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Health Care: “momentum has been completely on the GOP’s side over the last few days”

Several web sites are keeping track of how congressmen will probably vote.  For example:

David Dayen at Firedoglake

The Hill

Jay Cost at RealClearPolitics

Hotline On Call

According to Hotline On Call, “momentum has been completely on the GOP’s side over the last few days, and now, even stalwart Dems like Reps. Luis Gutierrez (D-IL) and Mike Capuano (D-MA) are expressing concern about the bill.”

There are a few main things to keep in mind.  First, all GOP House members are expected to vote against the Senate Bill.  So, that means Democrats are seeking votes from at least 216 of their 253 members; therefore, the GOP is hoping that least 38 Democratic House members will vote against the Senate bill.

Another thing to keep in mind is that, within a few days, Speaker Pelosi will schedule a vote.  No matter what she says, that will not necessarily signify that she has the votes.  She is under pressure from Democratic House members as well as the White House to get this over with, no matter which way it comes out.  And the last thing that Democrats want is to go beyond March 26, which is when the Easter Recess begins.

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