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Larry Sabato says outlook getting worse for Dems

e’s come out with his 60-day crystal ball. Here are a few highlights.

  • Senate: +8 or +9 for GOP, up from his previous +7. He wonders what Nelson and/or Lieberman might do if the GOP comes up just short of a majority.
  • House: +47 net for GOP. His wording is odd, saying they have a “good chance” to pick up “as many as” 47, but then says that he’s been conservative in these estimates.
  • Governors: +8 for GOP, up from +6. With redistricting on the horizon, this is a big deal.

He also notes that on the six occasions since WWII when the House has flipped, the Senate also did so unexpectedly.

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