2016: Rand Paul?
Forget about the dozen or so potential Republican presidential candidates. It really doesn’t matter how much you or I may like one or the other of them and think he would be the greatest President since Ronald Reagan. After the Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire primaries, the rest of us will be left to choose between the 3 (or possibly 4) candidates who are left standing. Chances | Read More »
Gay Marriage: Does Supreme Court Precedent Matter?
Gay marriage activists and the liberal media are all a-twitter about the Supremes decision to hear the case on California Proposition 8, which prohibited same-sex marriage in the state of California. They are comparing this case to Brown v Board of Education Topeka (1954), Roe v Wade (1973), and especially Loving v Virginia (1967), which struck down state laws banning interracial marriage. What they are | Read More »
An Open Letter to John Boehner
Dear Mr. Speaker, I am afraid that in negotiating with President Obama on the pending fiscal cliff that you and the Republican leadership have lost your way. In your desire to strike a “Grand Bargain”, you risk making a “bad bargain” which will cause permanent damage to the Republican Party, alienate conservatives, and have lasting consequences for the American economy. In a desire to make | Read More »
Butch, Sundance, and Jumping off the Fiscal Cliff
My all-time favorite movie is Butch Cassidy and the Sundance Kid. At one point, Butch and Sundance are being relentlessly pursued by a posse of Pinkerton agents. Finally, they come to the edge of a cliff overlooking a ravine with a raging river below. The outlaws have three choices. They can surrender, in which case they will probably be tried and hanged as bank robbers. | Read More »
Pennsylvania: The Holy Grail, Romney’s Insurance Policy and Axelrod’s Mustache
In the final days before the Presidential election, the Romney campaign is making a major push in the state of Pennsylvania. They have made a $3 million ad buy in the state, pro-Romney super pacs are spending another $8 million and surrogates, including Marco Rubio, have been sent to campaign in the state in the aftermath of Hurricane Sandy. Paul Ryan will be in Harrisburg Saturday. Romney himself will make | Read More »
New Hampshire! New Hampshire! New Hampshire!
When the votes begin to be counted on election night, New Hampshire should be the first of the battleground states to be decided. (I’m not counting North Carolina, which most agree is in the Romney column.) At the end of the evening, when all of the votes are counted, New Hampshire may shrink into insignificance, but as the results come in, New Hampshire will rise | Read More »
Orlando Sentinel endorses Romney
The editorial board of Florida’s largest newspaper, the Orlando Sentinel, has just announced its endorsement for President. The editorial, headlined “Our Pick for President: Romney” can be read in its entirety here . The endorsement was certainly unexpected because the Sentinel had rousingly endorsed Obama in 2008 and usually endorses Democrats. They endorsed John Kerry in 2004, but did endorse George W. Bush in 2000. The editorial | Read More »
Don’t look now, but North Carolina just turned Red
A new Rasmussen poll of likely voters in North Carolina released today has Romney leading by + 6 (52% – 46%). The RCP average of polls for North Carolina now has Romney at +5.6 (50.3% – 44.7%). North Carolina has now firmly moved into the Romney column on the electoral college map. For the first time, Romney now leads Obama 206 ECV to 201 ECV. | Read More »
Obama is going down–hard
Sean Trende’s article, Can Obama Resist the Forces of Gravity?, on RCP is worth the read. He succinctly explains the Obama campaign strategy. Expect O’s campaign to launch a new low-ball, vicious, gutter “surprise” attack on the eve of the VP debate or by Biden himself during the debate. But this time, the voters aren’t buying the bullsh** they’re selling. If Trende is right, and | Read More »
269 to 269: Not just a hypothetical outcome anymore
RealClearPolitics is now projecting Obama with 269 electoral college votes based upon recent polls (See here ). By their count, Romney has 181 electoral college votes. RCP only has 7 tossup states: Florida (29), North Carolina (15), Virginia (13), Missouri (10), Colorado (9), Iowa (6) and Nevada (6) for a total of 88 ECV up for grabs. But what happens if Romney does run the | Read More »