Tipping Point: The Lynch Nomination Will Set The Trajectory
Victory feeds on itself. Similarly, defeat feeds on itself. When we broke up the “bipartisan” health care negotiations in the spring of 2009 — when we killed every word of Obama gun control — when we “blue slipped” amnesty legislation — we created a reverse-momentum that stymied Obama and changed history. Conversely, when the GOP leadership caved on the Cromnibus — when Mike Pence soiled his diapers — when the administration hatched a deal with Iran which it now claims is impervious to congressional oversight or reversal — Obama shifted the momentum. Now comes Loretta Lynch.
By the end of the month, either Obama or the GOP will have seized the reins of the horse. And the good news is that the Senate GOP will determine who wins. And the bad news is that the Senate GOP will determine who wins.
ONE: The Senate will be required to move to proceed to Lynch. And, in order to do this, Republicans will probably have to cave on abortion (on the sex trafficking bill).
THREE: All senators will have to vote on whether to support Sen. Harry Reid (D-NV)Heritage ActionScorecardSen. Harry ReidSenate Democrat Average10%
‘s petition to shut off a filibuster supported by almost all Republicans.
FOURTH: Senators will have to vote on an appeal to the ruling of the chair on whether to embrace, approvingly, Sen. Harry Reid (D-NV)Heritage ActionScorecardSen. Harry ReidSenate Democrat Average10%
‘s nuclear option for the sole purpose of defeating the Republican majority — or whether to follow the black-letter rules of the Senate, which require 60 votes to cloture Lynch.
FIFTH: Only if she clears the previous hurdles will Lynch receive the confirmation vote that everyone is anticipating. Thus, Sen. Orrin Hatch (R-UT)Heritage ActionScorecardSen. Orrin HatchSenate Republican Average52%
, Sen. Jeff Flake (R-AZ)Heritage ActionScorecardSen. Jeff FlakeSenate Republican Average59%
, Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC)Heritage ActionScorecardSen. Lindsey GrahamSenate Republican Average47%
, etc., will not have the luxury of sticking a quick knife-in-the-back for conservatives, their constituents, the NRA, and their colleagues. Rather, for Lynch to prevail, they will have to thrust the knife again and again and again — Charles Manson-style. And they will have to do this on behalf of Sen. Harry Reid (D-NV)Heritage ActionScorecardSen. Harry ReidSenate Democrat Average10%
, Barack Obama, and Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D-CA)Heritage ActionScorecardRep. Nancy PelosiHouse Democrat Average11%
, who are already (prematurely) doing a victory dance based on their emasculation of GOP Republicans and Leader McConnell.
Oh, one more thing: I find it easier to forgive those I defeat than to forgive those who defeat me. But, if Sen. Mark Kirk (R-IL)Heritage ActionScorecardSen. Mark KirkSenate Republican Average37%
ends up casting the deciding vote to give Obama the humiliating defeat of the gun lobby which he has long coveted, don’t be surprised if groups such as mine make Kirk’s defeat in 2016 their number one priority, irrespective of the consequences. As Scott Brown found out in New Hampshire in 2014, you can prostitute yourself to the Left all you want, but, if your base flees, you lose.