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Ten for the Road: Which Republican Leaders Will Lead Us on Our Road to Recovery?

Thanks to my chairmanship of the Executive Roundtable for the Republican Governor’s Association, I have had the privilege of knowing some of the party’s most influential leaders. This, plus concerns on the current Administration’s direction (think assault on free enterprise and march toward socialism) have led me to some early thoughts on who might both lead our party back and who might be our nominee in 2012.

So, for better, or for worse, based on my personal experiences, here are my top ten who are leading the debate today, some of whom we should be looking to for 2012. Given that I believe the solutions to most of our country’s problems aren’t found in Washington, you will find few on my list who serve in Congress.

1. Mitt Romney — The almost-nominee with the established organization, fundraising network, time, and talent to get the nomination this time. He does retain an image problem with some Republicans, who are not sold on his conservative credentials or upset with him for changing his emphasis of issues from his time as governor to presidential candidate. But he is self-aware and very smart. I believe he will start reintroducing himself early on, and possibly be in the best position when the serious campaigning begins in early 2011.

2. Mark Sanford — Mark is the soft spoken but thoughtful and challenging leader of RGA. He could be a challenger to Mitt or on the ticket if he decides to go that way. His leadership on the stimulus funds was extremely important to the integrity of our small government values by rejecting the federal bailout in the first place and solution-minded innovation by agreeing to accept the money if and only if the South Carolina legislature used it to pay down the state’s debt. At a time when the Republican Party needs to offer creative solutions, Mark is doing exactly that.

3. Haley Barbour — Extremely sound on policies, clear thinking and the best political strategist, well liked by all factions, more likely a king maker than king, but one never knows. As governor of Mississippi, he did a far better job responding to Hurricane Katrina and the aftermath than Kathleen Blanco. Now she is not in office, but Barbour still is. He does not have the best name recognition, which may be a good thing considering that much of his career had been based in Washington. Now that he has credibility as an effective governor, that background may no longer be a liability, and should help him with fundraising. And he has always been a terrific organizer. Haley was RNC chairman during the 1994 Republican revolution. Maybe he has some ideas about how to recapture that spirit.

4. Dick Cheney — That’s right, I am putting Dick Cheney on this list. He deserves to be. He is willing and able to take it to Obama, no matter the criticism, and he’s on point in defending the Bush-era policies that led to 8 years of safety, now endangered by the new administration letting political correctness trump clear thinking on national security. Of course, we know that he won’t run but if the past few weeks tell us anything, he will be around. His presence alone will challenge other future leaders in the party to be more prepared, less squishy and sharper on core issues like foreign policy. And it would be fun to see the liberal establishment howl.

5. Emerging GOP Senate candidates in blue states — Think Charlie Crist, and possibly George Pataki, Mark Kirk, or Mike Castle. Yes, they are moderates and especially a few weeks after Arlen Specter’s opportunistic party switch “moderate” is all but a four-letter word. But can we ever expect to be a majority party without embracing a tent big philosophy that encourages those at the middle of the spectrum to think of themselves as Republicans? We need people like Mark Kirk and people like Mark Sanford both to be proud members of the GOP.

6. Sarah Palin — She is vastly underestimated by the press, has an enormous grasp of issues and a strong devotion to what is important to Alaska, where she will be re-elected easily, and will be the most powerful money and mobilization magnet in GOP for some time.

7. Bob McDonnell — No one outside of Virginia knows him yet, but he’s the best GOP candidate for governor in many years. He is also and able to build a center-right majority. As such, he will win the 2009 race, and this will embolden others to run and start the way back for the GOP. If you have any doubts, look back at 1993 when after a 1992 drubbing for the GOP, the election of Allen and Whitman paved the way for takeover of Congress in 1994. Bob’s victory will propel him to become one of the party’s biggest new stars.

8. Jon Huntsman — His clarity and charismatic style combined with his call for inclusiveness and outreach continues to register with those who believe in the big tent approach, while being a strong leader on traditional issues dear to hearts of conservatives. If he does run for president, many will consider it an experiment in Republican re-branding, and the results may be far-reaching.

9. Paul Ryan — At 39, Ryan is the the go-to budget expert in the House, with a clear and compelling message on economic reform. He is sure to continue prodding others to new policy ideas and proposals with his clear-thinking views. I believe he is sure to emerge as one of the party’s leading voices and one who will be short-listed for VP in 2012. As a protégé of my great friend Jack Kemp, Paul Ryan is the real next coming of Jack.

