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Mike Castle: Meet Charlie Crist

On May 5, 2009, a little known Speaker of the House from Florida by the name of Marco Rubio announced his candidacy for the U.S. Senate. The media yawned, the pundits rolled their eyes, and the National Republican Senatorial Committee endorsed and slobbered over Gov. Charlie Crist as the “best chance to hold this seat” candidate. Meanwhile, Marco soared all the way to the low single digits in early polling in the race.

But a funny thing happened on the way to Charlie’s coronation. Marco worked tirelessly to build up a grassroots campaign, influential consevative leaders such as Erick Erickson at RedState endorsed his candidacy, and Charlie Crist was, well, Charlie Crist. The next thing you know, Marco’s leading Charlie by 30+ points in the polls, Charlie has left the party he ostensibly loved to run as an Independent, and the NRSC was left looking, well, rather sheepish.

Now, while Charlie Crist could charitably be described as a “moderate” Republican, Mike Castle is, quite simply, a liberal Republican as has been outlined here. But “conventional wisdom” has chanted in unison that a) Mike Castle must be the pre-ordained GOP nominee for Senate because, b) only a liberal Republican like Castle can win in Delaware (a fact someone should point out to conservatives Gov. Pete DuPont and Sen. William Roth).

Well, Mike Castle may have more in common with Charlie Crist than just his “presumed nomination” and left-of-center voting record. According to a poll released by Rasmussen on July 15, there are some interesting trends a brewin’ in the upcoming GOP Primary between Castle and his primary opponent Christine O’Donnell.

For the chart-viewing challenged, here are the highlights from the poll:

1) Castle’s 29 point lead over Democratic nominee Chris Coons has dwindled down to 9 points (causing Rasmussen to move this race from “Solid GOP” to “Leans GOP”);

2) The “unfavorable” ratings for Castle (31%), Coons (29%) and O’Donnell (33%) are roughly equivalent;

3) 25% of Likely Voters do not yet have an opinion of O’Donnell which leaves her with a lot of upside whereas only 9% of voters don’t have an opinion of Castle; and, finally (and the big one)

4) Rasmussen shows O’Donnell ahead of Coons 41% to 39%.

For the Castle camp who’s chief raison d’etre for supporting Mike is that he’s the only electable candidate, this news could not have been greeted with champagne, cavier and cigars all around. In fact, as we speak, I picture members of the Castle staff punching in the cell numbers of the Crist staff and asking in bewildered voices “How can this be?”

Well, here’s the bottom line. Voters, even in Delaware, are fed up with 2,000 page unread bills jammed through in secrecy and trillions of dollars in debt piled onto their kids and grandkids. They’re looking for someone who’s going to be part of the solution, not someone who’s been part of the problem for the last 44 years. They’re looking for a leader outside the political cesspool, not a politician who has spent his entire adult life going from one political office to another.

Christine O’Donnell has cultivated and garnered the support of the grassroots activists, just like Marco Rubio did. Christine O’Donnell raised over $100,000 in the quarter just ended, not from PACs (like so much of Mike Castle’s donations) but from the same small donor base that catapulted Marco Rubio past Charlie Crist. Christine has been endorsed by Erick Erickson from RedState as well as the influential pro-life Susan B. Anthony List. Christine doesn’t need to match Mike dollar for dollar or anything close because she has something money can’t buy: the passionate energy of those who are fighting for a cause not for just another step on the political ladder.

Delaware has elected conservative leaders in the past and if there was ever an election cycle in which they will do so again, this is it. Christine can be that leader because Mike Castle’s coronation into the U.S. Senate is no more pre-ordained than Charlie Crist’s.

But wishing something doesn’t make it so. Our nation is in deperate need of a conservative choice not a liberal echo. Christine is that conservative choice but Christine needs our help now.

Let’s Roll!

Originally posted at 73wire.com

COMMENTS

  • SirGladiator

    Fantastic diary, full of great information. I didn’t know that polling info, that is very good to know! I figured once O’Donnell got better known that she’d win fairly easily, but the fact that she’s ‘already’ ahead of the Democrat, and that the Democrat is under 40 against her, really shows how strong a strong a candidate she is. The fact is that this, like many other races around the Country have been (such as Indiana and Kentucky) is a race where the GOP Primary ‘is’ the General Election. Sure, the Democrat in theory has a slight chance, but not much more than that, particularly because this is such a strong a Republican year.

    The fact that Castle is sinking like a stone in the latest polling is excellent news, it’s a shame they hadn’t polled Christine in the past so we could see how fast she’s zooming up, but hopefully she will overtake Castle soon, if she hasn’t already, among GOP Primary voters. The people of Delaware, like the rest of America, don’t want a liberal vs liberal General Election matchup. They want a real choice, and Christine O’Donnell will give them that choice, and a great Conservative victory in November!

