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Newt’s Strategy

By: dimondintherough (Diary)  |  March 15th, 2012 at 12:58 AM  | 

RESIZE: AAA

I’m sitting here watching the MSM go crazy about Newt staying in the race. How it helps Romney, makes no sense and he has no chance at the nomination etc. It is making me crazy!

I think Newt’s strategy is clear and totally plausible. He stays in race, hangs close enough with Rick S on delegates and Mittens does not get what he needs. Mitt may well drop out before Tampa when this becomes obvious to avoid going into Tampa the delagate leader and not getting nomination. Assuming this happens and Mitt has not reached the number, Newt can be third to Rick S and easily get the nomination.

When it comes to the debate between Rick and Newt, with a crippled Romney, the obvious solution short of a new candidate will be a Newt/Rick ticket. This will easily pass at the convention. Most would agree, despite Rick perhaps being ahead in delegates that Newt belongs at the top of the ticket. Next, I think given the degree of change he wants, Newt would agree to a one term pledge, leaving the stage to Rick S in the future.

I think it is remarkable that the MSM can not see this as the clear path for Newt. In my opinion he does not have to pass Rick S in delegate count, just be sure Mitt doesn’t get there and then he is there to put Rick over the top with Newt at the top of the ticket for one term and Rick as veep. This is the answer, for all of us.

We would get a smart, change agent and then a long term solution in Rick S.

If Newt delivers on the massive change he seeks, a one term pledge is the answer and Rick as a a one term understudy would be seen as a highly viable solution to the delegates.

Why do none of the MSM see this path. The key is Romney is out. This is all that matters for Newt. Newt is in the mix when Romney fails and frankly better positioned for a floor vote Winn than Rick.

COMMENTS

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  • http://www.timothy-bladel.com/ center77

    Anybody that is willing to take their bias out of this, will see that Romney was able to hurt Newt bad with his own party?s voters in places like Florida and Iowa. Why in the world would people think that Obama and the MSM would not have more success with the independents?

    I think if it is a contested convention, it will not be Gingrich that the delegates go to, in all likelihood, most would still go with Romney, because all the major party players will be saying that is what should happen. If not, then Santorum would likely get it, because he is at least showing that under Romney’s sustained attack, that he can hold up. I see no reason to think that Obama’s billion, and the MSM would not destroy Newt if he were the nominee.

    • jamesm

      I like Newt. A large majority of the delegates are conservative activists. They will flow to Rick at the convention if their is a second ballot.

  • WillWong

    Best compromise and allows Newt to start the changes needed!

  • conservativeparrothead

    That some of the candidates, especially Newt have experienced this cycle. I mean, he is newt “f’ing” Gingrich, was speaker of the house, times man of the year, on fox all the time, best selling author. I’m not saying people should be supporting him or not, but they should at least have an opinion on him that doesn’t swing so dramatically. Makes me a little fearful that maybe our electorate is as unknowledgable as the other side.

    • Common_Cents

      I saw that discussed somewhere and the takeaway is that people are not making decisions based on scrutinizing records/platforms/positions (which should lead to a more stable primary) but rather based on media coverage/debates/momentum.

      Welcome to the American Idol election. You’d think we would have learned after electing a “rock star” last time. Funny you never hear that term about obama anymore.
      America is not doing its homework, rather settling on media cliff’s notes.

      • JSobieski

        means that every poll, every “horse race” news story, etc. impacts how people evaluate the candidates.

        We are an attention deficit disorder nation. Given the trend lines in the quality of public debate, I suspect that the Presidential debates in 2020 will be part of a reality TV show in which Snookie, and the latest American Idol winner serve as moderators.

      • demsaresatanic

        Rick is doing a good job of driving the AHCH media into a frenzy, which gets him publicity. I am hoping that Newt will hit the welfare and food stamp issue hard and drive the media into attacking him; Newt did well with the “President Food Stamp” slogan.

  • hls87

    will be on the GOP ticket in 2012. The Republican primary race is a lot like the last Super Bowl. It ended a long time ago and the patriots lost.

