefully not Rhino) in the political circus will be the race for the Republican nomination for President.  Whoever become the eventual nominee will instantly become the face of the Republican Party and by extension, the conservative movement.  This is what happened to us with Bush for nine years.  It is vital that we pick one of us to become the de facto leader of the movement.  The field of candidates has not even begun to materialize, but we need to be vigilant of several things.

1.  We need to examine the past records of potential candidates and not let the media define them for us like they did in 2008.  The media will try to pick our nominee and disseminate false information concerning their governing philosophy.  We will never get a perfect candidate, and will always have to compromise on something, but we should not let the media pick a self proclaimed conservative who has undergone a presidential election foxhole conversion to conservatism.

2.  Something needs to be done about the open primaries that take place in some of the early states.  We simply cannot go through another cycle of Democrats picking our nominee.  Keep in mind that barring any unforeseeable circumstances, Obama will not draw serious primary opposition.  This will allow the Democrats to crash the party and attempt to saddle us with another McCain.

3.  Let’s not make any rash and premature judgments about who is electable (especially as dictated by the media).  If there is anything to learn from this election, it is that you can never tell who will take off and resonate with the electorate once they obtain some name recognition.

4. Debates- We have already ceded over the general election debates to be controlled and orchestrated by the Democrat media.  Do we need to have them moderate our own primary debates as well?  Keep in mind that these media types live in a very different world than we do, and their policy premises and understanding of the political dynamic makes them unqualified to moderate a debate among conservatives.  We should have at least one debate that is moderated by a panel of respected conservative journalists, talk radio figures, and others who would frame the debate in a meaningful way to conservatives.

Cross-posted to Red Meat Conservative

COMMENTS

  • Death_of_the_Donkey

    the subcommittee on monetary policy. That alone could do us more harm over the next two years than any RINO (can you even imagine all the conspiracy theories the media will latch onto).

    • http://theminorityreportblog.com Repair_Man_Jack

      One of the funnier anecdote’s in Age of Turbulance is the paragraph where Ronald Reagan sardonically asks Alan Greenspan whether or not the President is Constitutonally required to appoint a Fed Chair.

    • http://908StraightSt.wordpress.com/ mbecker908

      If we’ve got sufficient numbers in the House, I’d like to see RonPaul expelled from the caucus.

    • aesthete

      More important than even the conspiracy theories is the fact that Paul is hopeless on monetary policy. We need a conservative on the “rules” side of the “rules vs discretion” debate (easy to read article about the debate here), not someone who believes that the gold standard was a good idea.

      • shadowmane

        would be much better than the Federal Reserve, controlled by the banks which got us into the financial problems we are currently experiencing. The Federal Reserve was a bad idea 100 years ago, and it has proven itself to be a bad idea since.

        I’m tired of economic idiots joined at the hips to mega-millionaires designing policy that profits ONLY mega-millionaires. Mind you, I’m not advocating class warfare in any way. I just think we have this stigma that we are only for the wealthiest of Americans. We need to address this or risk having the Democrats reverse what we have worked hard for this election cycle.

  • http://www.AmericanThinker.com Hammer2008

    Great job here. (I even cross-posted it re Sen. Grassely)

    Regarding part 5.2., you wrote:
    Something needs to be done about the open primaries that take place in some of the early states. We simply cannot go through another cycle of Democrats picking our nominee. Keep in mind that barring any unforeseeable circumstances, Obama will not draw serious primary opposition. This will allow the Democrats to crash the party and attempt to saddle us with another McCain.

    I demand to know why we let Iowa and New Hampshire start the process. The RNC (or whomever), should announce the beginnings of a first three primaries and first three caucus states competition. Base it off the way the Olympic or World Cup locations are picked. Perhaps all 50 states can submit, the GOP governors association along with the state chairs would get the first vote to take the list down to the Top 10 for each (primary or caucus), then a second-round of voting by the grass roots for the top three in each, with the RNC finally setting the ranking of them, as in who gets to go first, second and third.

