Israel has won a huge military victory in a defensive war against the radical Islamist Hamas group which rules the Gaza Strip.
So what does Israel want? Its first choice would be a moderate movement running the Gaza Strip which would negotiate a deal for a Palestinian state living in peace alongside Israel, resettling refugees there, and being a prosperous, stable state. All Israel desires is that such a country wouldn’t attack it with rockets, war, terrorism, or inciting such terrible hatred as to ensure future wars.
Hamas, however, is too extreme to make peace; its rival, the Palestinian Authority (PA) which rules the West Bank, is too weak and indecisive to do so.
Having Hamas as a neighbor is like living next door to a serial killer, who abuses his children and threatens to kill them if you go in after him. You can defend yourself but if the police won’t arrest him the only choices left are to build a wall around him, stop him from getting weapons, and sending in food.
This is Israel’s dilemma. The world demands peace but isn’t prepared to do too much to help. The West’s basic stand is to keep Hamas ruling Gaza, comparable to ensuring continued Taliban rule in Afghanistan after the September 11 attacks. Thanks to such international “support” Gaza’s people will be able to “enjoy” a dictatorial regime dedicated to spending the next century fighting—and losing–wars.
Remember, that the Hamas regime was not elected as such. Yes, it won an election but then seized total power by a bloody coup against the PA. Now, it imposes a radical Islamist regime on its unfortunate subjects. Hamas has no policy for creating jobs or raising living standards. Its educational system doesn’t teach useful skills or civic virtues but indoctrinates children with the ambition to become suicide bombers.
So the world should consider. Is this the kind of regime you want to save and succor? Do you want to keep Hamas in power when even most Arab states would like to see it fall? Why talk about a peace process while following a policy ensuring no peace process can succeed.
Understand that Hamas believes the deity insists on its victory. It doesn’t matter how long it takes or how many die. Its educational policy isn’t aimed at training productive citizens but rather future suicide bombers,
Well, it looks like the West is going to make that mistake, the PA itself isn’t going to help provide an alternative government, and Israel can’t solve this problem by itself.
So the next best thing is a ceasefire that works for a while. What is the basis for such a plan, which recognizes the fact that Israel won the war and that Hamas wants to restart it again?
First, Hamas must perceive itself beaten no matter what it says publicly. This doesn’t mean it will give up but does mean it will be slower to launch attacks in future.
Second, Palestinians must perceive that Hamas was beaten so that they follow a more productive path of moderation and diplomacy.
Third, the Arabic-speaking world—or as much of it as possible—must perceive Hamas is beaten so that Arab states are encouraged in their battle against radical Islamism, Iran, and Syria, while the flow of recruits to extremist movements decline.
Fourth, Hamas must perceive itself as isolated. If it knows that cross-border terror attacks, firing rockets at Israeli civilians, and cynically using its own people as human shields brings international sympathy and political profits these tactics will be used again by them, and be imitated by others elsewhere.
All of these are realizable goals. The West can help by giving Hamas no recognition, no support, and no help. A terrorist, genocidal movement which oppresses its own people and uses them as human shields should not be rewarded. That should be obvious.
What about the actual terms? Among the key provisions are these:
- A seriously effective regime of inspection and blocking smuggling must be put into place on the Egypt-Gaza border. This means Egyptian forces helped by a force which will really act to block tunnels and stop arms from coming in, not just sit and watch the contraband go by. If more weapons get in, that will bring another war.
- Israel has the right to maintain sanctions, which means that while humanitarian and necessary goods for Gaza’s society it can keep out items that have military applications.
- Aid money to rebuild in Gaza and sustain Palestinian society must be kept out of Hamas’s hands. Not only would Hamas use such funds for military purposes, it would also steal them from being used for real relief. For example, Hamas cries there is not enough fuel but that is because it diverts gasoline from civilian purposes for its own use.
- Gilad Shalit, a hostage seized by Hamas in a cross-border raid into Israel [Ed: in 2006], should be released unconditionally. It is bad enough to reward terrorists for their crimes; it is ridiculous to do so after they have been thoroughly defeated after launching an aggressive war.
