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Christie, Clinton and Iowa

We’re still a ways out from 2016, sure, but that didn’t stop Quinnipiac from running a poll in Iowa to gauge popularity of early standouts.

The leaders in the poll were New Jersey Governor Chris Christie and Former First Lady, U.S. Senator and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, each getting 41 percent in the recent poll. Other names tossed out there were Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker and Vice President Joe Biden.

In an early look at the 2016 presidential campaign, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton ties New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie 41 – 41 percent. Ms. Clinton tops Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker 46 – 39 percent.

Vice President Joseph Biden trails Christie 49 – 32 percent and gets 39 percent to Walker’s 42 percent.

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In the 2016 Clinton-Christie dead heat, Clinton carries Democrats 82 – 8 percent while Christie takes Republicans 80 – 8 percent and the two split independent voters 36 – 37 percent. She wins women 47 – 37 percent, he takes men 45 – 35 percent.

More importantly than who they are matching up against Clinton is this next bit, which probably speaks a lot more to the major problems Clinton will deal with in the next few years.

By a 52 – 41 percent margin, Iowa voters have a favorable opinion of Clinton. Christie gets a 42 – 16 percent favorability, with 40 percent who don’t know enough about him to form an opinion. Biden gets a negative 38 – 47 percent favorability and 65 percent don’t know enough about Walker to form an opinion.

Forty. One. Percent. Disapproval. Christie sits at only 16. Clinton has a lot of baggage to attend to, but that could very well be the reason she left the Secretary of State post in the first place. Spend a couple of years out of the spotlight and re-emerge as the best chance for the first female president (assuming you don’t count Jimmy Carter!). The problem there actually lies with the best friends of the Democratic party, the mainstream media and the 24-hour news cycle. She’s going to be mentioned quite a bit, and it makes it harder to stay in the shadows.

Also, Politico had a bit to mention, though they oddly didn’t analyze and speculate like they would, say, if a Republican candidate had a 41 percent unfavorability rating.

Obama’s disapproval was also high among independent voters, an important constituency in the heavily independent state. Voters who identified as independent disapproved of the job the president is doing 59 percent to 37 percent. That’s up 6 points from the 53 percent of independents who disapproved in May.

While Iowa voters have a favorable opinion of Clinton, 52 percent to 41 percent, Biden is viewed unfavorably, 47 percent to 38 percent.

Count Biden out. There is nothing he can do to get enough love to make it.

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