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  • zbigreddogz

    That if we win the races by this kind of margin, we’ll gain SUBSTANTIAL numbers in the state Assembly/Senate.

  • PaRep

    THUD !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  • zbigreddogz

    We’re going to lose NY 23 (and we deserve to…at least the party officials do) and NJ is going to be close.

    But yes, I think he’s collapsing in VA.

  • JadedByPolitics

    there are a LOT of McDonnell stickers on the cars and a ton of signs and the only place I am seeing Deed’s signs is on a road called FFX County Pkwy and they went up for about a mile about 10 days ago and 2/3rd’s have fallen down…heh kind of like his campaign :)

  • penguin2

    Almost all of the signs I’ve seen here in the Virginia Beach area are McDonnell, including stickers. You wouldn’t know that Deeds is a candidate. I’d like to think that this race is surely a referendum on the Obama presidency. And while the Left has dismissed the Tea Party folks, the Town Halls, and the 9/12 Marches across the nation, the people have not.

    There is a reason the ratings and viewership of FOX and Talk Radio is up, some of those folks who may have voted for him or stayed home have woken up. It’s about time. But everyone must remember, this is only a beginning. There can be no complacency. Obama and the administration will spin the results, the work of 2010 starts in earnest the day after Nov. 3rd.
    (Or sooner) :)

  • ciscoguy

    I worry about NJ, though.

  • TallChE

    I just came in from making phonecalls for McDonnell and rest of the ticket. We are assumeing that McDonnell is the one down and there will be no letup till after the polls close. RNC Michael Steele is going to be in with us on Friday.

  • redtillimdead

    Although, if Daggett’s blunders get enough media coverage (such as his not being able to name a SINGLE U.S. Supreme Court justice) he should sink, and Christie should rise. I think Ras has a new poll out there later in the week,

  • http://www.realityunwound.com realityunwound

    today, than it was on November 4? I remember watching FOX and the sinking in my gut sinking when VA turned blue. I heard lots of speculation and chatter… it’s because of D.C.’s urban sprawl, the metro’s are growing while the rurals are shrinking, and everyone had their opinion… but I’m in Texas and still not very sure…

    Is Bob McDonnel’s (hopeful) election a turning away from their turning toward Obama? Or was it ever really blue? Or maybe, “in Nov 08, was it red-purple or blue-purple?” is a better question. Was the final filling in the result of a higher voter turn out, or was the offloading of electoral votes to the D’s an accurate representation of the political heartbeat of the state?

    As a bellwether, how does this compare to the NJ race? I’d like to beat Chris Daggett with the arm that I ripped clean off Ross Perot. But that would be uncivilized,so I’ll refrain.

  • http://www.realityunwound.com realityunwound

    A loss is a win. Or, at least, it allows us to keep the integrity of our name. We don’t need the House version of Olympia Snow, heralded by the Dems when she falls in step with them, and then becoming the accused as soon as blame is needed for something.

    Frankly, I understand what Glen Beck was saying about McCain being worse than Obama. If it hadn’t been for Daddy Bush renegging on his own promise not to raise taxes, Boy Bush and his happy aisle crossing government expanding partners in waste, Senators McCain, Graham,, et al, Obama couldn’t have happened.

    The only problem with Karl Rove’s dream of a permanent conservative majority was the guy he worked for. In NY-23, a liberal Republican victory muddies the waters and gives an administration that already likes to point to the other guy all the ammo they need. Let her lose, and let another candidate rise up.

  • cusefan96

    I heard on Special Report tonight that Obama will be going to NJ AND VA to campaign. Is that accurate? This following Willie’s visits today.
    Hopefully in both races we end with a Chicago Olympics type result. President expends energy, political capital, and jet fuel…and on Nov. 3rd…Egg meet Face.

  • Third Street

    Because a Scozzafava “win” is the last thing we need. She’s that bad. Owens may win, but at least with DeDe out of the way (and if the Republicans haven’t learned something from this then they truly are hopeless) Hoffman can make a run under the Republican and Conservative banners, and in a year like 2010 he’d more than likely sweep Owens out of the way. We only have to wait another year, and score a real win there.

  • Hooah_Mac

    It is slim, but his chances increase with every additional national name that gets on board. Best thing that could happen( for the race, the GOP and the country) is if the NRCC says oops and leaves Dede hanging. I’m not holding my breath on that one, although it illustrates exactly what has been wrong with the national party for a decade.

