Time To Reconsider the Coalition

Thu, 08 Nov 2012 17:31:32 +0000

I would respectfully point out that what this election demonstrates is that the Reagan coalition which has more or less been able to put together a governing national majority since 1980 (but barely at any time) is becoming less and less viable. The combination of Republican party faithful, evangelicals and conservative democrats is no longer getting the job done. the reality is that coalitions are living things. They change. The environment they exist in changes. This has happened to our coalition and it is time to confront it directly and soberly. No big fantasies of millions of voters secreted away waiting to hear the right combination of words. We adapt or perish.

We are losing and it will only get worse as the Republican coalition paints itself into the corners of gay marriage, reproductive rights, and immigration. Apparently pot legalization is likely as well to be part of where we are out of touch. But that is for another day.

I am sorry but demographics is in many ways destiny. We are no longer going to put together winning coalitions nationally and eventually down ballot if we do not change with the times. That means eventually losing the excellent progress we have made in state after state, and the benefits of Republican governance in those states. Republican states are better off than democrat run states nationally. We must build on that. It was wisely said that you go to war with the army you have. We must be honest about the army we have, and how to build its strength. Our army is aging and not responsive to

The pummeling in the Senate is a wake up call on women’s issues. Gay marriage keeps the gay community- and those who have gays in their families, or friendship or work circles at the least more open to democrat bs. On reproductive issues, we can tell ourselves that we are on the right side morally, but what are we on the right side of? We are not going to stop abortion. Period. It is over. If a Republican even frames the issue in way considered insensitive to abortion, they will lose. We have the lost seats to show for it. The Catholics compromised with Obama, supporting Obama on his apparently worthless promise that there would be conscience exemptions. He reneged on his promise and no one, not even the Catholics, have been able to get anyone to care in any substantive way. I know for a fact that many sincere active Catholics had no problem voting for Obama. The illusion of the great political strength of at least the Catholics needs to be cleared away.

However, it is Immigration lost us the national election this year. Our Reagan Democrats are now much more likely to be first or second generation Hispanic, not thrid or fourth or more generation Irish or Italian . If we do not get right on this issue defeats will get much worse in the future. We will see the losses extend down ballot. If Romney had gotten even the same Hispanic votes McCain had gotten in 2008, we would still be hoarse from celebrating the tossing out of Obama. The harshness we took on immigration cost us the votes of former voters and made it easy to pigeonhole Republicans as anti-immigrant bigots. WE chased them off. As big a supporter of talk radio as I am, and I am one, we need to back down on the inflammatory fantasies about immigration and self-deporting. As self serving as Obama’s fiat dream act was from the political point of view, it was humane and apparently brilliant. There is a message in there that democrats got that we did not. We in grass roots kept the issue so inflamed that Bush’s efforts to make a grand compromise failed due to our efforts. Many people who either are Hispanic or married to Hispanic and Latino immigrants knows someone or of someone who is in fact here illegally, and knows that at least that person is not a gang banger criminal. There is a lesson in this someplace. I hope we learn it. The Hispanic demographic reality is not going to make elections easier in the future.

This election left egg on face of a lot of very experienced smart people who bet on the viability of the Reagan coalition as it has existed. Their models of voter behavior were based on what were obviously flawed assumptions and methodologies. The old numbers and models failed for a reason. Blaming the data is not going to work. In engineering when models fail in the face reality, you adjust the models and then adjust what you are building. In science (except it would seem climate science) the same. I would suggest that the old coalition has lost its edge. So if we want to win, it is time to tune it up, sharpen it, and go back to winning.

Politics is the art of the possible. If the goal is to have an ideologically pure platform and not worry about votes, then change nothing. And nothing is what we will have in the future. If the goal is to win elections and move the country towards a positive vision, then we had better figure out what is possible in current reality. And adjust accordingly. All is not lost. We have an increasingly effective ground game. It must improve a lot. But that game needs votes to work for. It is time to look at what reality is and figure out what we can do in the face of that reality. let us not indulege in what I despise Obama for doing: blaming everyone else. And please, no indulging in apocalyptic doom fantasies where the country suffers so much they come our way finally giving us our justification and sweet revenge. If the apocalypse does hit, they will blame us even more.

We need to focus on forming a national coalition that will win nationally again.

