New Hampshire Predictions!
Before I start off with what i think here is the current polling according to RCP: RCP Average 1/25 – 2/1 — Trump Cruz Kaisch Bush Rubio Chris Fior Cars Paul Huck Sant 33.7 11.5 11.3 10.5 10.2 5.8 3.5 3.2 2.8 0.5 0.3 Trump +22. As you can see Trump has a crazy lead among the other contenders and I will be shocked if | Read More »
Watercooler 2/2/16 Open Thread: Party Time; Iowa, Insiders & Cubans Oh My; Demographics & Coin Tosses
Welcome back to the Watercooler and the first post-election edition to cover the road to the White House. Much ink has already been spilled on the results, the meaning of it all, etc. but I can’t help myself for adding my five cents (inflation you know) on winners and losers. So here goes. Party Time The Republican Party was and is a clear winner. The biggest turnout ever in the | Read More »
Despite the Myth, Iowa Caucus Winners Do Get Nominated
The immediate aftermath of the Iowa caucus win by Ted Cruz is a series of excuses by Donald Trump and his supporters. Among the most popular such excuses is the repeated declaration that the Iowa caucuses are not truly significant, that the winner in Iowa does not go on to win the GOP nomination. The problem with this declaration is that it is – in | Read More »
How trump is doing the GOP a favor without even realizing it
Along with all of my fellow true conservatives, I’ve been disturbed by the rise of Trump and what it means for the future of the conservative movement. As I’ve written about before, he represents everything that we’ve been fighting against for the past 8+ years. If he wins the nomination it would be a repudiation of all of the principles and policies we believe in. | Read More »
Beware of Rubio’s electability
Right now electability is one of the prime positives of Rubio over Cruz. Rubio has higher favorables, is a better public speaker, is more photogenic, and the press loves him. Contrast this with Cruz who has awkward pauses, doesn’t play as well to the camera, is a self-interested grandstander, and is hated by both the press and the party that he would be elected to | Read More »
Pros and Cons of the Caucuses from an Iowa Caucus Chair
PRO: Being an Iowa GOP county chair during caucus time is a great way to get insider access to the campaigns. I met the Cruz’s (including Cruz Sr.) and introduced Heidi at an event. I met Bobby Jindal and spoke with him one on one for almost an hour. I met Mike Huckabee as well. CON: Its a TON of work. The Iowa caucuses are | Read More »
What Will Limbaugh, Hannity and Ingraham say now?
I think that we can all agree that last night was a great victory for the conservative movement in this election cycle. We all know that there is a lot more work ahead of us. However; my guess is that there was a few well known “Trump Swabs” masquerading as conservatives who will not be all that happy today. Limbaugh was spouting about how Trumps support | Read More »
A Hispanic warning about Trump.
My family can prove a direct link to a family that lived in Santa Fe, New Mexico in 1690. Strange that I would have to start this diary entry with that statement but I have gotten use to “proving” that I belong in the U.S. It stems from when I was a kid working in the cotton fields of West Texas. When immigration showed up, my | Read More »
Hillary Clinton and Two Liberal Congressmen Call Heroes of Benghazi Liars
Hillary Clinton wasn’t the first one to call the three heroes of Benghazi liars after their story is reaching more Americans through their book and now a new movie released two weeks ago by the same name, 13 Hours, The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi. That “honor” goes to two liberal Democrat Congressmen. Former Commander in Chief of the Pacific Fleet and President of an international | Read More »
A Letter From Harrisburg, PA
Dear Redstaters, I write to you in order to bring you a status report from the battlefield. When not advocating for a specific candidate or issue, I spend a majority of my time reaching out to various elements of the black community. I confront the lefts immoral, racist narrative wherever it shows. I study the opposition and their goals, ideology and methods. I cannot | Read More »
This one graph says all you need to know about what happened in Iowa
WaPo has a bunch of Iowa post-mortem material up right now… And one of their graphics makes a very poingant point. (credit, Washington Post. See link at bottom of diary) Of 4 categories (Evangelical, No College Degree, Has a Degree, and First-time voters), the college-educated, Evangelicals, and first-timers were the only categories that gained on 2012’s totals. If that doesn’t sound like a ‘Trump, go | Read More »
What Happened in Iowa?
