All tied up
In an amazing convergence of polling data, the latest Rasmussen Daily Tracking poll, the Gallup Daily Tracking poll, the Fox News poll, and the CBS/NYTimes poll all have the Obama/Romney match-up as a tie at 46 to 46 with 8% undecided. Given the different methodologies, time frames, polling samples and divergent political views of these organizations, this can’t be a coincidence. It also can’t be good news for Obama, since independents are breaking strongly for Romney in all four polls and making up for Obama’s big lead among African Americans, Hispanics and women. And a majority of the undecideds are independents. This will, of course, all change tomorrow when new data comes out, but it won’t change within the margin of error. For right now, this is a tie election.