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My Take on the 2010 NH Races

Here’s a rundown of how I think the NH races will go:

Governor: Incumbent Democratic Governor John Lynch is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Lynch. On the GOP side, Businessman Jack Kimball and Religious Right Activist and Author Karen Testerman are in the running. I expect Kimball to prevail 63-37 and lose by a lesser than expected margin(59-41) to Lynch. DEM HOLD.

US Senate: Incumbent GOP US Senator Judd Gregg is retiring. On the GOP side, former State Representative Tom Alciere, former Attorney General Kelly Ayotte, Businessmen Jim Bender and Bill Binnie, and former State Board of Education Chair Ovide LaMontage are in the running. The Democrats have unified behind US Representative Paul Hodes. The Libertarians have unified behind Realtor Ken Blevens. I expect LaMontage to teabag Ayotte to death in the Primary and defeat Hodes 51-47. GOP HOLD.

NH-01: Incumbent Democratic Congresswoman Carol Shea-Porter is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Shea-Porter. On the GOP side, Defense Contractor Rich Ashooh, Businessman and Economist Peter Bearce, International Banking Executive Bob Bestani, Cook Mike Castaldo, Manchester Mayor Frank Guinta, and Kevin Rondeau are in the running. I expect Guinta to handily defeat the rest of the field and prevail over Shea-Porter 53-47. GOP GAIN.

NH-02: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Paul Hodes is running for US Senate. On the Democratic side, State Representative John DeJoie, Attorney Ann McLane Kuster, and Political Consultant Katrina Swett are in the running. On the GOP side, former Congressman Charlie Bass, former State Representative Bob Giuda, Bristol Town Budget Committee Chairman Andrew Hemingway, Radio Talk Show Host Jennifer Horn, and Milford School Board Member Len Mannino are in the running. The Libertarians have unified behind Howie Wilson. I expect DeJoie and Bass to emerge from their Primaries. I predict Bass over DeJoie 50-48. GOP GAIN.

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