The media have already picked their winner. My colleagues Pejman Yousefzedeh and Bob Hahn have pointed to a Rassmussen poll that indicates 49% of sentient Americans believe the media is in the tank for Barack Obama
Today on the front page of the Washington Post two reporters, with a thrill running up their collective leg, demonstrate the veracity of this poll by engaging in blatant, robust man-love (we are giving them the benefit of the doubt at this stage) for Obama by doing violence to the very notion of mathematics as anything other than metaphor.
A lot of ink has been spilled over whether or not failed Iraqi Prime Minister Nour al-Maliki has endorsed Barack Obama's plan for troop withdrawal. Never mind that the controversy hinges on one number, to wit 16, and ignores the premises behind the number. Obama made his proposal in the context of the war in Iraq being lost:
"My plan for ending the war would turn the page in Iraq by removing our combat troops from Iraq’s civil war; by taking a new approach to press for a new accord on reconciliation within Iraq; by talking to all of Iraq’s neighbors to press for a compact in the region; and by confronting the human costs of this war.
The stated purpose of the surge was to enable Iraq's political leaders to reconcile. They have not done so. . . . Our troops fight and die in the 120 degree heat to give Iraq's leaders space to agree, but they are not filling it. . . . The bar for success is so low that it is almost buried in the sand." While the failed Iraqi government is referring to troop reductions in the context of winning a war.
Today the post runs a front page, above-the-fold, story headlined:
Iraq Points to Pullout in 2010
High-Level Statement Is Second in Days to Back Timetable Similar to Obama's
Whether or not this headline is an accurate statement or simply a case of WaPo reporters Sudarsan Raghavan and Dan Eggen fellating Obama depends on what "similar" means.
From the story:
The comments by spokesman Ali al-Dabbagh mark the second time in recent days that a senior Iraqi has endorsed a timetable for U.S. withdrawal that is roughly similar to the one advocated by Obama. Dabbagh suggested that a combat force pullout could be completed by the end of 2010, which would be about seven months longer than Obama's 16-month formulation (emphasis mine).
So if Obama's "plan" calls for a 16-month redeployment of US troops and the Iraqi government's proposal is 23-months, or some 44% longer that Obama's, they are still similar. Now granted, they are similar in that they are integers beyond that the similarity is more than a little unclear. This is an expansive definition of "similar" that I could have benefited from in my failed attempt to be a geologist had my professors been WaPo readers.
Using the same definition "similar" would include any period of time from 9 through 23 months, inclusive, and could undoubtedly be expanded as much as necessary to support any position taken by the Obama campaign and we'll undoubtedly see this happen in the course of the campaign when Obama will have to eventually admit that a US military presence in Iraq, similar to that we've had in Germany and Korea, is inevitable.


If I remember correctly...
bnb614 July 22nd, 2008 at 11:51 a.m. (link)
I distinctly remember Obama saying he would have the troops out in 16 months, IN 2009. As if he meant 16 months from when he was talking, not when inaugurated if he wins. Which would make him and the Iraqi leader's comments even less similar....
Obama our next president, brought to you by the MSM
John E. July 22nd, 2008 at 12:28 p.m. (link)
Look, the Victory Card is just what Obama needs to finesse in order to justify his 16 month plan. To his great luck Maliki et al put that on the table at just the right time. Now his fans in the MSM are spinning the narrative in the way that helps him best,sweeping all Obama's foolishness aside in the joyful celebration of his great luck..
Figuring out Obama
Northsider July 23rd, 2008 at 1:02 a.m. (link)
You missed the misstep in said paper about this being the second time Obama's been endorsed by the Iraqi leadership. I haven't found the first yet.
bnb, you can find the "By the end of 2009" statement in his Iraq War Fact Sheet. http://www.barackobama.com/issues/pdf/IraqFactSheet.pdf
CNN, on the other hand, claims (in their coverage of the Der Spiegel mistranslation) that he says it's 16 months after he takes office (and it wouldn't be the first time someone doing stuff for him has goofed). Does anyone have a figure for the number of brigades in Iraq? That might give us a better look at when he actually plans to have the troops out, if one follows his 1 or 2 brigades per month comments (also in the pdf).