Will 2008 Be A Re-Aligning Year? Part V of V

    Part I can be found herePart II can be found herePart III can be found herePart IV can be found herePart V can be found hereWhich brings me to the final theory of re-alignment: that the country has undergone a shift to the left, that progressivism is on the rise, and that conservatism has finally been consigned to the dustbin of history. [NOTE: Large parts | Read More »

    Will 2008 Be A Re-Aligning Year? Part IV of V

    I write this section very cautiously, because I am taking on one of my intellectual heroes. Let me say from the outset that Michael Barone has forgotten more than I’ve ever known about politics, and most everything that I do know about politics, I owe to my complete set of Almanacs of American Politics (1972-2006). Heck, I even own a dog-eared copy of “Our Country,” | Read More »

    Will 2008 Be A Re-Aligning Year? Part III of V

    The “Great Man”/Inorganic Theory Of Re-alignmentIt is now time to discuss our initial set of maps.Map A is the map of McCain counties and Huckabee counties from the 2008 primaries. McCain’s counties are in blue, Huckabee’s counties are in red. Map B is the DeMint-Tenenbaum 2004 Senate race. Map C is the second Democratic gubernatorial primary between Burnet Maybank and Wyndham Manning. Counties in red | Read More »

    Will 2008 Be A Re-Aligning Year? Part II of V

    Landslides as re-alignments The easiest alignment theory to dispense with is the idea that we will know it has happened by its size. The gist of the theory as proposed by Bowers is that a 400+ electoral landslide would be a re-aligning election.Of course, this would be noteworthy, given that the Democrats have only won more than 51% of the popular vote once since FDR passed | Read More »

    Will 2008 Be A Re-Aligning Year? Part I of V

    I ran this series at and (my usual haunts) that I thought I would re-publish here, where I believe the readership would especially enjoy the series.We begin our exercise with four maps. Obviously these are maps of South Carolina, and they represent four different elections. Take a look at them closely, and decide for yourself what the similarities are, if any. We’ll return to | Read More »