SEARCH ALL ARTICLES BY chadb:
I have B.S. and M.S. in physics and a PhD in Medical Physics. I am a Christian, Husband, and father of 3. I have spent most of my life in the South, but am now getting used to living in upstate NY.

RECENT ARTICLES

    Cruz: More Electable than Rubio

    I know, that is a crazy title, right?  How could possibly be more electable than ?  I mean Rubio is more establishment, more likable, better looking, and more charming.  There are three ways to improve your electoral advantages though Increase base turnout Win over independents Depress opponents voters The standard “electability” critera that favor Rubio (charming, attractive, personable CAP) mainly work by method 2: winning | Read More »

    McConnell, you must choose between Cruz and Trump

    Let’s start with dark horse candidates.  First off, a dark horse needs to have low name recognition and not have been already rejected.  Consider Santorum in 2012.  When Iowa went to vote there was little known about him and he had risen from ~2% in the polls not long before.  Several other candidates had peaked and slumped before Santorum.  Interestingly nobody peaked twice.  That is, | Read More »

    Cruz, Rubio, Trump, and the Supreme Court

    Right to life is decided in the courts.  That is a plain matter of fact.  We have a Federal system with state and national governments, and three co-equal branches.  The legislative branches have demonstrated a regular ongoing willingness to curb, and in some cases outright ban abortion.  Executives have regularly signed these laws, but the Judiciary regularly overturns the laws over things like “Well, its | Read More »

    Cruz vs Rubio will be decided in (early) December

    is clearly the establishment favorite right now.  He also has managed to put in a rider that prevented the use of general funds to cover the “risk corridors” in the ACA.  This block is what has United signalling that they may exit the exchanges, and if followed by Aetna this would be full bore death spiral. However, Obama has said that the risk corridor is | Read More »

    Some Candidates About to Go Broke

    At the end of the third quarter the candidates had to submit a bunch of financial documents.  These included simple things like the dollars coming in, cash on hand, and expenditures.  Let’s exclude Trump since should he ever decide to pay for his campaign out of pocket he could, and Jindal out of respect. We can take a quick stab and ask “if no more | Read More »

    An honest to goodness change in the primary race

    So I think you might have heard that the top two republican candidates are Donald Trump and Ben Carson and that this is an outsider’s election.  This has been the case both nationally and in the early states for months.  Well, wait no longer, there is a real update.  In New Hampshire the Realclearpolitics average has Carson and Rubio tied for second (technically they are | Read More »

    France and NATO

    Maybe I am way off, but I am under the impression that ISIS has attacked Paris.  I am also under the impression that Article 5 of NATO requires all member states to come to the military assistance of any member that is attacked. Shouldn’t all our defense hawks be pushing that just as we required countries to come to our aid October 4th 2011 we | Read More »

    In case you missed it, there are now 4 candidates

    So, I know polling is flawed.  The polls just were off in Kentucky by ~10 points.  However, there is a really interesting poll from Quinnipiac out on the Republican nomination.  It shows 4 candidates above 10 points, and everyone else below 5.  The only candidates above 10 are Carson, Trump, Rubio, and Cruz.  Everyone else is at 4 or below.  Everyone. More interestingly the average | Read More »

    To the Cruz Super PACs

    There are beginning to be a few articles about why Cruz’ super PACs aren’t spending yet.  My best guess is that Cruz when setting them up (before the firewall went in place) had a gameplan laid out and the PACs are following it.  However, it may be that the PACs are doing something else.  I would beg the PACs not to make movements in response | Read More »

    If Cruz wins could he win: Part 2 Electability

    So I am interested in why people support Donald Trump.  When the question was posed here the main answers were two fold: Cruz cannot win the general election If Cruz was elected he wouldn’t win any fights I addressed #2 in my last diary.  Basically Cruz is starting from the position that he will use executive authority to its fullest legal extent to advance the | Read More »