A couple of weeks ago I gave the GOP a hard time about not paying close enough to the disastrous ObamaCare legislation and allowing Americans to forget about what has been rammed down our throats by the Democrats. Today, House Minority Leader John Boehner’s office published a thorough analysis of the “Three Months of Broken Promises” brought on by this abomination, and in doing so, he has done an excellent job in publicizing the lies and broken health care promises of the Obama administration.
There’s a reason why we must continue to be diligent in our opposition: there is a direct correlation between opposition to ObamaCare and support for GOP candidates. From the June 19th Wall Street Journal:
In both January and May, opinion about reform had a statistically significant and electorally important impact on intention to vote against the Democratic candidate for Senate. Voters who opposed health reform were around 20 percentage points more likely to vote for the Republican candidate.
We also asked the standard generic ballot question, “If the 2010 elections for the House of Representatives were held today, would you vote Democrat or Republican?” If anything, the effect of health reform on House races is even larger than the 20 point effect on Senate races. In January, voters who opposed health reform were 24 points more likely to vote Republican; by May, they were 44 points more likely. This is consistent with Charles Franklin’s analysis in Pollster.com showing that, for the first time since 1994, Republicans lead in the generic ballot.
The Journal article focuses on the importance of the GOP gaining or retaining the support of independents:
In contrast, independents’ views about health reform have a much greater effect on their vote intention. If, in either Colorado or Ohio, the president could swing independents’ opinion about health reform in his favor, our model predicts that the Democratic candidate for Senate could pick up as much as six additional percentage points of the independent vote.
In Colorado, this would mean that independents would split 56% to 44% for the Democrat rather than 50/50; in Ohio, it would mean that independents would split 52% to 48% rather than 57% to 43% for the Republican. In a close race, this could be enough to put the Democrat in the lead. Given the stability of public opinion in close states, our analysis suggests that the president faces an uphill battle.
Not that any of this should be a huge shocker, but…it is important to keep the pressure on. And Rep. Boehner’s work is an excellent example of this.
So, to give credit where credit is due – I’m thrilled to see the GOP applying pressure. The Boehner document is outstanding, and I strongly urge everyone to download it and send it to their favorite leftist.