Dear LGBT Community, Resistance to Your Community Has Nothing To Do With Being “Phobic”
If it’s not phobia, then why would we resist the LGBT community’s march on the culture? The answer is simple.Read More »
When pressed for a number, Boehner said he believed the GOP could win as many as 100 seats in this fall’s elections.
“At least 100 seats,” Boehner said when asked how wide the playing field for districts is. “I do,” the top House Republican answered when asked if he thinks there are 100 seats in the U.S. “that could change hands.”
Much as I hate to contradict Rep. Boehner, we must fight inaccuracy in all its forms. There are not currently one hundred Democratic-held seats that could change hands, and he should have known better than to claim that in this media atmosphere.
There are currently only ninety-nine.The chart below compares data from two Cook Political Reports: the former is the first one Charlie Cook did after Election Day 2008, and the latter is the latest one, as of 8 AM Monday morning, 05/03/2010. Cook divides up seats by the below rankings, plus two more (“Safe Democratic” and “Safe Republican”). Essentially, if a seat shows up on the list, the seat ‘could change hands’ under the right circumstances.
So, two things from this chart:
So that’s why Boehner said that. Allahpundit’s a little worried that only getting, say, 55 when we appear to be talking about 100 will make our victory look smaller than it is; to which I say, we’ll just have to live with that, and I suspect that we’ll bear up well under the strain. After all, a 55 seat shift will mean that the House Democratic leadership roster will look like their caucus had a bout with the plague…
Crossposted to Moe Lane.