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GOP Establishment at it again

Politico has a good piece up this morning about GOP leaders who are seeking to fend off conservatives in primary races – especially in Senate and Presidential races.
http://www.politico.com/story/2013/01/gop-scrambles-to-fix-its-primary-problem-85726.html?hp=f1

Presidential Primary

With regards to the presidential primary, I’m not sure what these leaders are talking about.  The establishment has gotten its way, the last two cycles in a row with McCain and Romney.  The article points to Romney’s two most damaging buzz phrases – “47 percent” and “self-deportation” as proof that the primary system needs to change.

To be clear, this site has advocated a “Red State Solution” wherein the most reliably red states get bumped up in the primary calendar so that Democrat states aren’t deciding who our candidate will be.  For example, Texas, rather than voting last would vote in early February as one of the first seven or eight states.

But the primary process didn’t hurt Romney the least bit.  A drawn out voting calendar wasn’t what allowed Obama to define Romney as some GOP operatives suggest, it was Romney’s flat footedness in the early summer.  Likewise, the “47 percent” remark was made to private donors behind closed doors.  Finally, the “self-deportation” comment made many conservatives cringe during the debate in which Romney said it.  That was Romney’s attempt to move to the right of people like Gingrich and Perry who had solid immigration plans they were discussing.  If anything, the drawn out Primary process allowed us to see that Michele Bachmann wasn’t ready for prime time, Herman Cain was more rhetoric than substance, Tim Pawlenty didn’t have enough heart and that Rick Perry was a worst debater than the kids in your typical middle school debate club.  The system worked.  It didn’t yield us a Republican but it at least we got someone that speak about the issues on camera. 

Senate

In regards to the Senate, there have been missteps.  Candidates like Christine O’Donnell, Sharron Angle and Todd Akin have prevented us from winning the Senate two years in a row.  However, without Tea Party Activists, Republicans wouldn’t have Deb Fischer – a conservative woman from the heartland in the Senate.  We wouldn’t have Marco Rubio as the standard bearer for our party.  We wouldn’t have Tim Scott having been elected to the House and now in the Senate.  Without conservatives pushing the right candidates in primaries, we wouldn’t have had Ted Cruz enter the Senate yesterday as another Hispanic GOP Senator.  The Tea Party revolution took back the House of Representatives so let us look at all of the facts. 

By and large, the GOP is much better off because of grassroots activists than they were without them in 2006 and 2008. 

Warning
So the GOP must be warned.  They can try a top-down approach where they push candidates that activists don’t want.  John Cornyn can get Karl Rove to ruin conservatives on the television before each primary election and maybe they will get their candidate to win the nomination.  But, where will they be without activists campaigning for them come November?

The GOP establishment didn’t have that great of a track record in November last year.  Remember establishment golden boy George Allen in VA?  Connie Mack in FL?  Tommy Thompson in WI?  The GOP establishment gave away our Congressional majorities in 2006 and 2008.  This may be the pot and the kettle.  John Cornyn and co. could have a whole new set of problems if they pursue this angel too aggressively throughout 2013.

COMMENTS

  • audax1

    GOP RINO/Moderates Senate Candidates who lost in 2012:

    CT Linda McMahon
    FL Connie Mack IV
    HI Linda Lingle
    ME Charles Summmers
    MA Scott Brown
    MI Pete Hoekstra
    MT Denny Rehberg
    NM Heather Wilson
    ND Rick Berg
    VA George Allan
    WI Tommy Thompson

    • commonsenseobserver

      I’d like to know your alternative to Lingle and Brown.

      • audax1

        Just a reminder about the non-TEA party types who lost the general election for Senate in 2012. There are more of “them” then there were TEA Party supported candidates who lost for Senate.

      • audax1

        Griff only listed 3 in his last paragraph, just wanted to remind him and other readers there were actually 11 RINO to Moderate GOPer’s who lost.

    • littlehouse18

      We needed better conservative candidates in the Virginia primary vs. Allen.

