The polls have understated GOP turnout. The basics: Field Poll is highly respected in California, and they released a poll today. It shows that the enthusiasm gap lives in California, just like everywhere else. Democrats have a 44-31 registration advantage in California. However, look at Field’s predicted turnout. They say that 68% of Republicans, 55% of Democrats, and 38% of independents will vote. Applying those percentages, | Read More »
This is an update of my previous post, Riding the Wave – Poll Closing Times and Vulnerable Democratic Seats. The purpose is to know which election results to watch for throughout the evening as the polls close in various districts, and the results begin to come in. Sources My source for poll-closing times is The Green Papers. My sources for contested House races are Larry | Read More »
I thought it would be fun (and possibly instructive) to track just how we might see the Wave of 2010 developing as it unfolds across the nation. I did a little research (well, maybe quite a bit) based on poll closing times, the time networks are likely to project/call contested races, and my own list of contested races. Sources My source for poll-closing times | Read More »
Maybe some of our candidates are mentioning this, but I haven’t heard anyone talking about it, and I wish they would. It is my understanding (correct me if I’m wrong) that Obamacare created some regulations/requirements which only apply to “larger” companies — those with fifty or more employees. That is a direct disincentive to hiring for companies with between 45 and 50 employees. It arbitrarily | Read More »
![[RS]](/t/img/logo-footer.jpg){kind=logo}