  • Hooah_Mac

    Especially after how it has been trending since the mid-nineties, then the democrats will be messing themselves. A win in NJ (which I am cautiously optimistic about) will show the country and the administration that President Obama has become a millstone around the neck of their party. I just hope the dems aren’t smart enough to learn anything from that.

  • scarlos

    in 2005, McDonnell barely scratched out a victory in the Attorney General Race. His opponent? Creigh Deeds.

    From that Perspective, Virginia has actually gotten Redder since 2005, as the same candidates who ran nearly even now have an 19-point gap between them.

    There is no way you can consider Virginia a blue State. At worst, it’s a Red-leaning Purple.

  • cableguymn

    They have the Pubs at 92 to win, and the dems at 9..

    The betting money is on a republican win. Most times intrade seems to be a good indication of the outcome.

  • wgsampson

    Bob McDonnell seems to be headed for a huge victory and it seems like he will have long wide coat tails. Is this because Deeds et. al were such lousy candidates, were they managed by morons, or does McDonnell just have a cracker-jack staff. Looking back on the McCain disaster on account of all the Senators (useless jerk) men, it is obvious that we need some new managerial blood at the national level. Virginia would seem to be a good place to start looking.

    It looks like Pawlenty inherited the McCain crew – so he’s a non starter.

  • http://moelane.com/ Moe Lane

    …is that every too-close-to-call assumes double-digits from the third-party candidate. That’s not a historical result for NJ; but then again, there is no law of physics that prohibits Daggett from breaking 10%. So we wait to see if that shakes out more.

  • Hooah_Mac

    Christie wins all of them except the NYT poll. More importantly, when you look at the polls before Daggett, Christie was leading. I suspect that around 60% of the voters do not want Corzine at all. If they back off Daggett, there is no reason to believe they go to Corzine…more than likely they stay home, it is an off year election after all.

    My analysis is Christie in a squeaker, after you apply the odd 5% or so that democrats mysteriously pick up in NJ on election day. I could be wrong, I am definitely not ready to pen this into the win column. Everyone in NJ needs to step up the game, and for gosh sakes, VOTE.

  • http://travismonitor.blogspot.com Freedoms Truth

    We are talking about a 10 point swing or more. PowerLine says that Ras has Obama at -12 on the strong approve/disapprove line.

    http://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2009/10/024754.php

    The loss of millions of jobs and disapproval of the higher-taxes and higher-spending plans of ObamaCare.

    Obama is doing it all wrong. He needs to stay *IN* DC and figure out a way to get more popular, mainly by reversing all his crazy hard-left-radical appointments and policies.

  • abbynormal

    I’ve seen a smattering of Deeds signs in Norfolk and Portsmouth, but the signs I see in our area are primarily McDonnell. I’ve made a lot of calls for McDonnell, too, and while I get hung up on plenty, most folks are supportive, and say they intend to vote; so, I’m feeling pretty good about the election going our way.

  • abbynormal

    Our local paper said Obama is supposed to campaign for Deeds somewhere, sometime. Haven’t seen a follow-up on that “story” yet.

  • ciscoguy

    still lots of obama bumper stickers, hardly a mccain sticker, but the overall feel is their shiny new toy has definitely lost some of its luster. i see about 30 mcdonnell signs for every deeds sign. Mcdonnel is running some devastating ads, one with deeds bragging he wrote the most earmarks. deeds only has one about mcdonnells stupid thesis from 20 years ago and doesnt even run them that often.

    Depending on how much of a disaster obama turns out to be will directly correlate to a republican’s margin of victory here in 2012. Romney would probably do the best, palin the worst. Social conservatives generally wont do well in this region unless they bring something else to the table and dont make social values the centerpiece of their platform. For instance, if gen petraeus decided to run and turned out to be a staunch social conservative, he would probably get a pass with all his experience in foreign affairs and actually being a real non-politician.

  • DONTTREADONME

    do not fall for the blue dawg Nichols that is pretending to be a Conservative Democrat if he even states he is a democrat.

    Richard Anderson came door to door in my neighborhood and couldn’t wait to stop by and see who lives at the home with the Gadsden flag flying out in front and the sticker that says protected by Smith and Wesson. Great guy, and excellent military experience in charge of the ICBMs.