Respectfully, hunter

Coalitions Are Not Forever

Thu, 08 Nov 2012 15:49:13 +0000

The Emerging Picture of Barak Obama

Mon, 03 Nov 2008 12:30:41 +0000

We see- possibly too late- an emerging picture of Barak H. Obama.
The picture is of a man committed to changing the Constitution to empower the Courts to determine our rights, instead of defending them.
Of a man who is completely willing to run a campaign that engages in massive internet money laundering.
Of a man who is committed to the destruction of basic American industries.
Of a man who is lowering the threshold at which income taxes are increased on a daily basis.
And now we see this:
A man who is going to create something America has never had before. A ‘civilian security force’.
Not a new police. Not a new anti-terrorist defense. A civilian security force.
This can only lead to political police- something America has never had before.
Beware, Obamatons. You are enabling the worst thing to have happened to a free people.
I bet you his thoughtful inner circle has even come up with a design for the uniforms this new civilian security force will wear.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tt2yGzHfy7s

Obama and Al Sadr On Same Side

Sat, 18 Oct 2008 06:42:59 +0000

So we know that Obama was secretly interfering with efforts to strengthen Iraq. He was pressuring the Iraqi government to refuse long term security relations with the US.
That the press is so corrupt as to just gloss this over is another issue.
The issue is that the Obamatons, while we are distracted on the convenient financial mess, have no plan to do what so many of his supporters claim he will do:
The right thing and support an emerging civil society in Iraq.
Now we see another actor in the region working to undermine Iraqi security in exactly the same direction:
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20081018/aponremiea/ml_iraq
al-Sadr, like Obama, knows that an unstable Iraq is bad news for America and good news for Iraq.
Iran is the player behind al-Sadr- it is where he runs and hides when he gets in trouble. It is where his ‘army’ gets training and support. Iran wants- at least- a puppet regime in Iraq whose strings are pulled in Tehran. And if they can get eastern Iraq while they are at it, so be it.
I am certainly not suggesting that Obama is talking to Iran in this. But it is rather pitiful that The One keeps finding his best outcomes in outcomes that has America defeated and Islamic extremists in victory. We see in Barak a deeply conflicted poseur. He is not comfortable with America, or defending our interests.
Remember his infantile stand on Russia’s aggression against Georgia. How he would use the UN Sec. Council- where Russia has a veto- to punish Russia. And how he compared liberating Iraq to invading Russia.
Like all else regarding Barak, his game is shallow and reactionary and self-serving.
The good news is that al-Sadr is passe in Iraq. He is more of a dangerous shake-down artist than a serious player these days.
But under Obama, I am sure he and his masters hope, he can audaciously dream of more.

The democrat Real Plan for America

Thu, 04 Sep 2008 08:13:19 +0000

The mask is slipping a bit.
Biden, like Obama, can only pose as a moderate for just so long.
The pose is failing:

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2008/sep/03/uselections2008.joebiden

The ‘hope’ these bloviating clowns wish to inflict on America is ‘hope’ to outlaw Conservatives and Patriots.
The ‘change’ they want to inflict on us is to use the power of the Federal government to make it permanent.
Sen. McCain and Gov. Palin are not only offering us a positive vision for our nation. They are defending us from people who waaaay off the mainstream

Is Obama’s Ego Infinite Or Merely Unimited?

Wed, 27 Aug 2008 17:37:46 +0000

It is not enough for Barak to tell a room full of democrats in the Capitol that he is the new Messiah. He must not just tell the millions on TV. It is not enough to set a ‘new tone’ by filling a stadium of fans (and test the limits of good security and common sense). No. The empty suit needs a toy temple. And a model airplane, as well. The Obamatons need spectacle, apparently. And by golly, they don’t give a hoot about substance, but they demand their spectacle. And Barak is more than happy to do anything to distract from substance.

The Stadium Show is not merely a Greek Temple

Now is the time to rev up Rezko

Thu, 21 Aug 2008 10:59:02 +0000

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vpmFd25tRqo
This ad is the perfect opportunity to reintroduce the voters to Obama’s pal, Tony [convicted of mortgage fraud] Rezco.
Remember, Tony commited felonies helping his pal, the Obama’s get their house.
You know, if the McCain’s were worth 5X what they are worth, they would almost be worth Obama’s best Senate friend, John Kerry.
If the McCain’s owned mansions in Italy, Martha’s Vinyard and new York, they could be deomcrats.
Do the democrats really want to go here? If so, come on in! The water is fine.