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Charlie Cook: Big Election Wave Alert “should terrify Democrats”

If you are wondering if Charlie Cook has pulled the fire alarm and is frantically jumping up and down with a bull horn trying to get the Democrats out of the building before many get hurt — wonder no more.

Charlie Cook in the National Journal has gone far past pulling the fire alarm — he is in full NATIONWIDE EMERGENCY BROADCAST SIGNAL mode. (Red on the domestic terror alert scale.)

The question is will the Democrats listen, or keep on keeping on, doing the Obamacare cram-down?

If the the Democrats were acting rationally, they would just STOP. They would work on the economy and work on their own political recovery, not on the toxic Obamacare.

But the three horsemen of the Democratic Apocalypse will not stop: Obama-Pelosi-Waxman keep pushing Obamacare. The President is even addressing a joint session of Congress on health care reform! He was invited by Speaker Pelosi and Senate Majority Leader Reid, no less. (Daily Kos/Research 2000 poll puts Reid at a 36% approval (52% unfavorable) rating in his home state.)

Why is the Obamacare cram-down irrational political behavior? Here is Charlie Cook’s lead in the National Journal:

Listening to two briefings — one by a Democratic pollster who had just conducted a survey for a group favoring health care reform, the other by a Republican pollster more skeptical of the reform plans — I felt as if I were hearing a pair of reports by the National Transportation Safety Board on the same plane crash. But in sorting through the problems facing President Obama and congressional Democrats, focusing too narrowly on their disastrous handling of health care would be a mistake.

And Cook’s close:

With 14 months to go before the 2010 midterm election, something could happen to improve the outlook for Democrats. However, wave elections, more often than not, start just like this: The president’s ratings plummet; his party loses its advantage on the generic congressional ballot test; the intensity of opposition-party voters skyrockets; his own party’s voters become complacent or even depressed; and independent voters move lopsidedly away. These were the early-warning signs of past wave elections. Seeing them now should terrify Democrats.

Oh, the horror!

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