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Obama Re-election Prospects Dim

While Republicans fret over the primaries, the Media Left are studiously avoiding the bad news that Obama faces in his re-election and the anxiety among Democrats over their president.

Ignore all the media-driven polls which are designed to favor Obama. And consider the following excerpts – out of many – if you want to know the truth about Obama’s re-election prospects from the Democrat insider perspective. If these things were being said about a Republican president, the media would be declaring that Republican incapable of being re-elected.

*Gallup, the polling organization, recently reported on its website:

‘PRINCETON, NJ — Americans’ political ideology at the midyear point of 2011 looks similar to 2009 and 2010, with 41% self-identifying as conservative, 36% as moderate, and 21% as liberal.’

Is Obama cooked? It sure looks that way. He cannot mathematically win if these facts are true. Yet he won in 2008. But that was before America knew who Barack Obama was, when many independents and even some conservatives believed his ‘hope and change’ sophistry. Not this time, though.

*Gallup.com also recently reported:

‘Two in three Americans (64%) say big government will be the biggest threat to the country, one percentage point lower than the record high, and more than twice the number who say the same about big business (26%). Democrats have led the recent increase in concerns about big government.’

*USAToday.com recently reported:

‘Since the heady days of 2008, a new USA TODAY/Gallup Swing States Poll finds the number of voters who identify themselves as Democratic or Democratic-leaning in these key states has eroded, down by 4 percentage points, while the ranks of Republicans have climbed by 5 points. …This is the second in a series of surveys that USA TODAY and Gallup will be taking through the 2012 campaign focused on 12 swing states: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin. In swing states, Obama trails former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney among registered voters by 5 points, 43% vs. 48%, and former House speaker Newt Gingrich by 3, 45% vs. 48%.’

Wow. And the Republicans are fighting amongst each other. This is stupid. They should be pointing out these polls.

*AP wrote about an Associated Press-GfK poll:

‘For the first time, the poll found that a majority of adults, 52 percent, said Obama should be voted out of office while 43 percent said he deserves another term. The numbers mark a reversal since last May, when 53 percent said Obama should be re-elected while 43 percent said he didn’t deserve four more years.’

*Activists on the political left from Ralph Nader to Dennis Kucinich have called for a presidential primary challenge to Barack Obama. This is only adding insult to Obama’s current political injury. Even savvy political commentator Dick Morris has predicted that Obama could step down to save his party. Meanwhile Wall Street fundraisers who once supported Obama are backing away from him as are many wealthy Democrats.

So now Obama is under severe and unrelenting criticism not only from Republicans and America in general, but increasingly from Democrats too. This can only harm him when already he looks bad for 2012. This could lead to a Republican landslide or even possibly to a Hillary Clinton bid for the White House if Obama steps aside.

Or other primary challengers. Ralph Nader is the classic left-wing malcontent who will not beat Obama in a primary but who, as he did in the 2000 election, can cause major damage just by showing up. After all, if Nader had not been on the presidential ballot as a third-party candidate in the general election in Florida in 2000, Al Gore would have gotten most of Nader’s votes and would have won the White House.

But Nader may press on. And this is bad news for Obama. Because Nader and possibly Kucinich and all the other cranks on the political left are going to arouse Obama’s far-left base against Obama. And although it will not kill Obama in the primaries, these people are all extremist lunatics and this challenge could end up siphoning off Obama’s far-left base in the general election.

*A columnist in Obama’s hometown paper The Chicago Tribune is calling for Obama to step aside. Wrote Steven Chapman:

‘The vultures are starting to circle. Former White House spokesman Bill Burton said that unless Obama can rally the Democratic base, which is disillusioned with him, “it’s going to be impossible for the president to win.” Democratic consultant James Carville had one word of advice for Obama: “Panic.”

But there is good news for the president. I checked the Constitution, and he is under no compulsion to run for re-election. He can scrap the campaign, bag the fundraising calls and never watch another Republican debate as long as he’s willing to vacate the premises by Jan. 20, 2013.

That might be the sensible thing to do. It’s hard for a president to win a second term when unemployment is painfully high. If the economy were in full rebound mode, Obama might win anyway. But it isn’t, and it may fall into a second recession. Why not leave of his own volition instead of waiting to get the ax?’

In other words, Barack, quit not while you are ahead – because that was long ago – but while you still have your head sewn on. Because you are speeding toward a political decapitation and an ignominy that is unparalleled in American history.

*To add to Obama’s problem, second terms are usually troublesome for presidents. Nixon and Watergate; Clinton and the Monica Lewinsky scandal; Bush and the Iraq war. So after Obama has had one major success in the first term from the left-wing point of view – the health care bill – he also is being perceived by many as the President Who Ruined America. And with Republicans likely to be controlling both the House and Senate after the 2012 election, Obama, if re-elected, would be in for some really tough sledding.

