Can Newt win the nomination?
Newt Gingrich is in third place in the latest Iowa Insider Advantage Poll: Cain, Romney, and Gingrich. Bachmann and Paul are nipping at his heels, but Perry has fallen like a rock. If Gingrich can actually pull off a third place finish in Iowa, it will be the major news story coming out of the caucuses. And there are only 3 candidates who will get their tickets punched out of Iowa with a chance at the nomination. So where will Bachmann’s and Perry’s voters go?
Last night my wife (who was for Bachmann before she was for Perry) said: “I could vote for Newt.” I almost fell on the floor. “I can’t vote for Romney,” she continued. “And I can’t vote for Cain. Romney’s not a real conservative and we’ve already elected one President who doesn’t have the experience for the job.” “What about Gingrich’s 3 wives?” I asked. “Who cares. He and Bill Clinton balanced the budget,” she retorted. “But what about the million dollar Tiffany’s account?” “I love Tiffany’s.” she said, shooting me a dirty look. “Could you really vote for Gingrich?” “If Perry gets knocked out, and it’s between Gingrich, Cain, and Romney–then I’ll have to vote for Gingrich. He’s a real conservative and he’s got the experience to be President.”
So there you have it: Newt’s path to victory–at least a third place finish in Iowa, picking up the support of the defeated candidates who drop out, becoming the viable conservative alternative to Cain and Romney. Now he just needs a poll showing that he can beat Obama. We could do worse. We could nominate Romney or Cain. Or so my wife says.