Rasmussen Reports released a poll today showing that shows what the results would be if there was a national GOP primary for the 2012 nomination was held today and it shows:
- Huckabee 29%
- Romney 24%
- Palin 18%
- Gingrich 14%
- Pawlenty 4%
- Somebody else 6%
- Not Sure 7%
Rasmussen also asked poll respondents who they would not want to see win the nomination:
- Pawlenty 24%
- Palin 21%
- Newt 20%
- Romney 9%
- Huckabee 8%
Obviously at this time in the “race” name id is what is driving the support for candidates and the numbers are extremely volatile and are likely to change. Next month at this time, Palin’s numbers could be really up as people who like her but are concerned about her viability as a Presidential candidate have their fears soothed after reading her book. I do think that it is worth some discussion about what this poll says about the GOP in October of 2009.
I for one was shocked to see Huckabee getting a little under a third of the vote and less than 1 in 10 respondents being against his nomination. At a time when it seems like the party can get out of the wilderness it has been in since the day after the re-election of former President Bush, primarily because the public is uneasy with the current administration tax and spend agenda and weak foreign policy, nominating Huckabee would be telling the public “we just want to moderate the Obama agenda, not end it.” When we need to be saying, “we have to get back to fiscal sanity at home and restore America’s credibility and security abroad.” Remember when everyone was shocked at Obama’s Nobel victory and even some lefties were pointing out how absurd it was, it was Huckabee telling us on the right “to stop whining about it.”
The good thing about this is that it is still three years away and should be on the back burner for now. Winning the House should be goal 1, 2 and 3 of the Conservative movement right now. As with a GOP controlled house it gives a chance for our brightest minds in that chamber like Mike Pence or Paul Ryan to become more well known and maybe two years from now be seen as a strong candidate for the nomination.
Link to the poll:
I would be one of the someone else's....
JadedByPolitics Friday, October 16th at 8:53PM EDT (link)Huckabee what a freaking disaster that would be! Romney would be Obama with a prettier smile and hair (Romneycare). Newt has now now shown himself to be the lizard he is so named for and Pawlenty had better buy some life because he is pretty darn BORING, Sarah has a WHOLE LOT to prove because she has the hair, smile, life and Conservative/Libertarian traits I like but she ain’t done nothing yet!
The bottom line is it is 2009 lets not WASTE TIME worrying about 2012!
Whoever has his enemy at his mercy &
does not destroy him is his own enemy
And, with respect to Sarah, it's going to be difficult
mbecker908 Friday, October 16th at 10:14PM EDT (link)for her to actually “accomplish” anything between now and the ‘12 primaries because she’s got no platform. She left Alaska with basically nothing in the works but the vaporline that is probably going exactly nowhere and ran away when the going got rough.
What she CAN do is be a fundraiser - maybe - and a stump speaker - if anybody will invite her. So far she’s brought some heat on BO - a one time shot on “deathpanels” that was a good job. Other than that, I think she’s been getting her hair done.
And you are absolutely right about ‘10 and ‘12. This poll is mental masturbation and absolutely meaningless. I’m actually pleased that the only two comments are ours.
2010. 2010. Twenty. Ten.
acat Friday, October 16th at 10:19PM EDT (link)Right now, we need to focus on 2010.
Right now, Palin is the only potential 2012 candidate I’ve heard of who is working for 2010 congressional and state candidates.
Right now, Pawlenty is barely getting started on his PAC.
Right now, Romney is likely deciding if he wants to jump back in.
Right now, Newt has been in D.C. too long, and has forgotten what he should have remembered.
Mew
5
bs Friday, October 16th at 10:24PM EDT (link)Obama was a virtual unknown in 2005 (3 yrs before the election). There is no telling who will emerge as a GOP candidate by 2011/2012. Let’s keep the powder dry and focus on 2010. If we take back either the Senate or the House, everything changes.
Decorum is fo’ suckas - unless it’s one of the good guys
Who is Palin working for and what is she doing?
mbecker908 Friday, October 16th at 10:35PM EDT (link)Honest, I’m not being snotty. I just don’t know and I’ve been trying to find out. So far as I’ve been able to tell, she’s not made a single speech for any candidate anywhere nor has she - through her PACs - tossed any cash that I know of.