  • Third Street

  • Scope

    I’m sure you are talking about NOVA, and, not the rest of the state. NOVA has been Blue Bluer Bluest for years, as the area is so heavily populated. Inner cities and heavily populated areas are mostly Democratic, as they usually contain the most minorities, including women. Also, there are pockets in VA that are solidly Blue, but, the rural areas, which make up the most of the geography (not the population) are still very Red. You must also remember that we are at the doorway to the religious christian south, or what some call the Biblebelt. In the 2008 primaries, Romney’s Mormonism was a definate drawback (I don’t agree that anyone’s religion should have anything to do with their ability to govern), and, I have no reason to believe that that will change. If anything, with the Obama administration attempting to bash the Christians, and to move in a direction of immorality or amorality, the religious right will be even more of a force. Something like 60% of those polled identify themselves as Conservatives. The Independents are leaving Obama in droves. The elite old-guard Republicans that have been pushing for a left of center position are becoming more and more isolated. The grassroots is taking a strong hold, and seeing that “Corruption” (which I view as a moral issue) is now the number one issue with voters, those that have been squisshy on Social issues (Romney) will be less popular. The more the Obamaites try to remove God, (and they must according to Marxist doctrine) and replace him with a loyalty and fealty to the Government, the more people will “cling” to their true religion. I’m thinking of the sayings- “Absence makes the heart grow fonder”, “You don’t miss something until it is taken away” and etc. Also, with Obamacare in the forefront, and the government takeover of a free market system, the more eyes are on the disaster that Romneycare has been in Mass. While it was an issue in the 2008 primaries, it will be an even bigger issue in 2012. To dismiss Palin as the least likely to gain support in VA for 2012 is foolish. You may have personal reasons for not liking her, but, you dismiss her wide appeal to many Christan and values voters. She may be there in 2012, and she may not, however, to dismiss her now, in 2009 is a big mistake. None of us yet know for sure just what she will do between now and then.

    BTW, did you see the last debate last night between McDonnell and Deeds. Deeds was stuttering, stunned, disorganized, and just wanted to keep attacking McDonnell, again for the 20 year old thesis. The Republicans finally got an apparent Republican leaning moderators. They didn’t help Deeds. It was a beautiful thing to see.

  • Scope

    when Obama stumped for Deeds last time it was in NOVA. Only a few weeks ago, Deeds acted as though Obama was the 500 lb gorilla hanging around his neck when Obama was here. As stated above, Obama has lost alot of his appeal here in VA. Slick Willie came yesterday with McAuliffe, who lost to Deeds in the primary, as the Dems thought that Deeds had the best chance of winning. McAuliffe’s rah rah’s for Deeds were half-hearted and phoney, and you couldn’t miss that. Even slick Willie couldn’t find anything to promote Deeds except that he is the Democrat. Obama’s visit next week can only do more harm, and that will be less than one week before the race. I suspect that Deeds isn’t spending much money, if any, on a place to hold his victory speech.

  • Scope

    when Obama stumped for Deeds last time it was in NOVA. Only a few weeks ago, Deeds acted as though Obama was the 500 lb gorilla hanging around his neck when Obama was here. As stated above, Obama has lost alot of his appeal here in VA. Slick Willie came yesterday with McAuliffe, who lost to Deeds in the primary, as the Dems thought that Deeds had the best chance of winning. McAuliffe’s rah rah’s for Deeds were half-hearted and phoney, and you couldn’t miss that. Even slick Willie couldn’t find anything to promote Deeds except that he is the Democrat. Obama’s visit next week can only do more harm, and that will be less than one week before the race. I suspect that Deeds isn’t spending much money, if any, on a place to hold his victory speech.

  • Scope

    From what I have seen, they usually are pretty close to correct. I believe the intrade numbers are backed by money bets, so to speak. No one will put their money on what they know will be a loser.

  • Scope

    From what I have seen, they usually are pretty close to correct. I believe the intrade numbers are backed by money bets, so to speak. No one will put their money on what they know will be a loser.

  • Scope

    and that is why Palin has not come to stump for McDonnell. I believe that McDonnell has been responsible for McDonnell’s wide leads. As many around here have said, we finally have a good Republican candidate. He is not perfect, as most candidates are not, but, he has a strong conservative record to fall back on. Deeds has a tax and spend mentality, and has actually bragged about it. To say he is a lousy candidate is an understatement. And, yes, McDonnells coat tails will be wide and far. I look forward to getting rid of at least some of the most Progressive Reps next year. Warner is very popular here, but, Webb has been sliding, and is up for re-election in 2010 I believe. We need to find another Bob McDonnell to run against him.

  • Ausonius

    See:

    http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

    An excerpt:

    “Forty percent (40%) Strongly Disapprove giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -13. That?s just a point above the lowest level ever recorded for this President. It?s also the sixth straight day in negative double digits, matching the longest such streak…”

    Deeds may not want help from ObaMao except for that unemployment check.