The following are some observations on the Iowa caucuses: 1. The Cruz ground game pays off. Entering this contest, everyone fully expected this to be either Cruz or Trump ending up on top at the end of the night. In this, there was no surprise. But, why did Cruz move ahead of Trump when the chips were down? Ted Cruz invested a lot of time, | Read More »
Marita Noon: Electric cars: Another failed Obama Campaign promise, and that’s a good thing
2015 is now in the record books and, after billions of U.S. taxpayer dollars in EV subsidies for consumers and industry, Reuters reports: “only about 400,000 electric cars have been sold. Last year, sales fell 6 percent over the previous year to about 115,000, despite the industry offering about 30 plug-in models, often at deep discounts.” Though 400,000 EVs may have been sold, the actual number on the road is likely far less. Most of the “sales” are actually leases and when the lease term is over, the EVs get turned back into the dealer, and then the manufacturer. Drivers, even with generous incentives to buy the model they are driving, don’t want them. According to the Wall Street Journal, there is little demand for used electric cars.
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Rubio’s Jenga Campaign Strategy is Risky and Can We Trust His Judgment?
Preface: Let me get this out of the way before I get incoming comments on how much I hate Rubio. I don’t. I actually supported his Senate campaign with dollars and went to one of his events in FL. I find myself doubting his tactics and judgment lately as you’ll see from multiple examples below. It’s important that we scrutinize all of our candidates equally when it comes to | Read More »
Health insurance premiums are skyrocketing under the ‘Affordable’ Care Act
Remember when we were told that the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act would “bend the cost curve downward”? From The Wall Street Journal: ObamaCare’s Wallet-Buster Health Plans While insurance premiums and deductibles soar, Hillary Clinton takes credit for the president’s mess. By Nathan Nascimento | January 31, 2016 6:22 p.m. ET On the campaign trail in Iowa, Hillary Clinton claimed that President Obama’s Affordable | Read More »
Sarah Palin Attacks Lame Stream Media for Doing It’s Job
Sarah Palin has not had a good history with media. It could have started around the time she referred to the main stream media as lame stream media. But whenever it started it may have just gotten a little worse. The Hill says she went on the Today Show this morning and lit into the hosts after questions were asked about her son Track involving his recent | Read More »
Watercooler 02/01/16 Open Thread: Trump v. Trump; Boko Haram; NAACP; #MURICA; Jurassic Bugs
February is upon us, and that means some Americans are actually getting ready to cast votes. All of the talk and speculation will continue but maybe by this time tomorrow we may actually have a clear picture of who middle America is actually behind on both sides of the aisle. Trump v. Trump The fight of century. My disdain for Donald Trump representing our political | Read More »
Netflix Founder Hopes Education Donation Reaps Better Return Than Zuckerberg’s
Earlier this month, Reed Hastings, CEO and founder of Netflix, announced he would donate $100 million dollars to set up a fund for educational initiatives, mainly the creation and maintenance of charter schools. As a longtime education reform advocate, Hastings has argued the best way to fix our broken education system is to introduce competition and force public schools to improve in order to retain | Read More »
All in for Ted Cruz: America’s last chance!
