« BACK  |  PRINT

RS

MEMBER DIARY

What’s the state of the Florida GOP Senate race?

By: gawken (Diary)  |  November 16th, 2011 at 11:21 AM  | 

RESIZE: AAA

Surprisingly, there hasn’t been much, if anything, on Red State about this.  Erick endorsed Adam Hasner early on. He’s failed to make any headway in the polls, and in fundraising. We’ve had a few others announce, to minimal fanfare, and then, because in politics, as  in nature, a vacuum is abhored, Connie Mack jumped in, and now seems to be the clear favorite.

Is this race all but over? There has been some chatter about Florida Lt. Gov Jennifer Carroll tossing her name in. Are there any others in the weeds? Could Jeb decide to sweep in at the last minute?

Wondering what others think of Mack? Also, who’s likely to run for his House seat?

COMMENTS

POSTING RULES  |  LOGIN TO COMMENT  |  REGISTER TODAY
  • lucasblack

    Mack is very likely to be the winner of the primary. He cast a number of hard-right votes in the past year, no doubt to inoculate him against attacks in the direction. Hasner isn’t a bad guy, he just wasn’t catching on.
    I expect to see Mack get the bulk of the state apparatus and $ behind him in short order. Hasner may even drop out; probably would be smart to and save his fire for a different race.
    Mack’s seat is jump ball at this point. Gross Jr. has as good as a shot as anybody, I suppose.
    I think Mack has a good shot to beat Nelson, but it will be close either way. Having Rubio on the ticket will help a bit.

  • mikeymike143

    from what i have seen, hasner seems to be the frontrunner. hasner recently won the straw poll our tea party group had.

    Tea Party Fort Lauderdale U.S. Senate Straw Poll

    279 people participated in this straw poll that ran from 10/13

    • gawken

      I went to see him…at a little meet and greet..early this year..similar to what Rubio was doing when he first announced. Then Hasner got a good slot, and lots of coverage, at the RedState gathering..because Perry was making his announcement there.

      I think that we somehow expected to find another Rubio..and those are hard shoes to fill.

      Your Tea Party vote was just before Mack announced, IIRC…will you poll your members again?

      Nelson IS very beatable..he’s running even against a bunch with almost NO name recognition…and he’ll have an even harder time with Obama atop the ticket..Dems have NO chance in Florida..

      • constitutional

        We won’t get the senate if there is a weak nominee. If there’s a weak nominee, there’ll probably less turnout and that won’t counter the Democrats who come out to vote party line.

        If it’s Romney, we’ll probably be lucky to keep the house. If it’s Perry? Good chance we take both houses and the White House. Regardless of your thoughts on Perry, he’s a conservative at heart and people will clearly come out to vote.