Mr. Crist, can we talk?
It isn't your night. I'm sorry, but it isn't. Marco has a twenty-plus lead over you by now. You won't survive the primary. You won't win on a third-party run, either. 2010 is a GOP year; but it's not your year. I do not say this to wound you, but because it needs to be said. Florida wants a fire-eater. You are not.
So here's my suggestion. Announce that you are dropping out, for the good of the party, and so that you can do some 'soul-searching.' Spend the rest of your term as governor doing all the good things that good, conservative Republican Governors do. Be Marco Rubio's best buddy, with a happy smile and a wave. Get him elected. Then start up your Senate bid for 2012; you would be a better match against Bill Nelson anyway. If you do this, you would start with the goodwill of the Florida Republican party - who don't want to have a tumultuous primary - and the goodwill of the new junior Senator from Florida for your campaign. These are not bad things to have.
Just... think about it, all right?
Crossposted to Moe Lane.