Please up vote and recommend my diary and on Facebook! If I lived in Iowa, I would be doing everything I can to push Cruz over the finish line. I would be dragging 10 or more people to the polls with me to vote against Trump. I would make calls and volunteer free. I’ve followed Republican politics for many decades, and I’ve never seen a better overall | Read More »
New final poll shows dead heat between Trump/Cruz & Rubio in clear 3rd…
Emerson College is out with this poll heading into the vote today in Iowa. A few takeaways: Only 1 point separates the Trump +1 over Cruz. That means Cruz might indeed pull it out if his ground game is up to the task, and you and your friends who live in Iowa caucus for him and take as many others with you as possible to | Read More »
Trump: The Establishment’s Candidate
While looking at the poll number it struck me: ‘Where is the establishment vote?’ The New York Magazine believes that it is being divided amongst 4 candidates: Bush, Christie, Kasich, and Rubio. But even this seems misguided. With Jeb Bush’s 4.8%, Chris Christie’s 3%, John Kasich’s 2.4%, and Rubio’s 10.2% you’re still only at 20.4%. Are we really to believe that the establishment support only accounts | Read More »
EXCLUSIVE: The Hillary Diaries- January 2016 edition
In my continuing effort to inform readers about the inner workings of the strange mind of Hillary Clinton, I have obtained some more of her personal diary entries. 1/1/16: Spent day with friends going over upcoming events and rolling out Bill in NH. They have me going to NH also this week when I will make the big announcement. 1/3/16: Spent day in NH taking | Read More »
The Fundamental Transformation of America
Barack Obama declared on October 30, 2008: “We are five days away from fundamentally transforming the United States of America.” His pronouncement put America on notice that the culmination of the100-year march of progressivism in America was at hand. As we reach the end of Obama’s presidency, that transformation is almost complete. This fundamental change in America is more insidious than a political shift to | Read More »
7 things we learned from this historic election cycle…
Up vote and recommend my piece and to Facebook, etc. 1) Talk radio “conservative” figureheads are not to be trusted. They NEVER were, just so you know. They operate on ratings, just like the cable news guys. They wanted to make Trump their shiny new toy. Going against him from day one was not their plan by design. They dated him almost, even | Read More »
Does Trump want to get it on with his daughter?
Comedy Central’s Trevor Noah points out that we should all be a little disturbed at Trump and his obsession with sex and his daughter. Trigger warning – clips shown in the video might make one throw up a little in their mouth. Sorry it’s in a link – I couldn’t find a copy on youtube and the embed html wasn’t working here, but the link | Read More »
On the eve of the Iowa primaries, the media is now swarming into small Iowan towns where the candidates are campaigning, in search of the “ultimate story.” In a previous article that I wrote on January 16, 2016, titled “Sex, Lies and a Video Tape,” I wrote about the Clinton machine and how they are unfit to reenter the White House. I also raised my disgust | Read More »
Why Trump is a likely general election loser…
Be sure to up vote and recommend my piece and share it on Facebook, etc. A mistake many are making in this cycle consists of confusing a primary voting landscape with a general election. Democrats, like it or not, given prevailing trends in places like Virginia, and perhaps including CO and NV, have an electoral edge in the map dynamic. What this means in simple | Read More »
Final Iowa Predictions and Things to Look For
For true political junkies, tomorrow night represents something of a culmination of a multi-year buildup. After at least two years of speculation and ten months of formal primary season observing, we will finally get some tangible votes from the Hawkeye State. Here is what I’ll be looking for on the Republican side, followed by some final predictions. What To Look For Trump’s GOTV Efforts — After months of | Read More »
Water Cooler 1/31/16 Open Thread – Huck’s memory, Slowing the Twitter, Ribble to retire
Slowing the Twitter: The latest thing Donald Trump has taken credit for is slowing down Twitter. Talking Points Memo has up a bit of an exchange Mr. Yuuuge had with a CBS host who questioned his Twitter usage: “Having Twitter is great. And between Facebook and Twitter and Instagram, I have 12 million people, more than 12 million people. So it is a great way of getting the | Read More »
2016 – An Outsider’s Handicapping – Final Part V
Mitt Romney, John Kasich or Chris Christie were the most likely nominees per my analysis I first started in November of 2014. It has been over 14 months and tomorrow begins the voting, so I thought I would come back and revisit this one last time. Let’s see what happens! I had the final six being Romney, Kasich, Christie, Perry, Walker and Bush. We lost | Read More »
I’ve been lurking on Red State for years, but haven’t contributed with my own diary. Several years ago I hosted a blog called “Scottish Right.” I abandoned that project and always intended to re-establish a blog to discuss politics and public policy. Of course, there is a distinction between the two. I’m a rarity in that I’m an honest-to-goodness conservative from Cook County, Illinois. There | Read More »
Iowa Caucus open prediction diary ( Who do YOU think is gonna win?)
