PART 2 OF 4. You can read Part 1 here.
Important note: this poll was done in early December 2012, long before Kansas Senator Pat Roberts voted to increase taxes on 77% of households, to increase taxes on “more than 80 percent of households with incomes between $50,000 and $200,000,” to increase the death tax, to increase taxes by $41 for every $1 in spending cuts, when even moderate Congresswoman Lynn Jenkins found it within herself to vote “no,” when the same bill contained a NASCAR tax credit, when the bill was not made publicly available, and when I find it impossible to believe the 78-year-old TARP-supporting Roberts read the bill after midnight.
You can read the full poll results and methodology at KansasReform.com. I wanted to wait for a local paper, The Gardner News, to publish its story on this poll, before I wrote about it on my RedState diary.
The main purpose of this poll was not about Senator Roberts. It was about local issues in the city of Gardner, Kansas. I took the opportunity to add one question about Roberts in the 22-question poll. As I wrote in my last article, “The city of Gardner, Kansas, is a suburb of Greater Kansas City and one of the fastest growing cities in the state. In 2010 to 2011, the entire state grew at a 0.6% rate, while Gardner experienced almost three times the growth rate, at 1.6%. The city grew by 104% between 2000 and 2010.”
Roberts is expected to run for re-election in 2014.
In 2014, US Senator Pat Roberts is up for re-election. Do you think Senator Roberts should run for re-election, or should he retire?
- If run for re-election, press 1
- If he should retire, press 2
- Undecided, press 3
Result: US Senator Pat Roberts – Should Roberts run for re-election or retire?
Run for re-election: 25.6%
Regarding the margin of error, it is a high 8.9%, but it’s difficult to find good news for Senator Roberts, regardless. This was a very conservative sample: 62% of respondents were registered as Republicans, 54% considered themselves either “very conservative” or “somewhat conservative,” Secretary of State Kris Kobach had a 56% favorability rating, and 63% voted for Mitt Romney in November (Romney received 60% of the state-wide Kansas vote). I run this PAC as a hobby, this was an automated poll (which yields smaller response rates than live polls), and I had a small initial sample size; if you would like to pay more for a live poll and compare those results to mine, I invite you to do that. As I wrote in my previous RedState post:
“I’ll note that, yes, there is a high margin of error of 8.9%, and that is because of the relatively few number of voters. I still consider these results valuable — after all, even if you add or subtract 8.9% from any of these figures, they are still encouraging numbers for conservatives. I use an automated polling method, and we started with a database of about 3,000 likely voters and 2,300 valid phone numbers. The number of people answering the first question was within our average of 5-11%, but that’s 5-11% of an already-small number, and we do weight the polls afterwards for gender, party affiliation, and age.”
Once again, full results can be found here.
Read the front-page article on our poll in The Gardner News by clicking here:
Connect with Benjamin Hodge at Facebook, Twitter, LinkedIn, Google Plus, Tumblr, mrcTV.org, YouTube, The Kansas Progress, and LibertyLinked. Hodge is President of the State and Local Reform Group of Kansas. He served as a member of the Kansas House of Representatives, an at-large trustee at Johnson County Community College, a delegate to the Kansas Republican Party, a Republican precinct committeeman in Johnson County, and was founder of the modern Overland Park Republican Party. His public policy record is recognized by Americans for Prosperity, the Kansas Association of Broadcasters, the Kansas Press Association, the Kansas Sunshine Coalition for Open Government, the NRA, Fox News’ Bill O’Reilly, the Foundation for Individual Rights in Education (FIRE), Kansas’ largest pro-life group, and the Kansas Chamber of Commerce.