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James Carville’s New Poll is so Bad For Democrats He Doesn’t Want You to Know it Exists

By: Erick Erickson (Diary)  |  August 6th, 2009 at 05:28 PM  | 

RESIZE: AAA

Democracy Corps is James Carville and Stan Greenberg’s pet polling organization that always, without fail, issues polling picked up by the media highlighting how Republicans are screwed and Democrats are ever victorious.

Brian Faughnan notes a series of typical headlines from Democracy Corps announcing their polls:

  • Don’t Believe the Hype: Support for Health Care Reform is Still Fundamentally Strong
  • New Survey Shows Cheney, Sotomayor Debates Threaten to Further Isolate GOP
  • Obama Closes the Democrats’ Historical National Security Gap
  • Americans See a Lot to Appreciate in Obama’s First 100 Days
  • As Specter Leaves the GOP, New Surveys Show Republicans in Disarray

Democracy Corps has a new poll out this week. There is some curiosity to the polling. Unlike their other polls that they usher out with great fanfare, this poll was released with no announcement, no fanfare, and no media roll out.

Why?

Because the polling shows the Democrats are in a world of self-inflicted hurt.

Unlike most polling these day, Democracy Corps does try to maintain a semblance of credibility and looks at likely voters instead of all registered voters. And among their pool of likely voters, 53% of those likely to vote in 2010 think Obama is too liberal. The same number think he’s going to raise taxes. 55% think he doesn’t deliver on his promises.

Oh, and Republicans lead Democrats by 13 points on the issue of who will be a better steward of our tax dollars. Brian has more details. This comes on the heels of a DailyKos poll showing Creigh Deeds is getting slaughtered by Bob McDonnell in Virginia in part because of Barack Obama.

It’s too early to make too many comparisons to 1994, but let’s remember that Republicans are also picking up state legislative seats — 15 so far this year in special elections. Like in 1994, the state legislative elections in 1993 and the gubernatorial races in Virginia and New Jersey that year were harbingers of 1994.

Stay tuned.

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  • bk

    Other than the hopey-changey business, the next most popular thing for Democrats in the fall was calling McCain and every other Republican a continuation of Bush. Bush Bush Bush Bush was all we heard.

    Here we are barely six months into Obama’s term and you can’t even find a Democrat who wants to be seen anywhere near Obama. When is the last time you recall seeing some Democrat in the same TV shot with Obama? It sure has been a rarity hasn’t it?

  • http://stixblog.com stix

    think people are getting upset with the arrogance of the Democrats and how they are forcing these vote without time to read or have any one review these bills.
    And Obama does not help with his asinine Press Conferences where he calls a cop racist w/o knowing the facts.

    Their Arrogance will kill them

  • GT350
  • Kayla

    We at least have to win back the House.

  • Robert A. Hahn
      a DailyKos poll showing Creigh Deeds is getting slaughtered by Bob McDonnell in Virginia in part because of Barack Obama

    This is probably the most useful result for us in the short term because it weakens Rahm Emanuel’s ability to twist Congressional arms with the old, “If you want the president to campaign in your district, you’ll go along with us on this” bait.

    If nobody wants him anyway, the Blue Dogs especially can be as independent and fearless as they like.

  • Big Apple Infidel

    Photobucket

  • avgamerican

    Last year my wife entered her coconut cream pie in a pie eating contest. At the end of the contest my wife’s pie was completely gone, but didn’t win in any category. The pies that won all had lots left over. It was obvious who had really won. This is exactly what the dems and media are in for. Obamacare is obviously failing and Obama is being celebrated by the media. Come 2010 when the dems get voted out it will be obvious that Obama isn’t the brilliant one. Nor will the media’s depiction of town hall dissenters as organized mobs.

  • blooch
  • redneck_hippie

    Good analogy. And pie is my favorite dessert. The Rasmussen Reports has really awesome results.

    “71% say Obama’s policies have driven up deficit”

    “54% Favor middle class tax cuts over new health care spending”

    etc. etc.

    As the approval polls slide for The One and congress, and the Republicans are more trusted on the economy and are winning the generic congressional ballot, there’s room for optimism.

    From Ras’ tuesday generic ballot results:

    http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/generic_congressional_ballot

    Pretty much explains every last bit of the “mob” propaganda by the lefties. Cough Cough.