10. Eric Cantor — Like Ryan a forceful and clear-thinking leader with energy, charm, and smarts. His rise from working in his family’s small business and then the Virginia legislature to a leadership role in the House GOP caucus is a true testament to his talent and dedication. My guess is he has what it takes to become Speaker of the House, and I’d bet that one day he will.

I’ve thought of others, like John McCain, for still being the most talked about and followed in Senate. Another promising leader is Mitch Daniels, who excelled in the Bush administration and is starting his second term as Indiana’s governor. And perhaps I have missed a few, and can learn something from you. I welcome your feedback in the comments. Thanks in advance for your thoughts.

COMMENTS

  • Maggie_in_Indiana

    Mike Pence and Michelle Bachman. they both are consistent in voting and their message resignates with the base and are hard pressed to find even moderates that disagree with them on key issues.
    This should be interesting indeed.

    • janis

      She’s someone I’d like to see as a Senator or Governor and then VP for someone.

  • Dencal26

    Any such list must include Newt Gingrich. He is the person everyone listens to. When Newt gives a speech people listen.

    I also believe Huckabee controls more votes than anyone thinks. I think he has gained even more popularity since Nov with his TV Show. People like him and when they like you they tend to ignore the issues like with Obama.

    • itrytobenice

      but not a great leader.

    • mbecker908

      Others of us have a problem with a two-faced, lying Republican version of Huey P Long. Huckabee’s appeal is to a very, very narrow constituency. His vote total was maxed out last time and he will never, ever be anything but an extraordinarily divisive influence on the Party.

      And in a head to head battle, Palin would destroy him. Absolutely and utterly.

  • The_Gadfly

    Elect him this year and he will continue to be a thorn in the side of Republican leadership until he finally admits he’d be happier as a Dem and switches parties. As such, he is incapable of being a leader in the fight against the fascist/socialist axis which currently holds power.

    I won’t contest that most of our so called leaders in the Republican party think Crist is and ought to be one of those leaders, but that is part and parcel, one of the central problems in the Republican party at the moment.

  • jtkell100

    Sarah Palin will win the nomination and will be the next President of the USA. Wake up Republicans. Do you not understand she has the conservative vote, along with the democrats and independents that love America. Florida is a good example, Crist has no chance winning there. He and Specter are outdated Republicans, like so many more that are in the House and Senate.

    • http://impudent.blognation.us/blog kyle8

      who are just as conservative, and probably better candidates.

    • secondpatriot76

      Sarah Palin is our leader to take back the White House and get the economy moving again. She is the heir to Reagan.

      • pilgrim

        http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124234844782222081.html

  • Kevin Allen

    Florida is not a blue state… we can do much better than Charlie Christ in Florida. He is about to break his tax pledge which is dumb politically & economically. It will also make him a liar.

  • E Pluribus Unum

    But I’m pretty sure we can do better than *Crist*.

    Sorry, had to say it!

  • E Pluribus Unum

    And I’m one of those for whom “moderate” is a 4-letter word. And frankly I can’t stand Crist, hope he loses in the primary, and I don’t agree that we run a moderate when we have a conservative who can win (Toomey is a redux here).

    But the list you are naming are people you think will dominate the debate, and I agree on that point with pretty much the whole list – even the squishes.

    Jindal I would think merits at least an honorable mention, though.

  • http://www.hakubi.us/ Neil Stevens

    Mitt Romney can’t even keep a consistent position through a Presidential primary. I wouldn’t trust him to lead the party when he can’t even lead himself.

  • texas214

    Cheney, McCain, Newt, all have something to say, but at this point they are the past. The GOP has to be forward thinking about who will be the messenger.

    One other I think ‘shows’ well on TV is Corker, he always wins the debate.

  • johnCV

    I am very disheartened that Pataki and Crist make the ‘list’ but a Conservative like Jindal does not. The moderate northeasterners may be required to win in those blue states, but for a national leader? No. Way.

    The republicans only tenuously hold onto conservatives as it is – if you want to solidify a losing streak, keep promoting democrat-lite candidates who seeminly enjoy running away from the party base.

    We need leadership that proudly and optimistically espouses the principles of conservatism and are capable of making the case of why it is better for the average American. We have a truly golden opportunity to contrast true conservatism to the corrupt socialism that is now the democrat party. If the best we can do is to put forward candidates that say we are like them – only not as much – just stay home.

