Very few (even those writing from a perspective of reason and reality) capture precisely where the 2012 presidential election is headed when November 6 arrives. Michael Graham, writing a poignant piece for the Boston Herald, hit a grand slam today:
Forget about the biased, inaccurate polling coming from the left. Skew the sampling +9 REPUBLICAN in Ohio and Romney wins that state by 10-12 points. Loser polling massively over-sampling Dems is not the cause for hand-wringing. It is cause for mocking and debunking because anyone with a brain knows exactly what such polls are designed to do: depress GOP and Independent enthusiasm, because both are supporting Mitt Romney in a HUGE way.
Graham articulately points out where Barack Obama is right now in national polling:
The president, on the other hand, has peaked at 47 percent. The Battleground Poll model shows Obama losing 52 percent to 47 percent. Rasmussen daily tracking has Obama losing 49 percent to 47 percent. Pew has him tied: 47 percent to 47 percent. But more important, all the polls show Obama sliding or stuck. None show any upward movement.
He then points out how the Obama team's rhetoric spells desperation...and how that GOTEV (Get Out The Early Vote) thing is working for Obama:
Obama supporters are quick to tell you “the only poll that matters is the one on Election Day.” Two things: a) that’s what candidates who are behind always say; b) this is election day.
Thanks to early voting, millions of votes have already been cast. Four years ago on this day — Halloweek — Gallup released a poll of folks who’d already voted and found Obama was beating John McCain by 15 points.
This year? He’s losing to Mitt Romney 52 percent to 45 percent — a set swing of 22 points. The wrong way.
I don't know about you folks, but here in the Hoosier State I am seeing a swell of support for Romney that was nowhere to be found through the primaries. I am getting similar reports from my people in the Dayton, OH area.
But most of all, what I am getting is a general sense of Carter-esque malaise on the part of voters' attitude toward Barack Obama. One woman I spoke to in Englewood, OH sounded almost distraught that she had voted for Obama last time around. She reported scores of people within her orbit who felt the same way. And as an Indiana Hoosier, I don't have to tell you how many voters here wish they could have a mulligan in the last election.
So to the hand-wringers, I leave you with this:
PUT DOWN THE WORRY RAG...STOP DWELLING ON INACCURATE, SKEWED POLLS AND SPRINT TO THE FINISH LINE!
We are on a path to taking America back that cannot be stopped by anyone if we stay strong, GOTV, and remain confident that the American voting public will vote the way we know they feel in this election. Independents are SWARMING to Romney. Our side is as excited to vote as I have seen since 1980. This may well be a landslide when all is said and done.
Keep working...keep the faith...and as always, remain strong in conservatism as the country continues to follow our lead!