  • avgamerican

    Do you think voters saw BHOas moderate before the election? Because my response to that is bunk. There is no way you couldn’t know Obama was a liberal extremist. Yet I have heard that analysis that voters thought Obama was moderate. Why are voters now surprised that Obama is pursuing this socialist agenda on healthcare? He said he was in favor of universal healthcare before the election. What did people think it was?

  • From ME to You

    What the media spoon fed the masses was the portrait of the “perfect” people’s candidate. He won the “American Idol” vote because most haven’t beeen educated to actually think but to unquestionbly believe all that they are told by the “elite”.

    Ckalk one up to the Public EducationIndoctrination System!

  • avgamerican

    And he said he believed in universal healthcare, his extreme left wing voting record was revealed…The media has always been for the left and spun, but it hasn’t worked all the time. My neices nephew is a Captain in the Marine Corps he voted Obama. A friend at work..conservative veteran..voted Obama. What is it that they saw in BHO? And why didn’t they see the obvious that I saw? I felt like a friend of mine described at the time ” I feel like I’m in Germany 1932.”

  • redneck_hippie

    The best explanation of the Obama campaign phenomenon was given by the video,

    How Obama Got Elected (2,257,522 views on YouTube)

    It is stunning the amount of ignorance out there. The people who knew Obama was extreme leftist make up the majority of those who agree with his leftist agenda. The others are just sheep who became infatuated with The Novelty Candidate.

    The surprise of voters isn’t only evident regarding health “reform.” I’d be willing to bet there are untold millions of voters who have no inkling of Obama’s support for infanticide as an Illinois senator.

    And people believed the health reform lies along with all the other propaganda loads disseminated by our ministry of information MSM. You make an interesting point about people not understanding the effects of universal healthcare “reform.” It happens when people go into the voting booth with visions of hopenchange dancing in their heads.

    What we are witnessing now is not just conservative and or republican anger but democrat and or liberal disillusionment as well.

    People, not only toddlers, get angry when their shiny new toys break.

  • avgamerican

    I’m convinced that those who call themselves conservative do not hold true to those principles. In one of my blogs I layed out the fact that I can’t separate my values from what I vote for. All my neices were raised Catholic. Two are mothers and would never think of aborting their baby. But somehow they disconnect that from supporting a president who not only is pro abortion, he believes in its expansion internationally. People like my neices refuse to call leadership on moral principle. Like those at Notre Dame. Wanting people to respect and see them as moral, but refuse to take the responsibilty for having moral principles. Pseudoism.

  • From ME to You

    I voted for Sarah and the guy she was running with.

    As much as I appreciate what John McCain went through in Viet Nam, his record in the Senate did not inspire much hope.

    A conservative, he is not. Squishy might be the best adjective for his record. He was more conservative than TheOne™ but that’s not saying much. Heck Susan Collins(R-ME) is more conservative than TheOne™ !! (Typing freudian slip!!! I almost made Sen. Collins a ‘D’)

    Not having much of a choice between Socialist and socialist-lite the “squishy” middle chose the Socialist because everyboody ‘knew’ he was just saying those things to get elected! Once he got elected everybody ‘knew’ that he would really govern from the middle.

    As Gomer Pyle famously said “Surprise, surprise, surprise!” (Wow, I am old!!)The American Sheeple are now finding out that he really meant those things and with a majority in both the Senate and House it should be relatively easy to get everything passed.

    The Republican vote is not needed to pass anything in the House. It is a little more difficult in the Senate but I’m sure some 3 AM phone calls to the right places will bring pressure on those in the Democrat party who would dare oppose it . It’s the “Chicago Way®”

  • From ME to You

    I voted for Sarah and the guy she was running with.

    As much as I appreciate what John McCain went through in Viet Nam, his record in the Senate did not inspire much hope.

    A conservative, he is not. Squishy might be the best adjective for his record. He was more conservative than TheOne™ but that’s not saying much. Heck Susan Collins(R-ME) is more conservative than TheOne™ !! (Typing freudian slip!!! I almost made Sen. Collins a ‘D’)

    Not having much of a choice between Socialist and socialist-lite the “squishy” middle chose the Socialist because everyboody ‘knew’ he was just saying those things to get elected! Once he got elected everybody ‘knew’ that he would really govern from the middle.