Well, having just spend several hours this fine Sunday morning watching multiple talking heads admit they don’t have a clue,I though it’s time to let Red Staters have their say. Here’s your chance to step up and call it as you see it, and tell us why. Remember, this is NOT what you hope will happen, but what you think might occur tomorrow night . | Read More »
The GOP Race: Electing a leader
In looking at our field of GOP candidates, there are many different people with many different styles and personalities. Which will be the best leader?
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Iowa Evangelical: What Do All Temptations Have in Common?
The united testimony of the Scriptures, which is confirmed by our own hearts, is that temptations of all types contain a falsehood: a deviation from the word of God which is presented as a more desirable alternative in the moment than to obey our Creator’s revealed will. In the garden, the first Adam heard “Did God actually say?” and, to our doom, succumbed; in the | Read More »
Gubernatorial Races in 2016: January News
While all eyes are on Iowa today and tomorrow, there are important gubernatorial races in 2016. There was some news on that front during January, so here it is. NOTE: Not every race is necessarily covered in these updates. So, for example, if there is no major news out of the Arizona senatorial race, there is no need to list it. Missouri: Well, if | Read More »
An Indictment Against Conservative Media
The Golden Age of journalism is dead. There are no more Edward R. Murrows, William F. Buckleys, or Walter Cronkites. Don’t look for them. They don’t exist. Those days when the news was the news and a journalist made his bones by digging for the facts and breaking the big stories are now the stuff of faded legend. While the advent of the internet has | Read More »
Fox News and the RNC Want to Pick Our Candidate and Teach Us Tolerance
In the ongoing quest to educate Americans on the value to our country of two groups that have allegedly suffered from Trump’s rhetoric and America’s scorn, Fox presented three questions from members of those groups, unquestionably designated for Trump, who decided not to attend the debate—perhaps wisely. It’s interesting how Fox was able to find no less than two veterans, one Muslim and the | Read More »
About That Targeted Cruz GOTV Mailer
The Ted Cruz presidential campaign sent out a targeted mailer this week in Iowa informing voters of their public voting record, and controversially, that of their neighbors. The mailer was designed to increase voter turnout at the Iowa caucuses February 1. The story was first reported by Sarah Rumpf at IJ Review. The Cruz “You haven’t voted, and your neighbors will know” mailer is based | Read More »
Mark Zuckerberg PR Genius
This is a public relations stunt cooked up by Mark Zuckerberg and company. Shame on the Times for putting what amounts to an ad on the front page.
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Things to think about from your Dutch Uncle. (Hispanic but still)
Since Trump announced, the GOP has been gnashing teeth, rending clothes, and looking for sackcloth to don and ashes to heap on their heads—-all is lost. Before we self-induce heart attacks on a massive scale within our party, lets take a real look at the race for President. Like the proverbial Dutch (Hispanic) uncle, I love the Republican party enough to tell the bare truth and respect the GOP enough to respect | Read More »
Did Cruz Lose? Is it Trump the Victorious or just the Wizard Of Oz?
There are two campaigns taking place. One campaign is being conducted by the corporate media, intent on catapulting Trump into the nomination and the general election against whichever Democrat emerges. This is so that no matter what, America gets more big government and more compromise benefiting the Washington / Wall Street Axis.