    This is it – crunch time – if republicans abandon conservatism to chase some moderate ‘ghost’, we are done as a party because we have abandoned what we are for the sake of some focus group pablum.
    You lead from the front, dammit!

  • papalee

    but since he won’t run for office I wonder what he is doing on the list. Other than Cheney, Palin and Haley Barbour are the only ones that I could really support for national office. Romney is a no-starter as far as I am concerned.

    I want someone who has successfully governed a state and has been a very good fiscal conservative. I don’t want a Souter and too many of your recommendations look like that might be their path.

  • Brian Hibbert

    And I think a favorite among other conservative groups. Is there a reason you left him off?

    And I’m not a big fan of your number 5, though I get your point. And I’ll probably resort to voting for Mark Kirk for Senate next year (unless we can get a downstater like Rutherford onto the ballot instead). I just don’t want that bunch identified as our party leaders.

  • ciscoguy

    I think Huckabee will be the only likely one to run, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see Newt throw his hat in the ring.

    I like your list. Unless a bomb goes off or another skyscraper or two gets knocked down, I don’t see Cheney running. Ergo, I hope we don’t see him running, but the reality is, we very well might.

    We really need someone who is sharp enough to cut through Obama’s rhetorical nonsense in a message that resonates with independent voters. I do worry about Romney’s creds, but I’m willing to give him a second chance. Otherwise, I think he has the attributes necessary to win the White House. Of course, I would vote for a straw man over Obama.

  • http://www.libertylives.org madnorskie

    What is the point of having an all-inclusive “Big Tent” party when there are no underlying beliefs and ideals that unify them? The problem with the GOP is that it has lost any sort of unifying message and has become an incompetent shadow of the Democrat party.

    They have taken the Democratic playbook of building voter groups and used the power of government to legislate to that group’s benefit…we have seen the consequence of that strategy; the estrangement of classic liberals from the GOP and many of those “special interests” jumping to the Democrats because quite frankly, they do it better and it fits their ideology.

    Now, we have McCain, Cantor, and other “leading” Republicans telling us that we should be talking about the same issues as the Democrats: healthcare, immigration, energy. If this is the “new branding” of the Republican party we will again experience failure in 2012. We cannot win by being Democrat-lite and campaign to use the Government but for different priorities.

    The only way that Republican party will regain its relevance, and the only time it has ever been relevant, is when it stood in defense of the Constitution and of the ideal of liberty and for the rights of the American people.

  • Common_Cents

    for solid conservative leaders but I hope we don’t fall into the trap of finding a ‘savior’ for conservatives and Republicans to save us from ourselves like the left has done with Obama. We need a solid person that gets vetted.

    The person we nominate is going to reflect how much work we did on the ground, where it really matters. Slapping a conservative on top of the party pile without having done the street work will not produce results.

    If conservatives get active in a grass roots effort, we’ll gravitate towards and attract better candidates.

  • ocleverone
  • newagegop

    I do not trust him at all. No way no how no Romney. I’ll vote libertarian if we get any moderate or Romney.

  • newagegop

    I’ll stay home if he wins the primary.

  • Achance

    If you don’t like Romney or whoever, that’s an issue for the primary. In the general, a vote for a Libertarian or any other third party is simply a vote for the Democrat. I don’t know what’s so hard to understand about this concept.

  • http://www.hakubi.us/ Neil Stevens
  • Kyle-MI

    I would have a bigger consideration of moderates if I saw them defending conservatives more. They complain about wanting a big tent, but once they get in they try to push the conservatives out. Just once I would like to hear a moderate Republican politicians say something about conservatives along the lines of “I disagree with some of his positions, but he is a good person who has some good ideas.”

  • donnac1188

    I’m really surprised Jim DeMint’s name is not on this list.

    He appears to be one of the most thoughtful, conservative members of the Senate; and although, he’s not constantly in front of the cameras, some of his floor speeches have been spot on. The one he gave, recently, regarding Obama’s servitude for American’s bill, euphemistically named “GIVE,” was one of the best I’ve ever heard.

  • Common_Cents

    has to have brass ummmm…you know.

    We have to get in the face of the media and call them out on their BS, get in the face of the left and call them out. No more high road, newtone crap sandwich. Not only did Bush allow himself to be taken down, he has done tremendous damage to conservatives/republicans for not taking on the MSM and the left when ridiculous crap was being slopped around.

