First, let me apologize to RedState readers for taking so long to write and post this overdue piece, the time I allocated to write this was the same time the site was down for maintenance over the weekend.
Regardless, my predictions of winning the House floor vote were wrong.
Simply put, the pro-lfe amendment by Rep. Stupak moved enough Dems into the yes category -- but the price paid by Speaker Pelosi was to throw the pro-abortion groups under the bus -- and there is a new, titanium strong pro-life baseline consensus on public funding or facilitating the killing of innocent babies: the US House is at a !@#&!$&# NO on that.
Had Rep. Stupak's amendment failed, the House bill would have failed.
No doubt, and the shock of seeing 64 Dem votes for Rep. Stupak's don't use public money to kill the innocents was a Maxell moment for both the Democratic and Republican House Leadership. No one predicted that high a Yes Dem vote.
The desperate position the Speaker must have been in to have to accept the Stupak amendment should not be understated. She and her pro-abortion pals understand that Stupak was a huge step down the path of America becoming a pro-life nation. They have imposed upon themselves and their ilk a negative precedent which cannot be undone.
Dropping the Stupak amendment in conference, should the bill pass the Senate, which I doubt -- will mean the conference report will fail on the House floor.
Just think of the desperation of the Speaker, to be FORCED to accept this political price. She pivoted on abortion, and decided the Stupak amendment was worth the price to pass the bill.
For the Jamestown Kool-aid brigade of Dems who voted with the Speaker who are from Red States -- you will die a hard and agonizing political death of your own making. Whatever rationale you used to vote for this politically and fiscally toxic bill $3 Trillion spending ObamaCare bill -- you are wrong and you are TOAST. (Here is the Congressional Budget Office letter on the $3 Trillion in spending number.)
Most Accurate RedStater
One RedStater who was consistent and accurate on the House vote outcome in their comments on my blogs should be "called-out," to use the President's term:
Most accurate: bk. I really appreciate (just for the record) those who disagree with my posts and predictions, and am recognizing bk here for his or her insight and accuracy.
In fact, bk, when I wrote the Today's House Vote, by the Numbers, the implications of the Stupak amendment and deal were simply not part of that post's calculation, as you immediately both understood and pointed out.
Thank you for all the dissident commentators, as one myself, I appreciate disagreement with my posts.