Finally, we should remember the aims of the two sides. Israel’s goal is very modest: security for its citizens, no cross-border attacks. Hamas’s goal is the destruction of Israel, wiping out its citizens, revolution throughout the Middle East, treating women as chattel, and the creation of what it considers to be Allah’s government on earth.
Knowing that, you can decide which side to support.
Barry Rubin is director of the Global Research in International Affairs (GLORIA) Center and editor of the Middle East Review of International Affairs (MERIA) Journal. His latest books are The Israel-Arab Reader (seventh edition), with Walter Laqueur (Viking-Penguin); the paperback edition of The Truth About Syria (Palgrave-Macmillan); A Chronological History of Terrorism, with Judy Colp Rubin, (Sharpe); and The Long War for Freedom: The Arab Struggle for Democracy in the Middle East (Wiley). To read and subscribe to MERIA and other GLORIA Center publications or to order books, visit http://www.gloriacenter.org.

Israel victory?
mdkess Monday, January 19th at 9:37AM EST (link)Israel did not win this war. They killed more people and caused more damage, yes, but that was inevitable from day one. In spite of the onslaught, the rockets never once stopped firing, Israel didn’t manage to kill top Hamas people, the Arab league is considering labelling Israel as a terrorist nation, and in the eyes of the media Israel is cruel (although perhaps somewhat justified). Israel did not win this war. All that this will do is to further militarize Palestine - it’s really difficult to reason with someone if you’ve killed their children.
The Israel-Palestine conflict is not so simple that it can be reduced to there being a bunch of crazy people next door. Gaza is very, very poor (the $2 billion damages is 3 times the GDP of the country. Imagine someone doing $30 trillion dollars worth of damage to the USA) - certainly not helped by Hamas, but Israel has also decreased the flow of aid into the country. Stopping aid to the country will not help - Hamas is backed by Iran, so they will not go hungry. Again, the victims will be the Palestinians, and this will give Hamas more of a reason to vilify Israel and the west. If your children are dead and you are starving, it wouldn’t be hard to talk you into strapping a bomb onto yourself to kill some of the people who you perceive as doing this to you.
Israel needs to give Palestine its dignity back. They should open the borders to more aid, and I think that they should offer a sizeable donation to assist with the repair, and an apology to the Palestinian people. Hamas is a resistance movement - they exist because the Palestinians feel like prisoners, feel like they have nothing to lose. If suddenly the Palestinians are starting, just a little, to look forward to a brighter future, Hamas will start to fall apart.
Israel needs to give Palestine its dignity back? Give me a break
red_oakster Monday, January 19th at 10:36AM EST (link)You may be right that Israel failed to win this round, but if so only because they failed to finish the job in some key areas.
The Palestinian Arabs have missed one opportunity after another to achieve peace with an Israeli society which has been willing to compromise territorily since its founding.
Israel withdrew from Gaza in 2005 and all we’ve seen since then are internal terror, violence and thousands of rockets launched indisriminately into Israel in order to terrorize its civilian population. Egypt made peace when they figured out they could not win. Jordan did the same as soon as it was politically feasible. When the West makes clear that the Palestinians have lost and that the longer they wait in suing for peace, the less they are going to receive, we’ll see them make peace as well.
The only thing Israel should give Gaza
mbecker908 Monday, January 19th at 10:49AM EST (link)is a complete and total urban renewal plan similar to what the US and the Brits did for Dresden. The problem is simple, the Israelis simply hold back from killing enough of the bastards to make a real difference. An excellent place to start would be the next time the government meets they should bomb the building to rubble and napalm the remains. A good follow up would be to take out the entire city block from which a rocket is fired.
As far as giving them their dignity back, they’ve never had any. The “Palestinians” have never been anything more than a bunch of wandering, murdering thugs. The only thing they should have to look forward to is stopping the rocket/suicide attacks or dying.
Golda was right.
5. More Like *7*... (nt)
IJB Monday, January 19th at 3:15PM EST (link)Further militarize Palestine? HAMAS a resistance movement?
JSobieski Monday, January 19th at 11:28AM EST (link)Ever read the HAMAS charter?
Ever watch Palestinian tv?
Ever invite people who want to kill you into your house?
