I’ve talked about it to the point of sounding repetitious at times, but Mary Landrieu is floundering in her polling, and her campaign, along with the state Democratic Party, have nothing to tout for her, other than linking stale praises of her appointment to the chair of the Senate Energy Committee.
Right now, there is a lot of speculation about how Landrieu can increase voter turnout in 2014 in her favor. Down in Louisiana’s 6th Congressional District, Edwin Edwards (the man, the myth, the legend AND the ex-con) has officially joined the race to replace Bill Cassidy, Landrieu’s leading opponent in the Senate race. Edwards is still wildly popular in some circles, and in a race with very few Republicans who have name recognition, that race could be a lot closer than originally thought (I haven’t seen an updated poll since Edwards announced, but speculation about him running had been going around for months).
Up north, Congressman John Fleming could be seeing an opponent in his Congressional race this fall. Fleming holds LA-4, and has been for a while now. He’s a solid conservative that I don’t actually see losing, but there is heavy speculation that Shreveport mayor Cedric Glover, who is term-limited, will run against him. Glover is black, and the hope from the Landrieu camp is that his campaign would bring out a higher black vote that would benefit Landrieu.
Monroe mayor Jamie Mayo is also speculated to try and run in 2014 for the seat recently vacated by Rodney Alexander and won by Vance McAllister. Like Glover, Mayo is also black and, like Glover, could be the perfect candidate to draw a larger black vote to the polls this year.
It’s a theory also pitched by Louisiana political commentator Elliott Stonecipher (I very rarely give a lot of credit to Louisiana political commentators, because they are usually insane. Not insane like me, but on a vastly more paranoid level).
Now, neither Mayo nor Glover could actually stand a chance, but in the cities they represent, they can draw out good black turnout, one that could keep the race closer than polls show. Add in Edwards around the state capitol, and there is a potential for Landrieu to keep it alive.
There is one very, very important note to make where Louisiana’s Senate seat is concerned: Under no circumstances do you underestimate Mary Landrieu.