Bob Dole Urges GOP Unity And Pimps Newt Gingrich As VP Nominee
After saying he would not vote for Ted Cruz, Bob Dole is not extolling the virtues of supporting Donald TrumpRead More »
In April I blogged about Larry Sabato’s statement that, in the wake of the much-vaunted 2008 Obama realignment, “we’re on our way from being a two-party system to being a party-and-a-half system. And the Republicans are the half a party.” Sabato was all over the tube last night and today, but I didn’t hear any mea culpas from him about what now seems like a ridiculous prediction. Nor did I hear any apologies from the many other pundits who made similar predictions.
Obama’s 2008 victory in Virginia was the crown jewel of the supposed realignment. Now it’s a glaring example of how silly virtually every declaration of realignment turns out to be. As I said in April, such declarations “are appealing in their simplicity and particularly persuasive in the aftermath of a one-sided election. But, like all analyses based on sample sizes of one or two elections, they’re essentially worthless.”