Analysis: Chris Cillizza tries way too hard, misses with his pro-Democrat angle on Tuesday's Pennsylvania race
Chris Cillizza on Tuesday's special election in Pennyslvania's 12th Congressional District, where Democrat Mark Critz beat Republican Tim Burns 53% to 46%:
- "House Republicans try to stop bleeding from PA special election loss"
- "House Republicans are trying to quickly pivot away from a devastating loss earlier this week in a Pennsylvania special election"
Yet, later in the same article, Cillizza writes this: "On Thursday, Public Opinion Strategies pollster Gene Ulm, who handled the survey research for the NRCC in the race, sat down with the leadership team of the committee to explain what had happened and why. (Short explanation: Turnout was driven heavily by the primary races, which were on the same day as the special election.)" Which seems to acknowledge this: the extremely-competitive Democratic primary between incumbent Arlen Specter and successful challenger Joe Sestak increased turnout... which would have helped any Democrat in a special election against a Republican on that same day.
Here's Jay Cost on PA-12:
"Let's begin with the political demography of the district. In 2004, George W. Bush won 255 congressional districts. PA-12 was not one of them. From 1994 to 2006, the Republicans held the United States House of Representatives, controlling as many as 232 seats. PA-12 was never one of them."
Connect with Benjamin Hodge at Facebook, Twitter, LinkedIn, The Kansas Progress, and LibertyLinked. Hodge is President of the State and Local Reform Group of Kansas. He served as one of seven at-large trustees at Johnson County Community College from 2005-’09, a member of the Kansas House from 2007-’08, a delegate to the Kansas Republican Party from 2009-’10, and was founder of the Overland Park Republican Party in 2011. His public policy record is recognized by Americans for Prosperity, the Kansas Association of Broadcasters, the Kansas Press Association, the Kansas Sunshine Coalition for Open Government, the NRA, Kansans for Life, and the Foundation for Individual Rights in Education (FIRE).