    Romney has shown he has it, as well as Gingrich, Cheney, along with Rudy. Not sure about the rest of the list but our next candidate has to be a tenacious fighter as one of their strengths.

    Palin has the instinct but she put a little blood in the water for the MSM sharks playing “who’s smarter than a 5th grader” gotcha tricks. She needs to have a quick wit to overcome that.

    Jindal has work to do in this area and I think a run from him is premature. He is too cerebral and timid from I’ve seen so far. He’d get eaten up. Would like him to get some Admin experience in some foreign affairs capacity before running for the big job.

    The entire Republican contingent should be sent to freakin toastmasters! From mayors to state reps, to governors, and congress. You have to be able to articulate and think on your feet! Just look at how much this has cost Bush and Reps/conservatives.

  • scarlos

    I don’t think he’s likely to run in 2012, simply because he’s so young and will probably be interested in running for governor again.

    After all, he’s got plenty of time to wait and improve his political skills.

  • mikefisk

    n/t

  • The_Gadfly

    He is listing those leaders who will assist the Republican party as it attempts to regroup after the rout of 2008. As such Cheney belongs on that list. Remember, Reagan’s kitchen cabinet and unofficial but respected advisers were as important to his success as his appointed ones. In that role, Cheney is probably needs to be respected as an elder leader of the party who has been there, fought and most importantly, won these battles in the past, both under W (who was mostly a right leaning moderate and not a conservative) and under Reagan, who was the last Republican to effect the kind of re-alignment our country will desperately need in the coming years.

    In a similar vein, a smart President might short list Ryan on his potential VP list, but only to boost his visibility. Keeping him as a strong ally in the House is more important because that is a key location where votes will need to be won.

    As a party, we seem to focus too much on the top of the ticket and fail to have the bench depth needed to play this game. In posts elsewhere both MBecker and AChance have noted the need to have a full team, that plays like a team, counts votes and keeps discipline because this is one of the places where the Dems consistently outperform the GOP. Sadly, they are correct.

  • http://www.hakubi.us/ Neil Stevens

    No further comment.

  • Tbone

    NT

  • aesthete

    I generally agree with it, but as others have said, Jindal, Bachmann, Gingrich and Huckabee (ugh) will probably play major roles in the party’s direction from here on out.

    Also, though I get where you’re coming from with your defense of moderates in leadership roles, I have to say, we have been using a variation of this idea from 1998 onwards, and it has only enabled the Dems to move further left. I think that moderates should be welcomed into our party, but I don’t agree that a patronization of their views to the exclusion of conservative views is a good way to do it.

  • ciscoguy

    that Michael Steele and every member of the RNC should read.

  • The_Gadfly

    but we seem to keep losing because we keep putting up losers like McCain and Romney. And if you’re gonna lose anyway, you might as well vote your conscience.

    Now, I happen to think that if you put Romney in a position like RNC chair, he could be a significant contributor to leading the party. But then I’m thinking of the RNC chair the way it worked back under Reagan: the effective but out of the spotlight guy who manages to raise enough money to kill the competition cold every time they think they’ve closed the deal. Romney is good at organizing money making operations. He’s lousy on policy because he’s always more interested in the art of the deal, and closing the deal, rather than whether or not it is a good deal for the American people.

    What I don’t get, is that people like you, and more importantly, the people running the Republican party, don’t get that at some point the conservative base will pass the fatigue point and start a third party out of desperation. And at that point whether or not that specific third party replaces the Republican or something else happens, the Republican party will die. Quite frankly, if that comes to pass it is very unlikely the new party will replace the Republican party as the other major party in a two party system. And I think either of the two more likely scenarios will be very unpleasant. The first scenario is that we wind up with something like the Greek or Isreali mess with a bunch of parties fighting and none of them ever popular enough to win a majority of the votes (especially if we get some sort of direct proportion representation reform). The other is that only half the country splits into non-major party factions and the fascist/socialist party we call the Dems runs our country along the Mexican lines. Now given that we both agree the likely outcomes are pretty bad, the question is, are you is mostly interested in keeping them out of power, or me who is mostly interested in getting the country back on the correct path the one who is more likely to blink first?

  • wrenhal

    a wonderful senator from Oklahoma that has been a solid conservative and been fighting the big government fight already. He’s always flying under the radar of most people.
    I say Dr. Tom Coburn ought to be included by ANY Republican leadership group trying to create the platform for the 2010 and 2012 races, let alone make a good choice for some place in a possible 2012 Republican administration.