    • eburke

      She’s still got 25% of the electorate who hasn’t gotten to know her…Castle’s as well known as he’s gonna get (hell, the guy’s done nothing but be a DE politician his whole life) so Christine’s got tremendous upside.

      And like I said…if there’s ever a cycle in which a conservative can get elected in a state like DE…this is it!

  • JadedByPolitics

    The takeover in November would have been a WIN for the Democrats with 4 additional Senators for the left!

    It is time for Americans to have a Conservative Congress that STOPS the spending, gets the Federal Government back down to its Constitutional size and RESPECTS those for who they work!

    The next few election cycles are two-fold for Conservatives, WE MUST takedown the leftists and WE MUST take down the liberal Republicans in the GOP, it will be hard but it MUST be done!

    • JamesSmith130

      he isn’t just a RINO. We may have to live with RINOs, fine, see Scott Brown. I’ll oppose them in the primary when possible, but will gladly support them in the general.

      I won’t support this kind of junk. If elected, Castle would be the most liberal Senator in the GOP caucus.

  • JamesSmith130

    Castle, who is effectively an incumbent, has a slight edge and is under 50% against an unknown Dem, and is falling every week.

    O’Donnell is tied with the Dem, and still has a good chance to gain recognition.

    So we get a Dem on everything but name in Castle who is going to struggle to fend off a challenge from an official Dem versus a good conservative who is at least in a tossup to win this seat.

    This is a no-brainer for me. Give Christine O’Donnell a shot. Castle isn’t worth electing, and even if he was, he is sinking rapidly, and may not have a much better chance to win over a real conservative.

    Let’s see some primary numbers, because I’m donating more money to Christine.

    There were three Senate candidates I said from the beginning that I just couldn’t stomach in a general election, Tom Campbell, Mike Castle, and Bill Binnie. The first one is gone.

    • eburke

      I’d still vote for the guy because the first vote of each session is still the most important (although I wouldn’t fall over in a dead faint if he was the 51st GOP senator that he would cut a deal w/the Dems to switch, making the Senate a 50/50 split which would give control to the Dems)

      But I agree with everything else you said – Castle’s a 44 year incumbent in an anti-incumbent year and his positions are barely distinguishable from his opponent which is why I think his lead has vanished.

      I don’t think he’s got any better chance than Christine (and maybe less) so we might as well get the real thing.

      • rightwingdelaware

        Mike Castle is NOT a “44 year incumbent.” He’s been in the House since 1993.

        Before he was a Congressman, he was Delaware’s Governor for 8 years, where he cut taxes on individuals and corporations, and enjoyted 8 years of prosperity, job creation, low unemployment and growth.

        THAT’S why he always wins in Delaware, He REPRESENTS Delaware, it’s people and it’s economy well.

        • JadedByPolitics

          9X2 which equals 18 years then the 8 years as Gov and he is NOT part of the problem? he just sat there and lets ALL OF THIS INCREASED GOVERNMENT SPENDING happen without doing a thing about it! He MUST GO!

          His problem and those of ANYONE who has been in DC longer then 12 years is that they become comfortable and they NO LONGER recognize to whom they work for. I guess you didn’t get the memo this election cycle which is THROW THE BUMS OUT!

          Obtw Redstate is CONSERVATIVE in the primary Republican in general so if your RINO loses in the primary WE will not expect to see you back.

        • eburke

          of some kind or other for 44years. I’d lay it all out for you but you’re not worth the time.

          Look it up yourself (not that you really care)

  • Swamp_Yankee

    Its easy for these unknowns to fly beneath the radar. They seem great on paper. But people are so eager to stick to the establishment they dont properly evaluate the candidtates themselves. You need to be more then a conservative, you need to be a good candidate. O’Donnell has not received much scrutiny for her IRS liens, debt problem and questionable finacial history. If this is the horse your going to ride in a liberal state, she better be ready to handle the assault that is coming.

    http://www.simplelegaldocs.com/odonnell-faces-debt-tax-issues

    By the way Harry Reid is leading Sharon Angle by 7 points in a new poll.
    Sharon Angle, good conservative, lousy candidate.

  • eburke
  • JamesSmith130

    I think she’ll turn the tide. Harry Reid will be able to savage Angle for a month, but eventually the race will again be a referendum on Reid, especially with his reelection being a real possibility again, and that’s when Angle will win.

