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My Take on the 2010 RI Races

Here’s a rundown of how I think the RI races will go:

Governor: Incumbent GOP Governor Donald Carcieri is term-limited. The GOP has unified behind former Gubernatorial Aide John Robitaille. On the Democratic side, General Treasurer Frank Caprio and Attorney General Patrick Lynch are in the running. The Cool Mooses have unified behind Attorney Bob Healey Jr. On the Independent side, former US Senator Lincoln Chaffee and General Contractor Todd Giroux are in the running. I expect Caprio to defeat Lynch 52-48, and lose to Chaffee 41-37, with Robitallie receiving 22%. INDY GAIN.

Lieutenant Governor: Incumbent Democratic Lieutenant Governor Elizabeth Roberts is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Roberts. The GOP has no announced or potential candidates. DEM HOLD.

Secretary of State: Incumbent Democratic Secretary of State Ralph Mollis is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Mollis. The GOP has no announced or potential candidates. DEM HOLD.

Attorney General: Incumbent Democratic Attorney General Patrick Lynch is running fcr Governor. On the Democratic side, Smithfield City Councilman Steve Archambault, Providence City Solicitor Joe Fernandez, and State House Majority Whip Peter Kilmartin. The GOP has unified behind former Special Assistant Attorney General Erik Wallin. I expect Kilmartin to prevail big time, and defeat Wallin 59-41. DEM HOLD.

General Treasurer: Incumbent Democratic General Treasurer Frank Caprio is running for Governor. The Democrats have unified behind Software Engineer Tom Sgouros. The GOP has no announced or potential candidates. DEM HOLD.

RI-01: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Patrick Kennedy is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Kennedy. The GOP has unified behind State House Minority Whip John Loughlin. In this climate I expect Loughlin to narrowly prevail by about 491 votes. GOP GAIN.

RI-02: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Jim Langevin is running for re-election. On the Democratic side, Langevin and former State Representative Betsy Dennigan are in the running. On the GOP side, Attorney Michael Gardiner and former North Kingston Town Councilman Mark Zaccaria are in the running. I expect Langevin to thump Dennigan 60-40 and Zaccaria to defeat Gardiner 67-33. I expect Langevin to take Zaccaria out to pasture 64-36. DEM HOLD.

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