  • mikefisk

    After all, I’m kinda ambivalent on the Republican agenda anymore.

    That is, if the party leadership has one anymore, apart from “let’s be Democrats, just not as much”.

  • applycs

    Palin has the only valid excuse for not having any balls.

    Our republican party is adrift in grandiose verbalizations. It is going to take a harder stand in a nation of laws that are being used against us and are continuing to be eroded.

    Hawaii ISLAM DAY – separation of church and state – never mind it is a mosque. ACLU where are you – never mind it is just Christianity and State that is the problem.

    The DemoSoicopathicialist Party has a hard time keeping us from seeing what is happening they have no problem ignoring/castigating us, US, and the constitution.

    Just a little rant at the obvious.
    And yes I feel better for 30 seconds.

  • Brian Hibbert

    We have to stick with this party to change it.

  • Brian Hibbert

    As am I. As are you.

    But we have to work within the party to change it. We can’t do anything if we can’t show some party discipline.

  • The_Gadfly

    and my point, as Asimov put in his books some years ago, is that it is a poor blaster that can’t be pointed both ways, so he should put away the blaster.

    Don’t get me wrong, I respect Art and will miss him not being at Erick’s shindig in August. He brings an important perspective to our discussions here, and anyone who doesn’t consider most of his posts seriously will fail to formulate effective responses to the current crisis.

  • AKSteveB

    Pragmatism has become a dirty word for some here, and it should never be an ideological base, but it is the way you move towards making ideals reality. This isn’t a game. At this point in time and history, we have a cabal in power leading this country towards being something very different than we have been. Every political decision we make has to ultimately come down to “Who will best defend us against statism” and “Who still believes in American exceptionalism”. There is absolutely no scenario where supporting a Dem or a third party meets that criteria. I challenge any of the ambivalents to find one. You do go for the lesser of two evils, if one of the evils is great enough.

  • Achance

    when we’re talking personal belief, I’m squarely in the Redneck camp of the Republican Party, only one or two steps removed from a neo-confederate in many ways; living in an economic colony of the US does that to you. That said, I’m also a very practical person who really, really, really, really doesn’t like losing. You do what it takes to get 50% =1 and still move towards your objectives.

    I’ll do what I can to get people who see things my way elected in the primaries. In the General, I’ll do anything I can to keep Democrats from getting elected. It’s obvious to anyone who’s here regularly that I really don’t like Sarah Palin, but if she were the Party’s nominee, I ride for the brand. (And just for the record, I sat out the ’06 Alaska primary in terms of money or work. I couldn’t work against my old boss, and I couldn’t bring myself to work for either Palin or Binkley. Came the general, I wrote Palin the check, though not the max since I didn’t want anything.)

  • http://xmmlbchat.blogspot.com katesmith

    An aggressive proponent of fraudulent cap and trade and its deathly taxes for the whole country, an aggressive proponent of amnesty for illegal aliens, a candidate who wanted to appear so inclusive that he refused to attack Obama on important points, instead saying what a great guy he was. You suggest a group that does include deeply enmeshed politicians. George Pataki? He would spend just like Obama. Some you name were at one time Republicans. They decided to change. The two biggest issues looming that would sink this nation- forever–as Soros has long worked for and is so far pleased with his results- are the hoax issue of global warming (which Crist promotes) and its trillion dollar slap at the US taxpayer; and the absorption of up to 30 million illegal aliens. Whom exactly do you expect your aliens to be voting for? Who will be forever subservient to the aliens’ needs but current US taxpayers? The term Big Tent assumes approval of global warming and illegal aliens which are life and death issues today. No further elections will be needed.

  • http://fredmalekblog.com Fred Malek

    Glad so many of you are sharing your thoughts on the next wave of leaders for our party. I hear your points on #5 and that is where we respectfully disagree (and yes, Florida should NEVER be BLUE but unfortunately was last time around), but glad many are excited about our governors. That is where are future is. And I hear you on Jindal. He is a clear comer, will be one of our future leaders, and probably should have been on my list. — Fred

  • scarlos

    We need him in the Senate!

  • Brian Hibbert

    Yes, we need the moderates to stick with the party, just as they need us. Without all factions working together we’ll end up with no party at all. But that doesn’t mean I’ll concede leadership to them. Just as I will support their candidates in the general, I expect the same from them. And we haven’t gotten much support from the so called moderates lately.