The other campaign is the real one, decided not by political polls inflated by Trump’s celebrity status, but by actual voters who are taking a good, hard look at Donald Trump’s clown act, however entertaining it might be, and trying to picture him sitting in the Oval Office. It also suggests that Trump is un-electable, which his extraordinarily high Hillary level unfavorable numbers underline.
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Final Iowa poll results: 72% of Republicans despise/loathe/detest “The Donald”
Well, the final Iowa poll, in advance of the caucus, is out, and Trump’s ahead with 28% of the vote. Given the other just released poll, which shows “The Donald” with the HIGHEST unfavorable numbers among Republicans, since, well..maybe Bill Clinton…I have just one question for all those who tell us that Trump’s inevitable… After New Hampshire, we’re likely to see the GOP field cut | Read More »
The racism of modern feminism
I noted, three weeks ago, on both The First Street Journal and RedState, that über-feminist Amanda Marcotte, long a documenter of the what she believes is a “rape epidemic” due to Teh Evil White Cisheteronormative Patriarchy™, has somehow failed to pay the slightest bit of attention to the sexual assaults on New Year’s Eve in Cologne, Germany. Miss Marcotte has always, always! been insistent on | Read More »
Colbert made a campaign ad for Cruz
I wouldn’t normally have seen this because I don’t watch leftist commentators like Colbert but a friend sent it to me and I thought it was good enough to share. Since Trump dropped out of the last debate, Colbert put on a Trump v. Trump debate and it’s pretty damn funny. It’s worth 8 minutes of your time.
Politics and Lying
When you live in a fallen world like we are today, where sinful behavior is the norm, lying is not considered to be bad trait. Whoever gets elected president or into congress is an accomplished liar. Lying, along with a capacity for backbiting, ambiguity, and double-dealing are in fact, actual job qualifications for politicians. The reasons politicians lie is because the public doesn’t want to | Read More »
Liar, Liar, Pantsuit on Fire
Once again, Hillary is prominent in the news, but not the kind of prominence she was expecting. The fact that this woman is seriously running for the Democratic Party’s nomination for President shows how thin the bench is on the Democrat side. If her name were anything other than Hillary Clinton, she’d be living in Martha’s old room at Camp Fed Prison in Alderson, West Virginia. With Friday’s | Read More »
Water Cooler 1/30/16 Open Thread – Can’t stand him, PETA’s creepy museum plan, Trolling
Trolling a quarterback: Quarterbacks are probably used to getting trolled, but probably not from dead people. Poor Jay Cutler. Here’s a portion of an obituary which ran in the Chicago Trib, courtesy of Yahoo. We are told Elizabeth Bowman was many wonderful things, including: “…a woman of loyalty, integrity, opinion, curiosity and intelligence. A lifelong fan of the Cubs, Blackhawks and Bears (except Jay Cutler).” Here’s a poll: | Read More »
The Democrats and GOP Establishment Have Chosen Their Destructor
It’s YUGE! Tucker Carson: Donald Trump is Shocking, Vulgar, and Right On immigration policy, party elders were caught completely by surprise. Even canny operators like Ted Cruz didn’t appreciate the depth of voter anger on the subject. And why would they? If you live in an affluent ZIP code, it’s hard to see a downside to mass low-wage immigration. Your kids don’t go to public school. | Read More »
The think tanks have failed us, too
The rise of Donald Trump is directly related to the failure of the Republican establishment. We get that. Boy, do we get that. But let’s dig a little deeper and define the establishment. It’s not just the politicians and the party apparatus. In fact, I’d venture to say that the average guy and gal, the ones who believed the rhetoric about smaller government being better government, | Read More »
Rep. John Shimkus (R-IL 15th District) Must Go – Part 3
I put it to you again. Shimkus can & must be stopped. State Senator Kyle McCarter is our best chance to stop Shimkus. McCarter has the qualities & the principles we need in DC. The IL-15th can do better than Rep. Shimkus. The IL-15th DESERVES better than Rep. Shimkus.
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