      • keepcoolwithcoolidge

        True. Although Radtke wasn’t terrible.

      • commonsenseobserver

        Maybe Cantor should have run?
        Or McDonnell.

  • cheesycon

    i think we need to rethink our focus on the fiscal side of things and instead embrace the social side. We lost this fight and from what I see we are probably going to lose the next one on the debt ceiling )did you see Newt Gingrich’s oped in politico – he’s totally right. We’re screwed.)

    see my diary – http://www.redstate.com/cheesycon/2013/01/04/why-i-am-still-a-republican/

    • keepcoolwithcoolidge

      Abandoning the fiscal side in favor of the social side burns any bridges we can expect to make with people under the age of 35. We can’t afford to fix the supply of potential voters, because we’re already losing there.

      • cheesycon

        i do not understand why what you say would happen would happen. Can you explain?

        • keepcoolwithcoolidge

          Statistics. For better or for worse, young people of all demographic backgrounds favor less government involvement on social issues. We could still hypothetically peel some votes off by offering a strong fiscal argument, but focusing exclusively on big government social issues would lose us practically everyone born after 1980 (myself included.)

    • Jim_Riggs

      I agree with Newt on the debt ceiling but to focus on anything but the fiscal side of things right now would be incredibly stupid. IMHO.

    • commonsenseobserver

      What about both?

  • Jim_Riggs

    Can anyone tell me how many Republicans in the House are part of the “GOP establishment” and how many of them are in the Tea Party and who exactly they are?

  • checkmate2012

    I read the Politico article and it made me cringe if their idea is protecting and propping up incumbents, well, just because somone is an incumbent. Great, just what we need is more lifers in Congress with a new PAC to keep RINOs in office! And I agree that grassroots is the way win elections.

    But I do disagree with you that the prolonged Primary didn’t hurt Romney. He couldn’t spend the election money to defend against the D’s summer smear until after the convention. And the umpteen debates was insane along and the split delegate approach was a disaster that should return to the winner-take-all format.

    After reading your post, I sent this email to the RNC and hope lots of other folks unhappy with the presidential primary process does the same. Maybe if they get slammed with ideas, they’ll change their ways.

    “Please change the Primary process before 2016. It’s time to change the archaic process of letting two of the smallest populated states set the tone for the GOP Primaries. Texas has the most delegate votes and yet has no voice in the process. And punishing Florida for moving up their date was just not smart.

    While your new team is assessing why we lost and what we should do going forward, please consider some kind of rotational schedule. I don’t care if it’s alphabetical and reversed year to year, but I’d prefer most delegates to least to give more voters a voice or even a system that divides the country into 10 different zones with 5 adjacent states and one primary day for all 5 states. Perhaps you’ve read the article below so this issue isn’t going away and it needs to be fixed to be fair to other states, especially red states.

    http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/275647-az-state-rep-challenging-iowa-first-in-the-nation-status

    Thank you.”

    • commonsenseobserver

      Not really, I think the mixture of winner-take-all and split delegates was fair. Caucuses were more of a headache. And primaries in many states were backloaded, which is why I agree with a rotational regional primary system. Although I do think states should be made to obey the rules. :P

      • checkmate2012

        To heck with symbolism as it’s meaningless; we need a new system. To think that only voters in those two states get to meet and greet the candidates for about a year ahead of time, for a stupid straw vote in the case of Iowa, that doesn’t even decide their delegates! What a waste of time and resources for the candidates. The split delegates was done to placate states later on the calendar. I agree on rules but expect to see them broken if the current system stays in place. I’d also like to see states close their open primaries so D’s don’t have any influence. Let’s get this process changed!

  • trem

    Look, there is a difference between losing an election and throwing away an election. People focus on the Akins and O’Donnels and Angles not because they lost, but because they threw away sure wins. That’s why they hurt our cause so much, just like Scott Brown taking Ted Kennedys seat hurt the democrats so much, it was a sure thing that went up in smoke.