James Carville’s New Poll is so Bad For Democrats He Doesn’t Want You to Know it Exists

By: Erick Erickson (Diary)  |  August 6th at 05:28 PM  | 

Democracy Corps is James Carville and Stan Greenberg’s pet polling organization that always, without fail, issues polling picked up by the media highlighting how Republicans are screwed and Democrats are ever victorious. Brian Faughnan notes a series of typical headlines from Democracy Corps announcing their polls: Don’t Believe the Hype: Support for Health Care Reform is Still Fundamentally Strong New Survey Shows Cheney, Sotomayor Debates | Read More »

Let’s Reignite Operation Chaos Tomorrow

By: Erick Erickson (Diary)  |  November 3rd at 04:38 PM  | 

Friends, tomorrow is the day we’ve been focused on for so long. Let’s make it a great day. Let’s reignite Operation Chaos. As you know, the media relies on exit polling to formulate their news coverage of Election Day. Likewise, the campaigns make estimations as the day wears on via exit polls. Lastly, in preparing for the next election’s polling, some pollsters will use exit | Read More »

Seen those trends?

By: Erick Erickson (Diary)  |  October 29th at 08:52 AM  | 

The polls narrow. And the McCain campaign claims ownership of the last 96 hours of this campaign season. In fact, among undecided voters, the largest portion is now solidifying who will get the vote. And the Obama “spread the wealth” stuff and the LA Times video suppression are just helping ratify minds as the polls narrow. Here’s what’s fun. Let’s assume the worst case scenario. | Read More »

The Trends

By: Erick Erickson (Diary)  |  October 17th at 07:11 AM  | 

I’ve been saying privately for a few days, and to a number of you on email, that my sense was a shift back toward John McCain. Today’s Gallup poll, along with a host of other polls, shows that. Here is the safe rule for this election: ignore the numbers, but watch the trends. The trend had been toward Obama. It is now toward McCain. Joe | Read More »