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Kansas 3rd District Survey: Kevin Yoder 25%, Patricia Lightner 21%

This past weekend, my political action committee Kansans for Government Reform commissioned a survey in Johnson County and in the 4th Congressional District.  Here are the results for four questions — 3rd District Republican primary, 4th District Republican primary, Sam Brownback’s approval rating, and the ideological breakdown of Republican primary voters.  Note that for budgetary reasons we did not survey the entire 3rd District, but only voters in Johnson County, where about 90% of all 3rd District Republicans live (Johnson County also has 10,000 more likely Republican voters than the 4th District).  

The Virginia-based company ccAdvertising contacted 10,000 voters between on Friday through Sunday, June 4, 5, and 6.  Voters were chosen from a Kansas Secretary of State database.  A voter was contacted only if he or she was a registered Republican, and if he or she had voted in at least one of the following elections:  the August 2004 election, August 2006 election, or August 2008 election.  Voters were chosen from Johnson County and from the 4th Congressional District, based on home address.  The survey was automated with a recorded male voice, and respondents were given the option to reply either “yes” or “no” to questions.  1637 people answered at least one question.  With election-related questions, candidates were listed in alphabetical order.  Respondents are only included in our results if they answered “yes” or “no,” meaning that respondents who offered no response, or an inaudible response, are not included in the total when computing percentages for a particular question; to clarify, then, this means that in a multi-candidate election question, for a respondent to be included in our final totals for that particularly question, the respondent must have either responded “yes” to one candidate, or else the respondent must have answered “no” for EVERY candidate.  Voters were asked if they lived in Johnson County:  the 3rd District primary question was asked to “yes” respondents, and the 4th District primary question was asked to “no” respondents.

No weighting or changes were done to the results, after the survey was completed.

Results:

Ideology:

Conservative:          414    70.5%

Moderate:              137    23.3%

Liberal:                   36      6.1%

Total:                     587    100%

3rd District primary:

Daniel Gilyeat:        41    13.3%

Dave King:              16    5.2%

Patricia Lightner:     65    21.1%

Jean Ann Uvodich:   8     2.6%

Kevin Yoder:           76    24.8%

Undecided:             101  32.9%

Total:                     307  100%

4th District primary:

Jim Anderson:        19     5.5%

Wink Hartman:       140   40.8%

Mike Pompeo:        90     26.2%

Jean Schodorf:        47    13.7%

Undecided:             47     13.7%

Total:                     343    100%

Sam Brownback:

Name ID

Heard of, yes:         620     97.9%

Heard of, no:          13        2.1%

Total:                     633     100%

Favorable opinion of Brownback (asked only among “yes” on Name ID)

Yes:                      393     65.9%

No:                        203     34.1%

Total:                     596     100%

For comparison purposes (see embedded links for further information):

3rd District:  For the 3rd District race, there is only one poll that has been publicly released, and that was Nick Jordan’s February 2010 poll that showed Jordan at 27%, Kevin Yoder at 9%, 5% Patricia Lightner, 5% Charlotte O’Hara, and about 50% undecided.

4th District:  For the 4th District, I am aware of just one poll, which was performed by SurveyUSA in February 2010, but it listed two candidates who no longer in the picture.  SurveyUSA showed Hartman at 36%, State Senator Dick Kelsey (no longer running, and has endorsed Pompeo) at 11%, Pompeo at 10%, Schodorf at 10%, and Anderson at 6%.

Brownback:  SurveyUSA’s May 2010 tracking poll listed Brownback’s overall approval rating at 48%.  It found that 63% of Republicans approved of Brownback.

Other ccAdvertising surveys:  Lastly, for readers unfamiliar with ccAdvertising, I am going to reference some of their recent surveys, to demonstrate the company’s good track record.

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Connect with Benjamin Hodge at FacebookTwitterLinkedInThe Kansas Progress, and LibertyLinked. Hodge is President of the State and Local Reform Group of Kansas.  He served as one of seven at-large trustees at Johnson County Community College from 2005-’09, a member of the Kansas House from 2007-’08, a delegate to the Kansas Republican Party from 2009-’10, and was founder of the Overland Park Republican Party in 2011.  His public policy record is recognized by Americans for Prosperity, the Kansas Association of Broadcasters, the Kansas Press Association, the Kansas Sunshine Coalition for Open Government, the NRAKansans for Life, and the Foundation for Individual Rights in Education (FIRE).

 


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