Here is tireless Obama cheerleader Chris Matthews of MSNBC talking about Obama and a possible second term:

“What are we trying to do in this administration? Why does he want a second term? Would he tell us? What’s he going to do in the second term? More of this? Is this it? Is this as good as it gets? Where are we going? Are we going to do something the second term? He has yet to tell us. He has not said one thing about what he would do in the second term.

He never tells us what he is going to do with reforming our healthcare systems, Medicare, Medicaid, how is going to reform Social Security. Is he going to deal with long-term debt? How? Is he going to reform the tax system? How? Just tell us. Why are we in this fight with him? Just tell us, Commander, give us our orders and tell us where we’re going, give us the mission. And he hasn’t done it.

And I think it’s the people around him, too many people around, they’re little kids with propellers on their heads…. Don’t you feel, I think everybody feels an absence of communication from the time he’s been elected. And it’s not about not being left-wing enough or too left. That’s not his problem. It’s connection.“

*Even black America is unsettled with America’s First Black President. And if that doesn’t spell trouble, then nothing does.

A spokesman for the Congressional Black Caucus even said that “If (white president) Bill Clinton had been in the White House and had failed to address this (unemployment problem among blacks), we probably would be marching on the White House,” said Ohio congressman Emanuel Cleaver in comments published in The Miami Herald. “There is a less-volatile reaction in the CBC because nobody wants to do anything that would empower the people who hate the president.”

Wow. This shows that even Obama’s loyal base is losing faith. This means that others who are less loyal have definitely lost faith.

Said outspoken black congresswoman Maxine Waters: “We’re supportive of the president, but we getting tired, y’all. We want to give [Obama] every opportunity, but our people are hurting. The unemployment is unconscionable. We don’t know what the strategy is.”

But we conservatives know what Obama’s strategy is, congresswoman. It is socialism. And since our capitalist economy no longer is able to produce the wealth to paper over the trap doors of socialism, you’d better get right with our plan for jobs and growth. Because ObamaNomics is what we conservatives have been warning about for decades. And finally black America is understanding what we have been saying.

Meanwhile black/Muslim demagogue Louis Farrakhan has called Obama an “assassin” for the US role in killing Ghaddafi in Libya. This will fray Obama’s radical base further.

*Here is US News & World Report talking about Obama:

‘President Obama’s slow ride down Gallup’s daily presidential job approval index has finally passed below Jimmy Carter, earning Obama the worst job approval rating of any president at this stage of his term in modern political history.

Since March, Obama’s job approval rating has hovered above Carter’s, considered among the 20th century’s worst presidents, but today Obama’s punctured Carter’s dismal job approval line. On their comparison chart, Gallup put Obama’s job approval rating at 43 percent compared to Carter’s 51 percent.’

Note: Carter was swamped by Ronald Reagan in 1980.

*Here are two political consultants, Doug Schoen and Patrick Caddell, writing in The Wall Street Journal. Schoen is a lifelong Democrat operative and Caddell was Jimmy Carter’s pollster who is now much more of an independent:

‘Certainly, Mr. Obama could still win re-election in 2012. Even with his all-time low job approval ratings (and even worse ratings on handling the economy) the president could eke out a victory in November. But the kind of campaign required for the president’s political survival would make it almost impossible for him to govern—not only during the campaign, but throughout a second term.

Put simply, it seems that the White House has concluded that if the president cannot run on his record, he will need to wage the most negative campaign in history to stand any chance. With his job approval ratings below 45% overall and below 40% on the economy, the president cannot affirmatively make the case that voters are better off now than they were four years ago. He—like everyone else—knows that they are worse off.

President Obama is now neck and neck with a generic Republican challenger in the latest Real Clear Politics 2012 General Election Average (43.8%-43.%). Meanwhile, voters disapprove of the president’s performance 49%-41% in the most recent Gallup survey, and 63% of voters disapprove of his handling of the economy, according to the most recent CNN/ORC poll.’

*Here is Thomas Edsall writing in The New York Times:

‘For decades, Democrats have suffered continuous and increasingly severe losses among white voters. But preparations by Democratic operatives for the 2012 election make it clear for the first time that the party will explicitly abandon the white working class.

All pretense of trying to win a majority of the white working class has been effectively jettisoned in favor of cementing a center-left coalition made up, on the one hand, of voters who have gotten ahead on the basis of educational attainment — professors, artists, designers, editors, human resources managers, lawyers, librarians, social workers, teachers and therapists — and a second, substantial constituency of lower-income voters who are disproportionately African-American and Hispanic.’

Add that to this excerpt from CNN.com and you see white ‘Reagan Democrats’ abandoning Obama like they abandoned Carter in 1980:

“The biggest change comes among white Democrats with no college education, a group typically considered the core of the party’s blue-collar constituency,” says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. “Half of all white Democrats with no college education say they don’t want President Obama heading their party’s ticket next year.”

Please visit my blog at www.nikitas3.com for more conservative insights.

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