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The Electorate

By: flagser (Diary)  |  October 28th, 2012 at 11:13 AM  | 

RESIZE: AAA

gallup has an interesting article

http://www.gallup.com/poll/158399/2012-electorate-looks-like-2008.aspx

synopsis:
2004 a “Republican year” versus 2008 a “Democrat year” had different demographics. Mostly we are talking about race here. 2012 registered voters closely resemble 2008 and not 2004. Conclusion? Gunna be a Democrat year!

except.

a little noted line a the bottom.
electorate 2004: even numbers of Dem leaners versus R leaners. 2008: Dem leaners 12 points greater than R. 2012: R leads Dem by 3 points.

Thats a 15 point shift!
Even in my most wildly optimistic moments I would not have expected that. Phenomenal. This is going to be one for the history books

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