  • IJB

    You’ve unmasked yourself with this comment:

    Your interest isn’t even like SteveLA’s, to elect local candidates that supposedly “represent” their constituencies views (whatever the heck that even means!) – I don’t agree with SteveLA on the much, but at least I can acknowledge that it’s a defensible viewpoint.

    But with the Angle jab, it is clear that you are *against* conservative candidates anywhere and everywhere – you’re pushing as liberal GOP candidates as you can get, *everywhere*.

    I suspected as much before now, but couldn’t prove it. This comment clinches it for me.

  • AceInTX

    Is their any RINO you won’t carry water for?

  • Swamp_Yankee

    * She has a federal tax lien of over $11,000 filed in 2010 for backtaxes extending to 2005.

    * She defaulted on her mortgage, had her house repossessed.

    * She has serious campaign debts and problems.

    * She was sued by her alma mate for failing to pay student loans.

    This has nothing to so with Brown. Pretending it does looks petty. She serious questions. Ignore them now. But Coons and the media wont.

  • eburke

    She has as much to do with O’Donnell as Brown has to do with Angle.

    Point made.

  • eburke

    I would have been content had Swamp just stuck to criticizing O’Donnell because those are issues that her campaign are going to have to address (but not as difficult to overcome as Castle having to run on a record of being an elected official in a year in which incumbency is a death knell).

    It was his gratuitous, totally irrelevant swipe at Angle that was uncalled in…so I just flipped the tables.

    Castle tanking 18 points against a no-name, nobody Dem is a lot more troubling than Angle losing 10 points against a Senate Majority leader with a $25 million war chest who has unleashed a torrent of negative ads against Angle in the last month while Angle and her allies have held their ammo. Plus, he chooses the one poll showing Angle down which just happens to also be the poll which was by far off the most in the primary election.

  • JamesSmith130

    so I guess I’m not that surprised that he wants more liberal candidates.

  • Swamp_Yankee

    I’m ” against conservative candidates anywhere and everywhere – you?re pushing as liberal GOP candidates as you can get, everywhere.”

    you got all that from my comment. Absolutely, genius.

  • JamesSmith130

    I do believe the polls showing Angle down, although not by the margin they found. If you take a relentless beating from negative ads without responding, you will lose ground in polls. But I also think that this race will eventually become a race about Harry Reid and not about Sharron Angle, and that will turn the tide in October.

  • Swamp_Yankee

    about being smart, tactical and exercising due diligence.

    Sue Lowden was not a liberal Republican, but she targeted because she was perceived to be an establishment candidate. Obama carried Nevada by 12 points. Trying to make a statement in Nevada, a if it were Utah was not wise.

    O’Donnell has run before and has a history of losing like Ovide, and Angle. People try to prop them up based on paper arguments without exercising due diligence. There is a parallel between the two; just because they are conservative doesn’t make them good candidates.

    I don’t really care about Castle, but he was a no vote for ObamaCare. That’s my concern. My Republic.

    I dont care much about her credit history, but others will. With O’Donnell there seems to be a pattern. She was sued by Farleigh Dickinson for not paying her loans, then she defaulted on her mortgage, then got cited for breaking campaign finance rules, …

  • JamesSmith130

    I think Swamp supports Kelly Ayotte over Bill Binnie in New Hampshire.

    Granted, Binnie is probably the single most liberal serious candidate running in a GOP primary this cycle, worse than Mike Castle or Tom Campbell, which is saying something.

  • eburke

    Neither have anything to do with O’Donnell vs Castle. To take a snarky swipe at Angle in particular and conservatives in general and then using a poll that’s clearly an outlier to justify your swipe was irrelevant to what otherwise might be legitimate points.

    And no matter what ‘issues’ Christine may have, she’ll be able to defend them more than Castle will his 44 year politcal career in the year of the ‘outsider’. There is little to differentiate Coons and Castle ideologically so given that scenario, why wouldn’t the people of DE decide to go with the guy that *hasn’t* been part of the problem for 44 years. That’s why I believe his poll numbers are tanking.

    Whatever problems Christine may or may not have, there will be a stark difference ideologically between the two outsiders. In a year when ‘read the freaking bill’ and ‘quit spending my kid’s money’ is ringing huge with electorates everywhere (even MA), I’d rather put my money on Christine.

  • eburke

    vs a Coons in the last 6 months.

    Mike Castle doesn’t even rise to the level of a moderate. He’s a liberal through and through so go shill somewhere else.

  • eburke

    really getting tiresome. Like all your paid brother and sister shills, you sign up for an account for a month…post on nothing but your boy/girl…throw out all sorts of obfuscation (look it up when you come up out of your mom’s basement) and could care less about conservatism in general or the site in particular.