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Georgia remains as red as the clay for Chambliss

Final thoughts and update on Georgia senate race

Fifty-eight and counting for the Democratic Party in the United States Senate, and should incumbent Republican Saxby Chambliss lose to Jim Martin on this Tuesday’s run-off election, only one Republican vote would be required to invoke cloture to end filibusters.

A President Barack Obama and the Democrats in Congress would have a blank check to enact most all of their legislative dreams of the past forty years, and, given the economic crisis, pass it all off as “stimulus” no matter how fundamental the changes the new laws may effect.

This column is an update to our front pager last week which suggested that Jim Martin was on his own, as far as getting any personal help on the ground from the President-Elect.

It remains the case that Obama will not take the “Coverdell” challenge and repeat the mistake made by then President-Elect Bill Clinton in his 1992 appearances in a previous Peach State run-off when Republican Paul Coverdell defeated then incumbent Democrat Wyche Fowler.

However, Obama did make a radio ad touting Martin as favoring his legislative agenda; Donna Brazile reported on ABC’s This Week Sunday show that all 20+ Obama campaign offices remain open; and that Obama supporters in adjoining states have been encouraged by text message to come help turn out the vote.


So, turnout matters in run-offs, too?

Yes, we finally heard, forty-eight hours before the vote, that yes, turnout matters. DeVine Law has yet to hear an explanation from an “expert” as to how turnout would ever not matter (unless an election is fixed).

Turnout means votes. We decide elections on actual votes, hence, every winner of every election is the one who had more voters turn out for them.

As if.

Gamecock also learned since our last report that Martin has raised and spent more money Chambliss. The Drive-by dead-tree media article tries to hide this fact by headlining the supposed ominous news that the Republican raised more money from large donors, but for those Americans that can still do math, the facts are discernible.

Finally, more information from our Astute Political Observer (APO) on the ground somewhere between Douglas and Decatur:

Many Georgia Democrats remain animated to vote against Saxby based on his TV ads (that included an image of Osama bin Laden) six years ago against then incumbent Democrat Max Cleland, especially given Chambliss’ reported student and medical deferments during the Vietnam War. Cleland is a triple amputee due to injuries suffered while serving in that war.

Dee-Fax issue?

We are also advised that deaths of children abused while under the supervision of the Department of Human Resources (DFCS pronounced dee-fax) while Martin was commissioner have been used by some of his political opponents. Ads have also reported a Martin vote for a “whopping” 30+% tax increase amendment that never became law.

As an attorney that has defended parents as their lawyer children as Guardian ad Litem and before the DFCS equivalent in South Carolina, I never could point to a case where the commissioner was in any way at fault for the errors of case workers.

The tax increase Martin voted for was one cent on the sales tax.

There are many reasons to vote against Martin, but those two are not among them.

Given new data, especially including the news from our APO near the City too Busy to Hate, we have to temper, but not withdraw, our view that Chambliss should pull this election out and remain as red as the clay (pictured above).

Polls show that black turnout (which went 95+% for Martin) will be up to 30% lower than their percentage on Election Day.

The best reasons for voting against Martin were mentioned above: He will be a rubber stamp for the Obama agenda. That will drive GOP turnout and the argument for divided government may persuade some Democrats to pause.

Mike DeVine’s Charlotte Observer, Examiner.com and Minority Report columns

“One man with courage makes a majority.” – Andrew Jackson

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COMMENTS

  • StephC

    It still gives me the willies. I used to work for them on contract.

    Otherwise, reco’d not much left to say is there?

  • gamecock

    They got it wrong so often on both sides, for and against parents and children. Either too much protection or none.

    Government employees, many of which are true believer change the world types. Many of which haven’t raised children.

  • StephC

    bad memories keep me from applying.

    It’s one screwed up system that seems to have as its only real goal: keeping people “in their place.”

  • E_Pluribus_Unum

    Chambliss will win, and Coleman will win.

    The red, red clay of Georgia will stay blessed, RedState™ red!

  • zuiko

    It is looking like Franken will lose the recount, but there is a good chance Franken will use the courts to overturn the election. And if he fails there, there’s even a chance the Senate will do it… I think Coleman is maybe a 60/40 proposition at best. Franken’s got all the best people from Washington State working on this.

  • GregInFla

    I have read that only those who voted Nov 4th can vote in the runoff. But I heard Chambliss state on Hannity radio today that everyone can vote, regardless of whether they voted in the general election. Which was is it? Media seem to have it both ways.

  • charliej

    If you were registered for the general then you can vote in the runoff; no limitations to who voted the first time..

    And up here in the Northern Suburbs (RED Country) we actually had lines to vote today..

    btw; regarding Martin’s 1 cent sales tax vote; to heck with gentleman wussie politics; it’s fair game and is a reason to vote against him.

    I’ll stay out of the DFACs stuff; that’s just a crazy bureaucracy..

    Early returns look promising; better than 50% R voters from General and less than 50% D voters..

  • GregInFla
  • gamecock

    had no chance, given his liberal leanings.

  • izoneguy

  • Moe_Lane

    He’ll have 58, and even he’s not stupid enough to just give us such a wonderful rallying point to work with.

    I think.

  • E_Pluribus_Unum

    but we both perhaps view it through the ‘common sense’ lens, and wonder if Reid does not understand the ramifications of MAD.

  • Achance

    when you don’t have the right collection of x and y chromosones to produce one, isn’t it? Had my share of quality time with lesbian social workers raising my step kids. Let me be King for a day and see which agency ceases to exist first.

  • StephC

    I’d do just that.

  • zuiko

    I’d say the odds of that have gotten a lot more remote now that they know they won’t hit the magic number… though I think the courts still pose a serious threat here.

  • kyle8

    not so deserted this nation that we put a silly toad in as one of our senators.