    Romney will get 1,114 or he’ll get close enough so that the Party elders will find a way to get him the rest. He’ll win a first ballot victory and Obama will have the perfect foil. It’s time to move past denial and get on with the subsequent stages of grief. There is no purpose served by concocting ever more bizarre scenarios that give us a nominee not named Willard. It isn’t going to happen and it would only make a horrendous situation even worse if it did. Either Santorum or Gingrich would be a terrible nominee and a catastrophic President in the unlikely event of a Republican victory with such an implausible candidate at the head of the ticket.

    There’s really no point in continuing to play chess after you’re in checkmate. As soon as Santorum and Gingrich emerged as the only alternatives to Romney, conservatives were in checkmate. Resolutely refusing to recognize that serves no purpose at all. Perseverence is admirable. Pig-headed refusal to deal with reality isn’t.

    • garfieldjl

      Obama’s radical policies will continue.

      Romney has no intention of repealing Obamacare, he just wants to tweek it.

      Further if we help Romney get in and he then stabs us in the back, which he probably will, he will be more destructive to this country than Obama, because he costs us our credibility.

      I think that Gingrich and Santorum can put the brakes on Romney’s campaign and make it clear to everyone that he should not have the nomination.

      I think we will likely see a Gingrich/Santorum ticket, but I think it will play out with Gingrich serving 2 terms followed by Santorum serving 2 terms.

      If Romney is the nominee I quite frankly don’t know if I can vote for him. Romney disgusts me as much as Obama does, and Romney has no one to blame for this but his own record and his Chicago-like campaign strategy.

      I was looking forward to kicking Obama out of office this November, but if Romney is the nominee I will not man phone banks, I wouldn’t even give a penny to his campaign.

      I imagine a lot of conservatives feel the same way I do, I don’t care if Romney is a Mormon, he could be worshipping the pagan god Odin for all I care. This is about Romney’s character, the shannigans that have occurred throughout this primary, his smear job on Gingrich and his upcoming one on Santorum, etc. I expected this kind of behavior from Obama, not a Republican directed towards a fellow Republican (well I take that back in Romney’s case, cause I supported McCain in 08 over Romney because Romney acted too much like a dishonest used car salesman, so yeah I kinda did expect Romney to behave in such a fashion).

      If Romney wasn’t outspending his opponents at least 5 to 1 and coordinating with his superPAC through the consulting firm they both employ (illegally I might add), Romney would have been out of this long ago.

      He can’t outspend Obama in the general. I don’t trust a word Romney says, I wouldn’t even trust him to give me the time of day.

      My goal is is for us to get Obama’s destructive policies repealed, I do not believe Romney would make any attempt (or if he does it will be nothing more than a half-hearted act to try to fool people), because of this in my view Romney is the same as Obama. Until he’s proven otherwise (and thus far all he’s done is the opposite and spit in the faces of Conservatives), in my opinion Romney should not be the nominee, let alone President.

      I’d rather hold to our core principles and lose than win at the cost of turning our backs on our core principles.

      • hls87

        That doesn’t mean he’s an avoidable disaster or that either Newt or Rick would be less disastrous. They both represent the same conventional Republican establishment that has given us 70 years of putting lipstick on the progressive pig. None of the above even arguably represents a significant step in the direction we need desperately to go.

        Face it, we have maneuvered ourselves into a no-win situation. We don’t have a choice about turning our back on our core principles. That’s a given; it’s going to happen. In fact, we don’t have any real choices at all. Romney will be the nominee. Every plausible scenario from this point forward leads to that result. There is no realistic alternative. We’re watching a slow-motion train wreck and we have no way to stop it.

        It wasn’t always thus. We had a shot, but the fools in Iowa and South Carolina blew it. They decided that two clowns with no realistic prospect of winning either a nomination or a general election should be the alternatives to Romney. Predictably, Romney quickly disposed of them both. Newt couldn’t beat Mitt in FL in the afterglow of his SC triumph and Rick hasn’t been able to beat him in any of the major batleground states. Santorum will extend his record of futility in IL next week, where he is quite likely to get blown out. If this were a boxing match it would be past time to throw in the towel. Since it isn’t, both Santorum and Newt will stay in to raise their profiles and improve their income prospects, but the game is over,..

        It is what it is and there’s no use pretending otherwise.

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