Next year is the bicentennial of the War of 1812 when a young fledging nation successfully battled and defeated the British Empire for the second time. What better way to mark the 200th anniversary than with the War of 2012?
Hopefully, the War of 2012 unlike the War of 1812 will not result in the burning of the White House and US Capitol building, but it may shape up to be just as brutal even without fire, bullets and bloodshed.
This we know, the War of 2012 will be an uncivil war comprised of mini-wars fought viciously on various fronts. At the beginning of 2012 war clouds will build before both sides unleash their mighty messaging power in September with a D-Day style, media barrage assaulting every communications device in sight.
Thankfully, the War of 2012 does have a November 6th Election Day end date. However, occasionally Election Days do not end exactly as planned.
(See Election Day - November 7, 2000 - Bush vs. Gore)
Here are the battle grounds on which the War of 2012 will be waged:
The rich vs. the poor vs. the middle class; the haves vs. the have nots; the skilled vs. the unskilled. No matter to which group you belong, all will have a dog in this fight. Here are some pertinent facts fueling Class Warfare:
- Only half of American taxpayers pay federal income tax.
- The number of Americans receiving food stamps is 44.2 million.
- Of all the babies now born in our nation, 49% are to families receiving federal food supplements.
- According to the 2010 Census 15.7% or 47.8 million Americans are living in poverty.
Considering our government is $14.6 trillion in debt, Class Warfare will be a central and emotional debate driving many other issues during the War of 2012.
The Culture War/Holy War
This mini- war has been ongoing for the last 30 years but is on track to get even nastier in the War of 2012, as both sides feel more threatened by the other on issues relating to gay marriage, abortion, gun control, Obama Care and the role of religion in public life.
Then looming large over the 2012 election are four aging Supreme Court justices, all in their seventies. The likelihood that the winner of the War of 2012 will be called upon to name one or more new justices sometime during his/her term is highly probable. Whether a Republican or Democrat president makes those nominations could effect decisions on important social issues for decades.
Another way to interpret the Culture War is as a Holy War pitting Republicans, that research has shown are more likely to attend church, and generally hold more traditional social and cultural views --- against Democrats, who are less likely to attend church and hold more liberal views.
Also, the religious beliefs of Obama and his 2012 opponent are sure to be hotly debated in the War of 2012. The New York Times is making sure of that.
Big Government vs. Less Government vs. Broke Government
This will be the Mother of All Battles in the War of 2012. But no matter which candidate wins, our nation has already lost because our current levels of spending cannot be sustained.
Regardless, the demands for more domestic entitlement and infrastructure spending will grow louder and government spending will increase anyway as it tries to prop up our sagging economy, with its slow growth, high unemployment, aging population, increasing poverty rates, and crumbling infrastructure.
The size and cost of government will be argued ad nausea in the War of 2012 and always circles back to the main battlefield, Class Warfare.
The Money War
Never in the history of the world will there be so much money raised and spent on a presidential election than what will be expended in the War of 2012.
Is this any way to pick our next leader? No, but the Money War provides the necessary fuel for all those souped-up campaign engines.
We are now in what some in the media are calling the Era of the Super PACs. This was brought about by the Supreme Court’s ruling in the 2010 Citizens United case. The ruling allows for direct political spending by corporations and unions, thus unleashing floodgates of campaign cash that is being channeled into political action committees in what amounts to a “Wild West” of fundraising.
And remember those Super PACs do not have to reveal their donors and are forbidden (wink wink) to coordinate directly with the “official” campaign.
Then, to make matters worse, we have a “Campaigner in Chief” as President of the United States and raising money is the only job he seems to do really well.
According to USA Today, at last count Obama had already attended 127 fundraisers -- more than any of his predecessors -- on his way to his re-election campaign goal of $1 billion. As a result, Republican candidates vying to win the GOP nomination and defeat an incumbent president must spend virtually all their time going to fundraisers and that will continue non-stop once President Obama’s opponent is determined.
Both sides in The War of 2012 will be cash rich, and prove beyond a reasonable doubt that campaign finance in our broke nation is broken beyond repair.
The Main Stream Media vs. the Conservative Media
No reasonable person disputes that in 2008 the main stream media (MSM) was unabashedly “in the tank’ for Obama. So the question looms in the War of 2012, will the media be there for him again? The answer is undoubtedly “yes,” particularly if current "front runner" Texas Governor Rick Perry is the Republican nominee.
With Perry, the MSM sees the second coming of George W. Bush, so you can expect to witness Bush Derangement Syndrome 2.0 with Perry’s face attached.
If Romney were to be the nominee, the MSM media would harp on his Mormon faith and personal wealth, but the MSM would not give Romney nearly the treatment they would give Perry. But since the media has so much vested in Obama, it would be very difficult for them to cover him objectively.
Therefore, in the War of 2012 the MSM will still be Obama’s cheerleaders but without the pom-poms. Fox News and Talk Radio will definitely have their work cut out for them.
The Two Parties vs. the New Internet Party
This would be a completely new front in the War of 2012. A well-funded group called Americans Elect will be launching a 3rd party nominating process via the internet. The current plan is to be on the ballot in all 50 states.
Who then would be their presidential nominee? One could assume someone like former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman would be the perfect candidate.
If Americans Elect are only partially successful, the winner of the War of 2012 could end up being determined by the House of Representatives. Then history might just repeat itself 200 years later with the War of 2012 resulting in a figurative burning inside the Capitol. And you can bet the air inside the Capitol Dome would be just as hot as the flames were when the British burned the building during the War of 1812.