  • Vegas_Rick

    but I think Charlie Crist is the wrong guy to be spreading our message. One of the main planks of the Republican platform is limited government and low taxes. Yet Charlie Crist stood on stage with Obama and promoted the stimulus package when virtually every member of congress voted against it.

    Guys like Crist just confuse the message. I’m not saying we should kick them out of the party, just keep them at the little kids table.

  • Tbone

    Great place for a guy who doesn’t know #2.

  • nod90

    1/ Romney…This guy seems like a moderate/ liberal who flipped to being a conservative to win votes. I’d prefer a guy who believed in something.

    2/Sanford….Sounds like a great guy. Probably should be our nominee in 2012.

    3/Barbour…Don’t know enough about him

    4/Cheney…Unlike Romney, he believes in something and is willing to fight for it. I like him even when I don’t agree with him. If we nominate him for 2012 the left would go supernova.

    5/Crist…I’m not a fan.

    6/Palin…Definitely has some sort of future, but can she master the nuts and bolts of government? Will her fans push her to run for President before she is ready?

    7,8,9/Don’t know them well

    10/Cantor seems like a good guy.

    11/Jindal…The opposite of Obama….Not a great speaker, but will have the smarts and experience to be President. I hope he runs in 2012/16.

    12/Huckabee….I don’t support him, but I think he is politically very skilled. He won a lot of votes with little cash, and will learn from his mistakes. Those who don’t like him had better think about how to beat him.

    13/ Newt….Seems to be running for President and has great ideas.

  • Vegas_Rick
  • Kowalski

    I think I might have to start a blog called “Romstate” to say that I think Republicans are dissing Romney at their peril. I know, it’s an impossible argument with a lot of people. They have SO many reasons never to countenance him again, most of which they have spent the last several years telling themselves, and which are difficult to forget, but nevertheless, his popularity continues.

    BTW if I ever did start Romstate, I’d have Dan McLaughlin as my first guest editor/foil/ne’er do-well. ;)

  • Rich Tandler

    . . .I’d like to see him win a statewide election by more than a handful of votes (he won the VA AG race by 360 votes out of 1.9 million cast) before I slap a rising star on his chest.

    Allen had won a House race before getting gerrymandered out of his seat. He won the governor’s race by a landslide before running for the Senate.

    I don’t see McDonnell leaving the governor’s mansion early to challenge Webb in 2012 (not sure who’s going to be in position to do that), so he won’t be able to run for senate until 2014.

    I can see him being a high-profile governor and a regular on Fox News but beyond that is very, very speculative at this point.

  • septembergurl

    to China, I just read.

    That’s quite the crystal ball you have there.

    Menawhile in the real world, Sarah palin is our next President.

  • leppard

    Im not familiar with some of the people on the list..which one of these is a good communicator and a strong conservative? Reagan-like, please.

  • Scope

    Here are the demographics from the 2000 Census, for the 7th district in Virginia, Eric Cantor’s district, which is where I reside. The new Census is definately going to change these demographics drastically, even without ACORN and Obama in control of the new numbers. Below, in 2000, it was reported to be 78% while non-hispanic. Cantor easily won election as a Conservative, as his district has been made up of a majority of Republican voters, mainly in his rural counties which are many.
    ________________________________________

    http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=000000008910

    Rep. Eric Cantor
    (R-Va.) 7th District,
    Central — part of Richmond and suburbs

    Residence:Glen Allen
    Born:June 6, 1963; Richmond, Va.
    Religion:Jewish
    Family:Wife, Diana Fine Cantor; three children
    Education:George Washington U., B.A. 1985 (political science) ; College of William & Mary, J.D. 1988; Columbia U., M.S. 1989 (real estate development)
    Military service:None
    Career:Lawyer; real estate developer; campaign aide
    Political Highlights:Va. House, 1992-2001; U.S. House, 2001-present
    Elected:2000 (5th term)
    Note: Minority Whip
    District Information
    Election History Year Election Candidate Votes Percent
    2008 general Eric Cantor (R) 233,531 62.7%
    Anita Hartke (D) 138,123 37.1%

    2006 general Eric Cantor (R) 163,706 63.8%
    James Nachman (D) 88,206 34.4%
    W. Blanton (I) 4,213 1.6%