    Give it back to the respective states then to set the dates of each.

    I say this because I think had, say, South Carolina gone first, before NH, and especially Iowa, we would have ended up with a different nominee in 2008.

    Iowa has only picked a winning GOP (non-incumbent) president once in 34 years (G.W. Bush in 2000) and New Hampshire, only four times in 62 years (Bush “senior” when he was VP in 1988, otherwise we’d have to look at Reagan’s 1980 primary victory).

    Both of these states have run their course, especially in today’s TEA Party-movement era.

  • fpete13527
  • http://908StraightSt.wordpress.com/ mbecker908

    A couple of thoughts on specifics…

    1. At least while Obama is POTUS McCain – especially on Armed Services – will be a net plus. If we win in ’12 that might change, but he’s there for six more years we should be figuring out if there is a way to utilize him. In the last 18 months he’s been good on immigration, of all things, and did a good job attacking Boxer.
    2. KBH should be history. Hopefully conservatives in TX are working on a plan to raise money and support for Michael Williams.
    3. Senator Hatch, see Bob Bennett. We should have the convention votes in place to replace Hatch with a solid conservative from the UT House delegation. I think the only thing we have to worry about with this one is Hatch pulling a Crist and running third party. He’s gotta see the handwriting on the wall and dollars to donuts he’s looking at the logistics right now.
    4. Senator Snowe? Does anybody know of a more conservative candidate in ME with a shred of legitimacy? Bottom line, I don’t want to see a JD Hayworth run a fools errand in ME.
    5. In NE I can’t believe there isn’t a solid conservative with great name recognition that could beat his brain cell out.
    6. As for POTUS, could we please have a new face, preferably a sitting Governor with a solid track record of fiscal conservatism and a record of being willing and able to carry the fight to the Dems.
  • pilgrim

    2012 we hold these 10
    Jon Kyle AZ
    open IN
    Olympia Snowe ME
    Roger Wicker MS
    open NV
    Bob Corker TN
    open Texas
    open Utah
    John Raese WV
    John Barasso WY

    2012 we pick up these 7
    Jim Webb VA
    Bob Casey PA
    Sherrod Brown OH
    Kent Conrad ND
    Ben Nelson NE
    Jon Tester MT
    Claire McCaskill MO

    Senate Class 1 changes from 22 Ds and 11 Rs to 17 Rs and 16 Ds

  • http://redmeatconservative.blogspot.com/ dhorowitz3

    I don’t feel as strongly about her as the other because of what you mentioned. However, this kind of hearkens back to the Deleware debate. I used believe that popular RINOs in deep blue states weren’t worthwhile to hunt. However, I am on the side of that debate that believes it is soooo 2004 sort of mentality. These clowns have tarnished our name enough and I don’t want everything in the news hinging on how Snowe is going to vote. With that said, the red state clowns are certainly no brainers.

  • http://908StraightSt.wordpress.com/ mbecker908

    I don’t have a clue about ME politics, and there are some ME residents who post so I hope we hear from them.

    Bottom line is that, as far as Snowe is concerned, she really has never taken the lead in “hurting” us. She votes against the conservative line frequently, but she’s never out front, she’s always following somebody like Specter. I looked at her voting record a while back and on the issues where she voted differently than I would have :-) her vote didn’t cost us anything.

    She’s a small pain in the neck. I’d take a dozen of her to get rid of Lindsey Graham…

  • http://redmeatconservative.blogspot.com/ dhorowitz3

    It kills me that he just got let off the hook in 08′. We now have to wait until 2014.

  • edwlstr

    that maybe the conservative god will strike him off his camel and blind him as he is on his way to vote WITH his demokrat friends. And DeMint or Pence at the behest of said conservative god will visit him to heal his blindness to conservative issues. Maybe he could be committed to an insane asylum, Dr. Rossitter makes a good case that liberalism is a mental illness.