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    Witness The Political Genius of Salon

    Brian Beutler of Salon says Republicans are only pretending that Obamacare will help them at the polls. Hilarity ensues.

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    The Democrats’ 2014 Whitewash

    Barack Obama’s electoral success has shown the Democratic Party the value of a non-white candidate. So why are nearly all the statewide Democratic candidates this year white?

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    The Registration Gap

    The Boston Globe notices that the Democrats have a problem: [A] Globe analysis of voter registration data in swing states reveals scant evidence that the massive undertaking [of Democratic voter registration drives] is yielding much fresh support for Obama. In stark contrast to 2008, when a strong partisan tailwind propelled Democratic voter registration to record levels, this year Republican and independent gains are far outpacing | Read More »

    The Vice Presidential Stakes

    Ten of the last twenty presidents, dating back to 1900, have been forced from office or come close: one was forced to resign (Nixon), one was impeached (Clinton), two were assassinated (Kennedy and McKinley), one was shot (Reagan), one was shot at twice in three weeks (Ford), two died in office of natural causes (FDR and Harding), one was incapacitated by a stroke (Wilson), and | Read More »

    The Southern Strategy Myth and the Lost Majority

    I recently finished reading Sean Trende’s excellent book The Lost Majority, which is a must-read for anyone attempting to intelligently discuss its subject: how winning political coalitions are built, maintained and undone in the modern American two-party system. Trende covers a range of topics. At the level of political science theory, he dismantles the theory of periodic realigning elections. In his historical analysis, he may | Read More »

    The Supreme Court’s Disappointing Tax Ruling

    Yesterday’s ruling that Obamacare’s individual mandate exceeded Congress’ power under the Commerce Clause showcased the Supreme Court at its intellectual best: the fruits of years of detailed and heated scholarly and judicial debate, intensive briefing and vigorous argument were reflected in the various opinions. Unfortunately, the same cannot be said of the Court’s opinions on the alternative ground – the taxing power – that Chief | Read More »

    My Take on Today’s Obamacare Decision

    Here’s my writeup, elsewhere, on what happened. A few observations: -In the long run, I’d rather lose the ones we can fix democratically than the ones we can’t. -If Congress starts justifying every new regulation as a tax, Grover Norquist is going to be a very busy man. -Romney has raised a vast amount of money from a lot of new donors today. Even more | Read More »

    My Predictions on the Health Care Case

    I follow the Supreme Court fairly closely and, I like to think, intelligently, having participated in briefing a number of cases before the Court. (As usual, my speculation is my own, and not the view of my firm). But I’m as much in the dark as everyone else on how the Court will decide any given case – indeed, the more veteran and expert the | Read More »

    Tim Noah’s Sad Parade

    The publication of Jonah Goldberg’s new book The Tyranny of Clichés has brought forth a number of responses from liberals and progressives, many of them either essentially proving Goldberg’s point or entirely avoiding grappling with the book’s substance. The latest entrant is Tim Noah, now writing with The New Republic, who seeks to offer a companion to Goldberg’s collection of liberal clichés with his own | Read More »

    The Growth Deficit and Spending Fairy Tales

    The United States faces a number of economic and fiscal challenges in the short and long terms. But the single biggest is the Growth Deficit: the problem of government spending and government debt growing faster than the private sector. That deficit needs to be reversed; we are on an unsustainable path unless we start producing a Growth Surplus. And Republicans and conservatives need to put | Read More »