In a state vying for the title of perhaps the reddest of red states, it would appear that Republicans look to put a stanglehold on politics in the Sooner state. Term-limited Democratic Governor Brad Henry should be replaced by former 5th District Republican Congresswoman Mary Fallin. She enjoys a 15-point lead over her opponent Jari Askins. Fallin, before going to Washington, was Lt. Governor for 12 years across both Republican and Henry’s administrations.
The Senate race features incumbent Republican Tom Coburn against Democratic sacrificial lamb, Jim Rogers. This should be no contest for Coburn. A strong conservative in a strongly conservative state, Coburn leads in the polls by 39 points.
Four of the five Congressmen are Republicans. Two are running unopposed- John Sullivan in the First and Tom Cole in the Fourth. One is being vacated- the 5th- by Mary Fallin who will be the next Governor of Oklahoma. This is a densely populated area which includes most of Oklahoma City that has not sent a Democrat to Congress since 1975. This year should be no different as Republican James Lankford should be the next Republican to represent this district.
In the Third, incumbent Republican Frank Lucas, who has never received less than 59% of the vote, appears safe. That leaves the lone Democrat, Dan Boren, in the Second District. This district along the Kansas border traditionally favors conservative Democrats. And Boren is no exception. He has consistently received failing grades from environmental groups, has voted with Republicans on national security issues, and voted against Obamacare. He is also on the Board of Directors of the NRA. And although the district favored McCain with 60% of the vote, Boren has never received less than 66% of the vote in any election. He should be safe for now. What may eventually weaken Democratic rule in the 5th District is the sprawling Republican suburbs of Tulsa which are encroaching on the district. But that is a slower process than the ballot box with Boren’s name on the ballot. The effects of reapportionment on the Fifth District remains to be seen, making the Governor’s race all that more important.