New York Times
December 3, 2007
WASHINGTON, Dec. 3 — A new assessment by American intelligence agencies concludes that Iran halted its nuclear weapons program in 2003 and that the program remains frozen, contradicting judgment two years ago that Tehran was working relentlessly toward building a nuclear bomb.
New York Times
April 15, 2010
WASHINGTON — Two of the nation’s top military officials said Wednesday that Iran could produce bomb-grade fuel for at least one nuclear weapon within a year, but would most likely need two to five years to manufacture a workable atomic bomb.
So how did we get from the point of the CIA declaring that Iran had abandoned its nuclear weapons program to them having a bomb as early as... now?
Easy. The first report was produced the the CIA which, if it had devoted as much time to fighting al-Qaeda as it did to sabotaging the effort to fight al-Qaeda we'd all be a lot safer, had no greater agenda than hurting the Bush Administration. Everyone at the time knew the 2007 National Intelligence Estimate was nothing more that a cheap political shot carried out by a horribly incompetent and unprofessional senior staff at Langley.
Now we have a Democrat president. A warm, cuddly, non-threatening seminar leading Democrat president so there is no percentage in spinning out false estimates any longer. Of course, gathering the pertinent intelligence is a lot easier now that we have a Democrat in the White House. The Iranians have changed out of their brown trousers and are no longer afraid of waking up with a Marine division and the 82d Airborne dropping by for a visit.