If you’ve got some details please provide them because, while she’s close to the last person I ever want to see nominated for anything, I think she may be able to be a good fundraiser and stump speaker.
And, FWIW, I wouldn’t waste $0.50 on a bullet for any of the rest of the bozos listed in that poll.
Now if Palin went to stump for Hoffman (NY-23)
civil_truth Saturday, October 17th at 1:39AM EDT (link)…then she’d be doing something worthwhile for the Republican Party and restore some credibility.
I agree that I would like to see what activity she has in this 2009 cycle. Things seem quiet on that front.
The longer she stays out of political activity, the higher will be the expectations when she surfaces, which will put even more pressure on her. That’s not a situation she’ll want to be in.
And Rightly So!
mbecker, she was to stump for McDonnell until...
JadedByPolitics Saturday, October 17th at 7:55AM EDT (link)he got a McCain campaign idiot to work for him and ended her coming because he thinks she is divisive. They really don’t get her appeal at all! so the Republican’s running (or those running their campaigns) are the problem it certainly is not her!
Whoever has his enemy at his mercy &
does not destroy him is his own enemy
Jaded- I don't think they don't get her appeal
Scope Saturday, October 17th at 9:14AM EDT (link)I think they do get it, and, are as desperate to try to destroy her as the liberals, so that the titular head of the republican party, McCain, can push his choice for the nominee, which would probably be the puke inducing Pawlenty.
Jaded- I don't think they don't get her appeal
Scope Saturday, October 17th at 9:14AM EDT (link)I think they do get it, and, are as desperate to try to destroy her as the liberals, so that the titular head of the republican party, McCain, can push his choice for the nominee, which would probably be the puke inducing Pawlenty.
Haven't heard of any, actually....
acat Saturday, October 17th at 5:39PM EDT (link)Palin, that is, stumping for any candidate in 2010.
Of course, I’m in Illinois…
Mew
2010
kyle8 Friday, October 16th at 11:11PM EDT (link)weren’t we supposed to be exploring the solar system by now and have space clippers flying tourists to the moon? and jet packs and flying cars and moving sidewalks and …. WTF happened?
/child of the sixties, mourning the loss of innocence.
“Nothing works like freedom, Nothing succeeds like liberty”
Kyle
Meaningless at this point
aesthete Friday, October 16th at 11:24PM EDT (link)There are still battles to be fought and the 2010 elections (which will be far more important than 2012, IMO), and those will have a massive effect on the favorability of these candidates. I would also note that though Huck is easily the worst candidate on that list from a qualitative standpoint, the potential candidates listed have hardly covered themselves in glory. I like your commentary on the survey, but ATM, I’m with mbeck on the meaninglessness of anything having to do w/2012. (For the record, it’s my opinion that our probable gains in 2010 won’t extend to 2012, so my interest in 2012 on the whole is less than nil.)
Guilt is a rope that wears thin.
-Ayn Rand
“I am a freeman in a free state!”
-Last words of Dumnorix, chieftan of the Aedui, 54 BC
The reason is simple
SirGladiator Friday, October 16th at 11:48PM EDT (link)The reason Huckabee is in the lead is because he’s a nice fellow who has a popular weekend TV show on a channel we all, as Conservatives and Republicans, watch. Nothing complicated about it really
. I agree it doesn’t mean anything right now, the polls a year from now will mean a lot more (and even those won’t mean that much). If a year from now Palin or Romney or somebody of their stature has a TV show on Fox also, they’ll be the one in the lead, and it won’t mean anything then either, because its not about the polls, its about grassroots support and organization. And 2010 is going to be the key, because the candidate that can support the most winners, really getting out there and actively raising the money and doing the stump speeches, they’re the ones that are going to have the real head start in having the kind of organizational support that counts come primary time. Polls are cool to look at when your favorite candidate is ahead, but thats really all their good for this far out.
Funny that Huckabee is bringing up the tail end
Scope Saturday, October 17th at 9:17AM EDT (link)in fundraising, which I recently read. This poll is meaningless for that fact alone. He also had a hard time raising any funds last time around.
Funny that Huckabee is bringing up the tail end
Scope Saturday, October 17th at 9:17AM EDT (link)in fundraising, which I recently read. This poll is meaningless for that fact alone. He also had a hard time raising any funds last time around.