    As Gomer Pyle famously said “Surprise, surprise, surprise!” (Wow, I am old!!)The American Sheeple are now finding out that he really meant those things and with a majority in both the Senate and House it should be relatively easy to get everything passed.

    The Republican vote is not needed to pass anything in the House. It is a little more difficult in the Senate but I’m sure some 3 AM phone calls to the right places will bring pressure on those in the Democrat party who would dare oppose it . It’s the “Chicago Way®”

  • redneck_hippie

    One thing I would say about the disconnect is it is very difficult to stand by one’s principles when it is inconvenient. The millions of abortions performed in this country speak to that demonstrably. The babies are exterminated because they are inconvenient for the mother. There is no morality involved in the decision.

  • oklahomajon

    I sure hope so Carvillie he said that Dems could bein power 40 years and there is not a Dem that you like to see eat his word more then Carvillie.Just another attack dog.

  • oklahomajon

    I sure hope so Carvillie he said that Dems could bein power 40 years and there is not a Dem that you like to see eat his word more then Carvillie.Just another attack dog.

  • rubicon01

    Seems to me, the interviews conducted by some guy at a polling place after folks had just voted, displayed why Obama won. Those voters were totally ignorant on the Constitution & they had somehow been convinced by some in the media that bad stories about Obama or Biden, were associated w/ McCain/Palin. That told me many voted because he was black & not because he was a better candidate. Add the lacklusterness of McCain, & Obama won.
    Today, as many realize far too much power went to one party, regrets have set in. Add to this the absolute designs by the Democrat majorities in the House & Senate to drive us toward socialism & the discontent is rising. Lets face it, when Pelosi decided to stop floor discussions in the House, which Repub’s apparently never did, & more discontent. She has changed rules that have stood for over 225 years & many see that as corrupted power.
    Power corrupts. Absolute power corrupts absolutely.
    Then again, there are many who prance around as conservatives who are really liberals. Moderates know not which crowd to associate with. The over-reach of the radical left is what is really upsetting many. One of the radical special interest activist groups once said, “we bought the Democratic Party… we own it, and now we will make it do what we want, no matter what!” Guess they should rethink that policy since grassroots Americans & NOT activist agitators, decided to tell their elected representatives just what they thought of the newly proposed Department of Eugenics which could easily one day be used to deny treatment to their political enemies. One would hope such actions would never happen, but then I never thought the majority would shut down debate on the House floor, or plan to defy the public & pass Health Care legislation based on reconciliation alone. Knowing they cannot garner enough votes from even their own party, means only by arm-twisting some of their party, can they get their draconian plans to overhaul our health care systems & our national economy.
    I would not plan or show glee that the end of Dems is upon us just yet though. They have a way of reappearing & especially once the media works real hard to portray average Americans as evil & to portray Obama’s plan as the best thing since sliced bread! In addition, all I want is a government that respects us, spends lots less, & quite frankly gets a lot smaller!

  • bk

    People were sick of Bush (or more like what Bush was caricatured as) and fell for the hopey-changey mantra especially with McCain being such a dud as a campaigner.

    Now they are learning that “change” isn’t the same thing as “change for the better”. If someone walks up to you and says, “I’m going to change your life!” and then pulls out a gun, takes your car and your wallet, and shoots you in both knees, then that’s certainly “change”.

  • GenEarly

    The Tea Parties ARE NOT republican supporters, they are for common sense traditional values and individual freedom.
    Heard about the new jets Pelosi wants for congress?
    She has Republican support from Florida congressman Bill Young (Pinellas County)
    My email as a constituent :
    Just when I think you have gotten the message you can’t restrain yourself and just have to spend money we do not have. Republicans are not going to re-gain the house on pork as usual politics. Your support of more executive jets for congress hidden in the defense budget is what got you in the minority in the first place! You had the democrats in your cross hairs after they berated the bankers for their private jet travel and wanted more of the same for themselves. What hypocrites! And now you have joined them! It shows me YOU have not gotten the message:This country IS BROKE! And congress doesn’t deserve a private air fleet,along with your own private health care,retirements, etc. YOU are just a citizen, sir, grown too fat on your own pork. Maybe you should follow Martinez, do us a real favor and retire.