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EDITOR OF REDSTATE

On New Jersey Exiting Polling

By: Erick Erickson (Diary)  |  November 3rd, 2009 at 07:34 PM  | 

RESIZE: AAA

From a pollster friend:

I’m sensing the NJ exits maybe skewed to Dems…they had Health care at 18%, most important issue. Economy was #1 at 31% and property taxes 2 at 25%. Corruption was at 20%. Property taxes was always the #1 issue in everyone’s statewide.

UPDATE: North New Jersey Democrats are beginning to fret that Corzine did not pick up enough support in the area to over come exit pollings that, even skewed to the Democrats, show Christie picking up +50% of independents and Corzine less than 40%.

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COMMENTS

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  • swami7774

    …has blown it open on Intrade in the last couple of hours?

  • Swamp_Yankee

    Everthing in New Jersey is always on the level. Always.

  • lurker9876

    what do you mean…skewed to the Dems?

    That Corzine is winning?

    Can’t believe that Fox News says it’s too close to call VA.

  • regent2009

    I thought that they were saying its too early to call, which means that there is just isn’t enough raw vote, not that it is necessarily close.

  • Sundayjack

    ppppolls Exit shows Christie up 25 with independents, we had him up 23

  • 6eorge Jetson

    As of 7:49PM on Intrade

    McDonnell 99
    Hoffman 85
    Cristie 40 and slowly rising over the past half hour

  • swami7774

    If you go back and look at Election Night coverage from 2000 and ’04, VA was never called right away or W–yet he won the state twice by double-digits.
    Most networks are loathe to make quick calls since Florida ’00–and rightly so.

  • DONTTREADONME

    that was kind of meant as a joke, knowing that the polls closed only 23 minutes ago, I am looking at the numbers now and every county that I expected to go Deeds is going Deeds and vice versa. I will make a prediction and the percentages will look like Bush to Kerry 2004 ratio, which of course is not a great breakthrough as we would hope. Of course, the VA delegate breakdown is also important to us in VA, an all R Richmond means good things.

  • sacody

    In the PPP poll giving Christie a six point lead, he only had a 52 percent share of the independent vote. I can see why Democrats are upset with his projected 58% share.

  • Scope

    that the VA trifecta is currently getting 60 something % of the vote, as reported by FOX. Go somewhere else to look for your losers, it ain’t the Republicans in VA. Like all Liberals, they just can’t get their heads wrapted around the truth.

  • Scope

    that the VA trifecta is currently getting 60 something % of the vote, as reported by FOX. Go somewhere else to look for your losers, it ain’t the Republicans in VA. Like all Liberals, they just can’t get their heads wrapted around the truth.

  • leftylurker

    got me all confused

    =)

  • Scope

    To falsley say that FOX is calling VA to close to call is a troller. You really need to go, big time. On Redstate no one reports false information, NO ONE.

  • lurker9876

    I want the VA trifecta to win and it looks like it is going to be a trifecta.

    Yahoo!

    Let’s make sure that this IS a referendum.

  • nycenterright

    If corzine wins all dems and Christie wins all reps, Corzine needs 40% of turnout to be dems. It was 44% in 2008, so I doubt he’ll get there.

  • wolfgang

    …Christie polling 68 per cent of the white male voters, less of the white female vote. That still leaves the Democrats needing a lot of votes from the other ethnic groups. They may be more votes shy than they will be able to muster from the cemetary’s voters

  • Republican_Michigander

    Way early, and I DON’T know what’s in.

    Christie – 16191 – 51%
    Corzine – 12720 – 40%
    Daggett – 8%

  • sharonmcp

    FOX is reporting Christie at 50%, Corzine 41%.

  • sharonmcp

    FOX reporting Christie at 55%, Corzine 38%.

  • redtillimdead

    Christie 51.3%
    Corzine 42.4%
    Daggett 5.5%
    http://elections.nytimes.com/2009/results/new-jersey.html
    Bergen beginning to come in
    If Christie can win Bergen, he stands a good chance of winning

  • sharonmcp

    FOX showing Christie at 50%, Corzine 43%