    2004 general Eric Cantor (R) 230,765 75.5%
    W. Blanton (I) 74,325 24.3%

    2002 general Eric Cantor (R) 113,658 69.4%
    Ben Jones (D) 49,854 30.5%
    Vote For President Year Democrat Republican Independent
    2008 Barack Obama: 46% John McCain: 53%
    2004 John Kerry: 38% George W. Bush: 61%
    2000 Al Gore: 37% George W. Bush: 61%

    Demographics (2000 census)
    Population:643,499
    Under 18:25%
    Over 65:12%
    Married:58.3%
    Non-Hispanic White:78%
    Black:16%
    Hispanic:2%
    Asian:2%
    Foreign Born:4.8%
    Language other than English:6.8%
    Median Household Income:50,990
    Owner Occupied Housing:73%
    Income above $200k:3
    Workforce/Education (2000 census)
    White Collar:68.4%
    Blue Collar:19.8%
    Services:11.8%
    Bachelor’s Degree:33%
    Graduate Education:11.4%
    Civilian Veterans:64,905

    __________________________________________

    It is admirable that Cantor won in 2008 with 62.7% of the vote, however, he ran against a Democrat who no one had ever heard of, she did no advertising at all, and had $0 dollars to campaign with, but still gained 37.1% of the vote. If you look back at his previous wins, and the % of the vote he won by, it has been steadily dropping, while the % of the vote for his opponents has been steadily increasing. The new Census will most surely change those vote totals, as the entire area has had a major influx of Hispanics, and the Northeasterners moving to the area for “lower taxes” but, bringing their liberal values and votes with them. Cantors district borders with the 5th district that voted for Tom Periello and against Virgil Goode, not by a large margin for sure, but, for me one of the largest upsets in the 2008 election. If nothing else, Virgil Goode was a fiscal conservative, and voted against the TARP funds, and the auto bailouts, while Cantor voted for the TARP funds.

    It seems to me that Cantor sees the demographics tide changing, and has decided to “go along to get along”, and has not only embraced the “listening tour”, but, is a major player in it. A Virginian who posted on a local (Virginia) site was at the “kick-off” of the listening tour at the northern virginia pizza parlour. He was not impressed, as Cantor and his partners in crime had no time for listening to those with Conservative issues, but encouraged their “big tent” ideas. He left totally disgusted. Why have a “listening tour” when you can’t/won’t “listen”?

    Here is Cantor’s 2009 voting record-

    http://www.govtrack.us/congress/votes.xpd?year=2009&person=400060

    It shouts to his statement that “the Republicans can’t be the party of no, and I want the President (Obama) to succeed.” Sorry Cantor, but, I am a proud member of those that want to be the party of “NO” everywhere it is appropriate.

    Here is another link showing that Cantor was named the “hypocrite of the week” at this site which also claims that “Cantor has more layers of duplicity than just his voting record.” I agree!

    http://www.gophypocrites.com/2009/01/hypo9005.html

    This past week, a local talk radio host (Conservative) spent almost his full hours on air questioning Cantors motives, in a letter he coauthored, claiming to be for small businesses, while at the same time saying that they (the Government) is here to help them with government programs. Whaaaaat????

    I can tell you for sure, Cantor is losing popularity here in his home state, and I suspect his” listening tour” will only increase that trend. It is just more proof that some go to the halls of power, with good intentions, but, once they drink from the cup of power, they lose the principles that got them there.

    BTW Mr. Malek, you obvously missed the voices that some of us conservatives do listen to, in favor of those that should be/and will be pushed over the Republican cliff.

  • Common_Cents
  • restofva

    I’m in Randy Forbes district (4th) and have been very pleased for the most part with him. Big on religion and military, he has also voted against every bailout and stimulus bill so far. He did though fall for that populist vote on the 90% or whatever it was tax on the AIG bonuses.
    I had such high hopes for Cantor but agree with you, the bigger he gets the squishier he gets. I don’t think he has slipped into the moderate position yet though. Maybe we can catch him before he falls completely.

  • papalee

    And, yes, Cheney in your kitchen cabinet would be an important and invaluable asset.

    I guess that i am looking at two separate but related goals. The first is preparing and winning the 2010 elections retaking congress. Then I want a strong and consistent redneck, redstate conservative to become president who will both put the country back on track and punish the leftists so completely that their first problem is how to ride their mules since they will be allowed no other way to travel. You reduce the price of gasoline if you reduce demand.

  • itrytobenice

    The moderates would love to be in our party as long as we all STFU and let them run things. They just don’t want us conservatives opening our mouths and embarrassing them with our silly conservative talk.