No offense, but your analysis fails to take into account the true nature and goals of HAMAS. A couple of years ago, people like you said “just pull out of Gaza” (e.g. give the Palestinians their dignity” and things will work out fine.
Now you assert opening the border makes sense?
Wow. On redstate, your comment reads like a caricature.
Sorry to say, but
gekster Monday, January 19th at 1:06PM EST (link)1. Isreal did kill top Hamas leaders.
2. Isreal has allways been labeled a terrorist state, and by more than just Arabs.
And if you had been reading newspapers since the 70’s, and known about the love affair with Yasser Arafat, the papers have never really favored Isreal in any manner.
3. As for militarizing palastine, where did the rockets come from if they were not all ready there.
The morters.
The anti-tank rockets.
The rocket propelled grenades.
These are not tinker toys.
You have allready gottten three things wrong, in the first paragraph alone.
It’s like when I checked my childrens homework, if I found three things wrong, I had them redo it.
No disrespect but,
Please go back and try again.
A political party cannot be all things to all people.
It must represent certain fundamental beliefs which must not be compromised to political expediency, or simply to swell its numbers.
Ronald Reagan
Every deer hunter in Michigan still likes to take a shot at a squirrel, rabbit, or even a troll every now and then.
Hamas is a terrorist group, apologist.
Moe Lane Tuesday, January 20th at 7:10PM EST (link)Scram, apologist.
Check out my new blog at http://moelane.com/.
http://twitter.com/moelane
My (blogging-related) wish list.
Dr. Rubin, maybe I'm a bit off on this, but we're now at the point of simple survival for Israel and Jews world-wide.
Kenny Solomon Monday, January 19th at 8:14PM EST (link)Your last few sentences were all that needed to be said…..
“Finally, we should remember the aims of the two sides. Israel’s goal is very modest: security for its citizens, no cross-border attacks. Hamas’s goal is the destruction of Israel, wiping out its citizens, revolution throughout the Middle East, treating women as chattel, and the creation of what it considers to be Allah’s government on earth.”
“Knowing that, you can decide which side to support.”
—————–
………..In all honesty, that’s the crux of the matter and nothing else was needed to be run up. You’re hitting on the little things of the past, when the little things are what keeps bringing Israel to this point again and again and again…. that they must fight to some degree and any degree will bring the weight of the world down on them hard.
So then, when will enough of the little things be enough ?
Israel has a monumentally difficult choice to make and they have to make it within weeks, maybe days and with absolute confidence. Because as anyone with half a grain of proper education knows that our people are of the eternal mindset that celebrates life, not death.
The endgame to all this is rather simple. It’s an all or nothing proposition. Israel needs to go back in and wipe out Hamas quickly and with as much force as possible. I also realize this means going after everything that moves or is standing higher than a half-meter. They honestly need to level Gaza and start over with the property back in Israeli hands and governance.
This is because Hamas is not going to stop, not even for a second….. and if there’s one of these animals still remaining, that’s one too many.
Right now, Hamas is re-arming. More than likely with extra help and much better munitions from Iran, Syria and everyone else who wants the Jews gone.
It’s NORMAL for them using their own as shields and targets before. They see absolutely nothing amiss to that. But just wait though…… Next, they’ll start chaining their own relatives to their homes and others to strategic sites, all of it IN PLAIN SIGHT of IDF and the world ; Using those places for staging points, ammo dumps and outright firing emplacements. Even worse, many times this will be with the full knowledge and willingness of their own people to be that way, because of their religious belief of a death-is-life mindset.
They know that Israel will think more than twice about launching on those places because of “innocents”.
Hence the quandary….. GO and have the rest of the Muslim world quite probably attack as retaliation, or NO GO and Hamas will continue in place and rebuild to the point of being able to do catastrophic damage with help from those who want Israel’s end and all Jews eliminated.
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I’m now fairly proud of myself…….. A quick proof-reading before posting made me realize I did this without bringing up all the aid from America….. that may or may not go away tomorrow after Noon Eastern Time.
Cheers !
Of course you can have my guns……. Bullets first.
I didn’t say rounds, shells or magazines……
I said bullets first.