Comments on: Morning Briefing for June 6, 2012

By: APA Guy

APA Guy — Wed, 06 Jun 2012 19:41:56 +0000

By: Viet71

Viet71 — Wed, 06 Jun 2012 19:39:49 +0000

This election reminds me a whole lot of the 1980 election, because of the ineffectiveness of the president at home and abroad and because of the general economic malaise.

Obama’s slicker than Carter, and Romney lacks Reagan’s TV skills, but the American people want change, not four more years of the same. They don’t want wholesale radical change, but the want back the promise of better America.

Given all this, I agree with you about states being play.

By: tnfriendofcoal101368

tnfriendofcoal101368 — Wed, 06 Jun 2012 19:28:22 +0000

I would expect any non deep blue state would be in play (essentially all of them except all of upper northeast (New Hampshire an exception), New York, New Jersey, California, Washington, Oregon, Illinois, and Maryland. Not saying Obama doesn’t pull some of the tossups out but he’ll have to defend everywhere except deep blue.

By: APA Guy

APA Guy — Wed, 06 Jun 2012 19:21:30 +0000

With the exception of a Dem polling outfit named PPP, polls show this to be a 4-5 point race right now. About another 4 months of the Obama economy and those numbers will swing about 10 points in the other direction…ditto WI and PA.

By: lineholder

lineholder — Wed, 06 Jun 2012 18:42:56 +0000

Like I said, we’re just getting into the general election. Let’s see what Romney can make of the opportunities he has.

By: lineholder

lineholder — Wed, 06 Jun 2012 18:39:03 +0000

Tell me about the Tobin tax. European Parliament approved the tax on May 25th. Word has it that nations inside the EZ are hoping this will be implemented for all nations in the EU and that revenues will be used to help compensate for debt margins of EZ nations.

How does the Tobin Tax work? And what consequences would there be if it is implemented? Help EZ while hurt EU?

By: acat

acat — Wed, 06 Jun 2012 18:38:48 +0000

(allegedly a favorite quote of Stonewall Jackson)

Mew

By: commonsenseobserver

commonsenseobserver — Wed, 06 Jun 2012 18:35:23 +0000

Say, New Mexico and Michigan?

Romney still needs to keep an eye on Indiana, North Carolina, Missouri and Arizona, of course.

By: lineholder

lineholder — Wed, 06 Jun 2012 18:31:56 +0000

I’m guessing he’s likely to look at other states (such as PA) in the same light.

We’re just getting in the general election phase. Let’s see how thing go. Romney may surprise us a bit.

By: tnfriendofcoal101368

tnfriendofcoal101368 — Wed, 06 Jun 2012 18:31:48 +0000

The Romney campaign won’t make any decision based on polls you see. They are doing internal polling in every state and while other polls might have an agenda, they will be polling for holes in the Obama coalition.

By: commonsenseobserver

commonsenseobserver — Wed, 06 Jun 2012 18:30:04 +0000

He needs to target Pittsburg, Scranton and Erie more.

By: lineholder

lineholder — Wed, 06 Jun 2012 18:26:37 +0000

I don’t know what the demographics of either voter registration or turnout % might trend in the state of PA.

Poll had a relatively small sample size (412), and its a poll of registered voters not likely voters.

But the F&M poll has a 50% D/38% R/12% I demographic spread. All other things equal, if the D% is increased to 50% and Obama has ONLY a 12% lead in PA….then it is possible that PA is more in play than it looks.

Yeah, I know…one poll does not a trend make

https://edisk.fandm.edu/FLI/keystone/pdf/keyjun12_1.pdf

By: westcoastpatriette

westcoastpatriette — Wed, 06 Jun 2012 17:24:10 +0000

that would be so awesome if she could soar out of nowhere and unseat the fossilized, useless Feinstein.

She sounds solid to me. I’m sure we’ll hear much more about her now that she won a chance to derail Diane.

By: tnfriendofcoal101368

tnfriendofcoal101368 — Wed, 06 Jun 2012 17:18:22 +0000

in Tennessee, her energy flank is in the middle but everything else, yeppers. Of course, if elected McConnell and Boehner would probably hit her with those borg nanoprobes and assimilate her. I love this quote: “U.S. Senator Dianne Feinstein has been in office for twenty years and she has done nothing” – truer words were never spoken.

By: tnfriendofcoal101368

tnfriendofcoal101368 — Wed, 06 Jun 2012 17:12:55 +0000

Just take 5% off the top for the Democrat in PPP to account for the house bias, also add the undecideds to Romney at a 90-10 rate (that is any poll) unless there is an outside event (think John Edwards here) that would send those undecideds screaming back to Obama.

By: westcoastpatriette

westcoastpatriette — Wed, 06 Jun 2012 17:07:16 +0000

She came out with 12% of the vote against twenty-two others who hoped to challenge Feinstein in November.

http://www.emken2012.com/

By: lineholder

lineholder — Wed, 06 Jun 2012 17:05:03 +0000

There isn’t going to be an “ideal” running mate that absolutely everyone and their brother will agree on. Someone will always have reasons to say “no, this person just isn’t the right person to choose”.

IMO, we need problem-solvers right now who can take on the challenges our country is facing…people who aren’t afraid to step outside the status quo if they have to in order to find the best possible way of solving the problems we’re facing.

Jindal possesses this quality much more than most. That’s what can be plainly seen in the things he’s accomplished and achieved so far.

By: lineholder

lineholder — Wed, 06 Jun 2012 16:59:51 +0000

By: commonsenseobserver

commonsenseobserver — Wed, 06 Jun 2012 16:59:15 +0000

He would be a smart choice. Just worry about the libertarians at Cato and their report cards…

By: lineholder

lineholder — Wed, 06 Jun 2012 16:59:05 +0000

The depth of knowledge he has gained and the scope of his experiences….plus, he’s very much so the objective pragmatist when it comes to problem-solving, yet he’s managed to succeed in solving some of the problems LA has faced without raising taxes in the meantime.

I have a lot of respect for Jindal.